N. OF PIKE Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I don't think it's going to be that warm here? I think we enjoy some nice ratios as well you are prob right, just throwin it out there and seeing what comes back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I'm thinking of an event that hit CT back in Dec of 1988 I believe. It may have been more of a norlun but I'm fairly certain that was the year and it may have been a similar evolution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 you are prob right, just throwin it out there and seeing what comes back I agree they will see higher ratios, your deff right on that. The further east you come the ratios decrease. But for this system it may all be relative if everyone is dealing with greater than 10:1 ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 This is a cold storm..I wouldnt worry about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I don't think it's going to be that warm here? I think we enjoy some nice ratios as well Between 28-32F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Between 28-32F. I was thinking around 29 30 as well. Truthfully I don't want to weenie out to much, but I like our location for this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Well time for euro, but I'm thinking of this occurs like GFS has, there will be a big time band. Like, big time rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 i see an unstable layer in a good snow growth zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Well the best dynamics are hard to pin down. Don't rule out a deformation band in the 495 zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 2-4" of snow could cause chaos in the hills of ct. Days and days of spinouts and downed wires. Stock shelves and fill the tub with water people. Euro to me is kind of meaningless at this point. Last to the party as of late it seems. This pattern has gotten to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 MAV snow numbers are unimpressive. 2 NYC to Philly up through BDL but 1 most places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 This would be great 'Joe Furey @StormFurey 16m Tuesday: Snow begins 8-10 AM, ends 3-5 PM. Temps stay in upper 20s, so snow will be light & fluffy. pic.twitter.com/VWWcmyUCiF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Well time for euro, but I'm thinking of this occurs like GFS has, there will be a big time band. Like, big time rates. Chuck 'em high, chuck 'em low. Let the snow blow, blow, blow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 MAV snow numbers are unimpressive. 2 NYC to Philly up through BDL but 1 most places. Best to be conservative until tonight's 00z runs. An dusting to an inch or two north of the Pike. A couple to few inches the further south you go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Based on those fronto maps posted and how unstable it is...there will be a somewhat narrow zone that gets 8-10 inches.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 What really has me intrigued is some nice snows on the backend as 700mb fields try to create a comma head, but it scoots too fast to give us any wrap around. The real place to go bullish in these types of events is Nantucket, MA and with the GFS their likely in the 6"+ range if all goes right and some intense banding develops. Snowfall rates near 2"+/an hour anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 MAV snow numbers are unimpressive. 2 NYC to Philly up through BDL but 1 most places.statistically I don't think they'll catch a mesoband of fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Based on those fronto maps posted and how unstable it is...there will be a somewhat narrow zone that gets 8-10 inches.. Stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Based on those fronto maps posted and how unstable it is...there will be a somewhat narrow zone that gets 8-10 inches.. I am thinking that will be difficult to achieve. That area of CT over to N RI and over to Bob and Foxboro might do well on that band, but "well" might be 2-4" vs 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 this is a system where I will go with met's that I think have a good handle on it, not models with that being said confidence SEEMS best right now from DXR-KTAN .....the further NW of a HFD-BOS line the more we NEED to see the last 24 hour trends (increase SW ridging) continue to be confident in advisory snow NW of HFD-KBOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 Stop. I would go 6"+ instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 statistically I don't think they'll catch a mesoband of fluff. Was thinking the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Stop. I'm not sure where it sets up..whether it's Sne or NYC area..but someone will get that tomorrow ..the signal is very much there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Well time for euro, but I'm thinking of this occurs like GFS has, there will be a big time band. Like, big time rates. Is it just me or does the Euro sometimes have trouble with these events with no real defined huge phase or deep surface low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Is it just me or does the Euro sometimes have trouble with these events with no real defined huge phase or deep surface low I've never noticed this personally since these are not very common...but the euro may not have a good performance as of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I'm not sure where it sets up..whether it's Sne or NYC area..but someone will get that tomorrow ..the signal is very much there I hope you win this... but what is supporting 8-10" anywhere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 This setup reminds me of 12/24/98...though maybe its slightly further NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I hope you win this... but what is supporting 8-10" anywhere? Phenomenal snowgrowth Unstable layer frontogenesis fluff factor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 This setup reminds me of 12/24/98...though maybe its slightly further NW. SNE snowstorm memories. - American Weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 This setup reminds me of 12/24/98...though maybe its slightly further NW. Will do you remember the February 24-25th 1999 event? Anyways GFS has a 12 hour event, while NAM has 9 hour event, which one to believe? GFS is more amplified at H5 too. 12z GGEM isn't bad at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.