mfastx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Really tough to forecast this one. Gonna go with 1.5" IMBY. Hoping for a nice surprise though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 You'll probably get some snow, oh Queen of Quantatative Precipitation. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 The lift is within the 700-500 mb layer. It is very sloped. 500mb vv is just fine. If you recall that event back in Feb I believe, there was a ribbon of H5 VVs over the canal that smoked messenger. 700mb VVs in that were well south. So there is that, but again...it's all dependent on how this sets up. Great points, just looked and you are correct. 4km NAM is a good hit still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 lol Naturally as I crossed into weenietown Wilmington, the sleet and rain turned to snow on my way into work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Naturally as I crossed into weenietown Wilmington, the sleet and rain turned to snow on my way into work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Where is the line for snowpack vs none, Scott...Winchester?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Going to be pretty tough for someone to pull warning snows from this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Where is the line for snowpack vs none, Scott...Winchester?? Guessing Somerville? Decent cover here near the Winchester line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Going to be pretty tough for someone to pull warning snows from thisIn other news, the Titanic sprang a leak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Where is the line for snowpack vs none, Scott...Winchester?? Yeah right near Stoneham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 In other news, the Titanic sprang a leak. :weenie: Take 2 there minis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 It was dark on my way home but near Stoneham/Medford line. Still had a patch at home too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 GFS considerably more stout at init with the offending s/w. Funny models have played catchup with that all along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Going to be pretty tough for someone to pull warning snows from this yea. someone on the coast could pull it off though if they get a good 3hr thump. not widespread by any means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 0z GFS singing Tom Petty....she's not backing down if anything west of 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 .25" line covers all of MA/RI and CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 .25" line covers all of MA/RI and CT. I'll take it...that's good for 2-4 at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I think that models should pretty much have the idea now. Wonder if box is sticking with that 1-2. Could still go that way, but I think you have to hedge higher now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 GFS looked good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I'll take it...that's good for 2-4 at least Somewhere James is dancing around his living room to this song. I've got to tell you I'm really excited too, pre Xmas snow is my favorite by far. GFS may have ingested some of Mayor Ford's second hand crack but overall I like the theme of the NCEP stuff and the fact that guidance is really playing catchup with the s/w coming across. That should help us. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h-LbvFckptY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I lost nothing to "micro-snowpack" lets say there is snow on the ground. Being atop a hill is not representative of surrounding environ. Stony Brook COMAP (MM5) changed the website a little: http://dendrite.somas.stonybrook.edu/LI_WRF/index.html MM5 model on occasion nails these setups. Mostly like a broken clock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Nice gfs run, can sleep happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Joplin,Mo poster reporting "2.5-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 The lift is within the 700-500 mb layer. It is very sloped. 500mb vv is just fine. If you recall that event back in Feb I believe, there was a ribbon of H5 VVs over the canal that smoked messenger. 700mb VVs in that were well south. So there is that, but again...it's all dependent on how this sets up. Whoomp there it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Nobody posted this that I saw, strong words from BOX: SNOW WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING...INTENSIFYING AROUND THE LATE-MORNING INTO THE MIDDAY HOURS BEFORE TAPERING OFF INTO EVENING. WIDESPREAD 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW IS ANTICIPATED ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MASSACHUSETTS TURNPIKE...BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES DUE TO SNOW-BANDING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN PROXIMITY TO THE SOUTH-COAST INCLUDING CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES MAY NEED TO BE CONSIDERED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Whoomp there it is. chhomega.png Bingo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Nobody posted this that I saw, strong words from BOX: SNOW WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING...INTENSIFYING AROUND THE LATE-MORNING INTO THE MIDDAY HOURS BEFORE TAPERING OFF INTO EVENING. WIDESPREAD 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW IS ANTICIPATED ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MASSACHUSETTS TURNPIKE...BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES DUE TO SNOW-BANDING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN PROXIMITY TO THE SOUTH-COAST INCLUDING CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES MAY NEED TO BE CONSIDERED. May be considered? LOL .... Isn't the 1-3 enough to issue one anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 May be considered? LOL .... Isn't the 1-3 enough to issue one anyway No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 No. Why not? One was issued last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Not sure what to make of this. SV has a snow algorithm which isn't not at all weenie. The gfs tonight snows a stripe of 4 inches along the pike from Boston heading the length of the pike and encompassing extreme northern ct east to west down to the canal. 2 inches everywhere else. 6 inches NYC to Philly including northern half of nj and the eastern 1/3 of PA down to whqt appears to be close to DC/BWI. Gonna be fun tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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