dendrite Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Euro Ens precip probs bumped NW at 12z. I cant see the mean QPF though.Looks like 0.10" to the NH/MA border and 0.25" runs from LI to MVY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I like SW RI for this one, somewhere near tequila B.....bout 5-10 miles up the road from westerly around 300'Lol my old hood, about 215 feet, TB is on the river at 75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I think Philly cleans up again. 14 inches on the season by cob 12/10?blows away a whole season forecast by some top Mets from top Uni. Lol Dec 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Looks like 0.10" to the NH/MA border and 0.25" runs from LI to MVY.Every little bump makes this weenie happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Euro Pumps and a bump=Hammertime? You probably wear the leopard raisin smuggler while carving your snowbanks. Let's hope this storm turns out much better than his career. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Yeah well if you want to be extremely precise, it was probably 5 miles SE of the 12z run. But the general theme was that it basically maintained its status as a pretty far NW outlier amongst guidance right now. Nothing notable enough in this run to consider it a cave to other guidance. 00z runs should be interesting. Winter cancel! Should be a good event but i'll be surprised if the GFS doesn't move towards consensus. 1-3 or 2-4 seems reasonable in this area for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Any clown maps that can "legally" be posted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Bouchard is going 2-4 Lollies to 5 south of boston. Channel 5 has 1-3 isolated 4 south of the pike. Not that I care, just throwing it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The banding on the GFS is alarming. It will rip where that sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 The banding on the GFS is alarming. It will rip where that sets up. I agree, lift is intense in the snow growth zone. NWS BOS is really conservative but say 6" is possible in any banding that can develop. EURO is a red flag, but not a major one to say this is coming south, actually both the NAM and GFS would support a more organized surface low focusing banding along the South Coast of New England. Something to watch in the overall 00z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The banding on the GFS is alarming. It will rip where that sets up.So critical where that is. Someone is gunna be in a weenie wonderland.I'll take a scenic 2-4 inch snowfall though. Trying to head out of work at 11 instead of 2 so I can be home for most of the event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfastx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Hoping for an inch or more. Expecting nothing. Pessimism is always the way to go with these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 GFS has such an intense amount of lift in the snow growth zone, omega is around 30 units. Some of the strongest banding signals you will receive in such a situation. Best lift is between 500-600mb which is from lift within PVA at 500mb as shortwave roams through the region. Something typical in an intense nor'easter. Wherever that band sets up someone could easily see 6-12" no doubt. THis is like PHL yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Barry is poo-pooing it. Makes only a mention of light snow and no big deal. Does have 1-3 from Boston south but he didn't seem at all enthused Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Barry is poo-pooing it. Makes only a mention of light snow and no big deal. Does have 1-3 from Boston south but he didn't seem at all enthused hmmm that is strike one against weenies what does Harvey say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 hmmm that is strike one against weenies what does Harvey say He's not on..... But that station is going 1-3 maybe 4. Bouchard is the only guy that's kind of going out on a ledge for potential 5 or 6. And to be honest he isn't really the guy you want in your side lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Wrobowlski has a big 2-4" swath and 1-3 for into S NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 THe polar jet disturbance continues to dive SSEward into TX, further south than modeled, I think this is going to surprise some people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 THe polar jet disturbance continues to dive SSEward into TX, further south than modeled, I think this is going to surprise some people. you are my favorite poster this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 you are my favorite poster this weekYeah this kid John Nickalus from Cape Cod, Ma is pretty good. Nice job by him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Looks like 0.10" to the NH/MA border and 0.25" runs from LI to MVY. Yeah, but what about the MA/VT border where it really counts? GFS has such an intense amount of lift in the snow growth zone, omega is around 30 units. Some of the strongest banding signals you will receive in such a situation. Best lift is between 500-600mb which is from lift within PVA at 500mb as shortwave roams through the region. Something typical in an intense nor'easter. Wherever that band sets up someone could easily see 6-12" no doubt. THis is like PHL yesterday. Pete shocks everyone........ Seriously though, this will be fun to see some areas cash in relatively well and others nearby with much more modest amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Looks like 0.10" to the NH/MA border and 0.25" runs from LI to MVY. Thanks matches up well with the probs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 can you start more threads in the future? looks good for atleast a little mood snow THe polar jet disturbance continues to dive SSEward into TX, further south than modeled, I think this is going to surprise some people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 a big lol if this turns into coastal New England's smaller version of the Feb '06 NYC KU. Not saying this has KU potential. but i remember mets calling for a general 3-6" hours before the super band got going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Just starting to see the moisture increase over LA as the s/w digs through. http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/displaySat.php?region=EVV&itype=wv&size=large&endDate=20131210&endTime=-1&duration=4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 THe polar jet disturbance continues to dive SSEward into TX, further south than modeled, I think this is going to surprise some people. Interesting, see if models adjust on the next run..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 10, 2013 Author Share Posted December 10, 2013 a big lol if this turns into coastal New England's smaller version of the Feb '06 NYC KU. Not saying this has KU potential. but i remember mets calling for a general 3-6" hours before the super band got going. that's a pipe dream and you know that, but with a meso band you never know. the polar disturbance looks more southeast and the sub tropical disturbance looks more south, based off the 6h progs of the NAM 18z run at h5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 10, 2013 Author Share Posted December 10, 2013 Interesting, see if models adjust on the next run..... I hope they do in the case of all these people expecting 1-3" and we get more than 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I hope they do in the case of all these people expecting 1-3" and we get more than 6". Wait, do we not want it to dig more south? I thought that benefits us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 that's a pipe dream and you know that, but with a meso band you never know. the polar disturbance looks more southeast and the sub tropical disturbance looks more south, based off the 6h progs of the NAM 18z run at h5. what I mean is...a mini-bust. tv mets are 1-3" generally. get the super band to set up in your backyard, and we could see 6-8" amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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