SouthCoastMA Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Don't worry CT peeps, somehow/someway you guys will manage to jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 A 20 mile shift that models may miss could mean the difference between a couple inches and like 6+...... That band looks powerful Gonna be fun to watch unfold, especially with it occurring during daylight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 JN1989 needs a temp red tag btw.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 A 20 mile shift that models may miss could mean the difference between a couple inches and like 6+...... That band looks powerful I would think there will be a band similar to what went through parts of PA/NJ yesterday but the question is where? There are definitely factors in placer that could argue 6''+ across a swath of area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 in for a .25" coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Don't worry CT peeps, somehow/someway you guys will manage to jackpot. I like SW RI for this one, somewhere near tequila B.....bout 5-10 miles up the road from westerly around 300' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I would think there will be a band similar to what went through parts of PA/NJ yesterday but the question is where? There are definitely factors in placer that could argue 6''+ across a swath of area. Exactly, and more than likely it won't be in the place the models have it, but which direction is it, and how much does it move? Pretty touch and go, I think if I had to make a call is say 2-4 south and east of the pike. However depending on that band all bets are off. As we saw yesterday, some came away with close too a foot, and the rates were also impressive. I don't know much about snow growth, as I'm just trying to absorb info. But from what I've seen, people have been saying it should be excellent. Personally I think 1-2 is a little low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I like SW RI for this one, somewhere near tequila B.....bout 5-10 miles up the road from westerly around 300' lol that's pretty specific! I could see SRI jackpotting, or the band forming a bit more north than progged. anyone's guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Looks like the 18z GFS is doubling down. Pretty similar to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 GFS came a little south, winter is over. Looks like the 18z GFS is doubling down. Pretty similar to 12z. looks just a smidge south to me, clearly indicative of a terrible winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Exactly, and more than likely it won't be in the place the models have it, but which direction is it, and how much does it move? Pretty touch and go, I think if I had to make a call is say 2-4 south and east of the pike. However depending on that band all bets are off. As we saw yesterday, some came away with close too a foot, and the rates were also impressive. I don't know much about snow growth, as I'm just trying to absorb info. But from what I've seen, people have been saying it should be excellent. Personally I think 1-2 is a little low Looking at some bufkit profiles, snowgrowth is definitely much more impressive than what it was for last night . Models also show some pretty strong lift, strong VV's, and some hints of instability. Right now I would actually say the southern half of CT would stand the best chance at seeing 6"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 GFS came a little south, winter is over. looks just a smidge south to me, clearly indicative of a terrible winter. Yeah well if you want to be extremely precise, it was probably 5 miles SE of the 12z run. But the general theme was that it basically maintained its status as a pretty far NW outlier amongst guidance right now. Nothing notable enough in this run to consider it a cave to other guidance. 00z runs should be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston Bulldog Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 GFS came a little south, winter is over. looks just a smidge south to me, clearly indicative of a terrible winter. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Another inch tomorrow - maybe 1.5" would easily cover the grass for the rest of the week and beyond. Pulling for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 i can't ignore the excellent snow growth on the nam/gfs. i know the euro has less precip but i wish i had access to soundingsYeah...get that banding over land and someone gets a 15-20:1 surprise. 18z gfs is pretty wet over SNE still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 18z GFS would hit the cape pretty hard for a short-time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Yeah well if you want to be extremely precise, it was probably 5 miles SE of the 12z run. But the general theme was that it basically maintained its status as a pretty far NW outlier amongst guidance right now. Nothing notable enough in this run to consider it a cave to other guidance. 00z runs should be interesting. Pretty interesting that the model that had this first I believe held serve with the really wet run. At least leaves the door open for a more amplified solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I like SW RI for this one, somewhere near tequila B.....bout 5-10 miles up the road from westerly around 300' I like Ginxy's area for this one personally. I could see the band ending up like one county north of the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Looking at some bufkit profiles, snowgrowth is definitely much more impressive than what it was for last night . Models also show some pretty strong lift, strong VV's, and some hints of instability. Right now I would actually say the southern half of CT would stand the best chance at seeing 6"+. I agree, but like we discussed 20 or 30 miles puts a lot more posters in here in the game. I don't think everyone is screwed without the band though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I think Philly cleans up again. 14 inches on the season by cob 12/10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 in for a .25" coating.Sounds right for you and me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I agree, but like we discussed 20 or 30 miles puts a lot more posters in here in the game. I don't think everyone is screwed without the band thoughWhat goes up must come down though. Someone will get relatively meso-screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I think the gfs even gives me some flurries, ftw. Stayed on the cool side here today, topping off at 30.2. 30.0/29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 GFS QPF virtually the same around here at around .5". NAM cut back from about .38 to .27. Any recommendations for good sites to view dual pol radar data? Considering renewing weathertap, but if there are good free sites, I'd check that out first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 GFS QPF virtually the same around here at around .5". NAM cut back from about .38 to .27. Any recommendations for good sites to view dual pol radar data? Considering renewing weathertap, but if there are good free sites, I'd check that out first. weather.cod.edu is really good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 2-3" cape islands south coast 1-2" interior sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Euro Ens precip probs bumped NW at 12z. I cant see the mean QPF though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Hard to make a call because of the banded nature of this. I could see zilch or 4 inches imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 weather.cod.edu is really good This is perfect! Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Euro Ens precip probs bumped NW at 12z. I cant see the mean QPF though. Euro Pumps and a bump=Hammertime? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.