Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 it's pretty crazy actually. it turns into a hurricane. and then there's a deadly outbreak of the flu, followed by massive famine. and then it looks like it changes to crows, maybe mixed with hawks and eagles. devastating.Did Tip hack your account obi wan? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTSkywarn Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Still premature but this has coastal disappointment written all over it for snow weenies. ORH special though. So, does that basically mean a bust south of 84 and 95 corridor... forget it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Where can the ensembles be viewed or is it pay only?free here and betterhttp://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=namk&MODELL=ecmwfens&MODELLTYP=2&BASE=-&VAR=pslv&HH=24&ARCHIV=0&PANEL=0&ZOOM=0&PERIOD= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 So, does that basically mean a bust south of 84 and 95 corridor... forget it? I'm not calling anything a bust at this point because this is still about a week out, but lots of times people get really excited about events like these and there are times where people who live along the coast get screwed with snowfall amounts due to crap ratios and changeovers to rain as a result of a coastal front setting up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Maybe weenies can hold off on noose making and ball spiking until maybe Thursday's model runs? Love the entrenched cold that is in place for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 TWC calling this a triple phase, hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 free here and betterhttp://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=namk&MODELL=ecmwfens&MODELLTYP=2&BASE=-&VAR=pslv&HH=24&ARCHIV=0&PANEL=0&ZOOM=0&PERIOD= Nice one Ginxy, thanks, I wasn't yet familiar with that site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 TWC calling this a triple phase, hmm Oh' yeah, friend called me an hour ago saying he saw a map on TWC that said 8"+ for W. MA. Asked if he should come down to ski. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 TWC calling this a triple phase, hmm did they name this yet? I cant turn on TWC, I permanently programmed my smart TV to block its signal from space. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 did they name this yet? I cant turn on TWC, I permanently programmed my smart TV to block its signal from space. its actually pretty good at times lately and they run computer model graphics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Still premature but this has coastal disappointment written all over it for snow weenies. ORH special though.If "disappointment" constitutes receiving a 6" front end thump, as opposed to 10".....about as bad as it will get that that high position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 free here and betterhttp://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=namk&MODELL=ecmwfens&MODELLTYP=2&BASE=-&VAR=pslv&HH=24&ARCHIV=0&PANEL=0&ZOOM=0&PERIOD=Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Lots of hoping and praying from folks trying to steer this into their backyard...let's try to stay away from that type of posting. Remember that the only one who truly cares about your backyard is you. That is not true. I care about your backyard. since it is less than 10 miles from mine.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I'm not calling anything a bust at this point because this is still about a week out, but lots of times people get really excited about events like these and there are times where people who live along the coast get screwed with snowfall amounts due to crap ratios and changeovers to rain as a result of a coastal front setting up.It usually makes it a couple of miles to my w in E Billerica, or a bit s of me on rt 128.....2 main placements, anyway... Just west of it cranks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 If "disappointment" constitutes receiving a 6" front end thump, as opposed to 10".....about as bad as it will get that that high position. I feel the opposite. I mean I suppose this still can cut west, but that's a pants tent high to our north. I'm still thinking SWFE type setup. Snow to brief rain possibly on the coast, but not after a thump. Snow to IP or dryslot inland. Just a first guess...but that high is a nice reason to feel rather bullish. JMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I'm not calling anything a bust at this point because this is still about a week out, but lots of times people get really excited about events like these and there are times where people who live along the coast get screwed with snowfall amounts due to crap ratios and changeovers to rain as a result of a coastal front setting up. Not if that 1035 high sits over southern Quebec...if I remove emotions from it (a dendrite said I want to steer it NW, haha), this looks darn good right now for you guys in terms of synoptic set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Just looking to cover the grass and give the kids something to play in at this point. Pre-Christnas snow is gravy to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I would be happy with snow but I would love some serious ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I feel the opposite. I mean I suppose this still can cut west, but that's a pants tent high to our north. I'm still thinking SWFE type setup. Snow to brief rain possibly on the coast, but not after a thump. Snow to IP or dryslot inland. Just a first guess...but that high is a nice reason to feel rather bullish. JMHO. Right....not sure where he was coming from with that. Even assuming the mid levels fly west, that cold needs to be bodily removed, hence the 6" thump. Don't see how we escape that this time around....the ageostrophic push is going to hold that cf pretty close to the coast imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 It usually makes it a couple of miles to my w in E Billerica, or a bit s of me on rt 128.....2 main placements, anyway... Just west of it cranks. Really? I wasn't thinking of it moving in that far west. I was thinking more of places east of the 95 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Keep those mid levels east, and we have a 10" event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I feel the opposite. I mean I suppose this still can cut west, but that's a pants tent high to our north. I'm still thinking SWFE type setup. Snow to brief rain possibly on the coast, but not after a thump. Snow to IP or dryslot inland. Just a first guess...but that high is a nice reason to feel rather bullish. JMHO. Props to you calling the wet pattern back when it was bone dry. Also, nice too see mets pretty bullish on this for everybody Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Really? I wasn't thinking of it moving in that far west. I was thinking more of places east of the 95 corridor. Right, as I just intimated in my previous post, it probably hugs the coast in this event...but I was speaking from a climo perspective. I agree that spots like Logan may still struggle with 45*+ ssts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Tons of spread on the GEFS members but a lot have slowed down. May wind up being more of a Sunday deal? I do really like seeing the -20C 850 isotherm over far northern NE during the event lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Not if that 1035 high sits over southern Quebec...if I remove emotions from it (a dendrite said I want to steer it NW, haha), this looks darn good right now for you guys in terms of synoptic set up. Where I am located I'm okay, but low level temps do appear to be a concern for areas east of me imo, unless it absolutely rips and you get some evaporational cooling but ratios will still be crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 WAA snows in the overrunning shield can often arrive earlier than what models project as well. Yeah--these situations are great, giving a little bonus on the accumulation. Also, a situation in which my wife make sarcastic comments like "wow, look how hard it's snowing" or "so where is this big storm you promised was coming??" That is not true. I care about your backyard. since it is less than 10 miles from mine.... LOL--when I saw that post I was going to make a similar comment about being very concerned about Chris' backyard. Also concerned about some folks in CT. If they can taint, I can clean up. I'm full of concern for people's back yards. 22.4/14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Props to you calling the wet pattern back when it was bone dry. Also, nice too see mets pretty bullish on this for everybody I don't want to get too excited because we are still in that window where sh*t happens...but there are some nice features this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Not if that 1035 high sits over southern Quebec...if I remove emotions from it (a dendrite said I want to steer it NW, haha), this looks darn good right now for you guys in terms of synoptic set up. Where I am located I'm okay, but low level temps do appear to be a concern for areas east of me imo, unless it absolutely rips and you get some evaporational cooling but ratios will still be crap. Respectfully I disagree. Climo argues 4-8+ before taint most places off the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Respectfully I disagree. Climo argues 4-8+ before taint most places off the cape. Disagreeing with me or powerfreak? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Well I think what George means is that it may be tough for coastal weenies to be all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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