ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Ukie is similar...tracks it over the Cape. Unfortunately we cannot see hour 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Could all get washed away though Lol..that doesn't happen even verbatim...lol. You stay in the 39s for a few hours and that won't wash 6+ away. Also, keep in in mind that you're pretty dry by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Ukie http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grb-comp.cgi?re=us&mo=ukmet&va=csfcpr&ft=h60&cu=latest&ge=800x630&ti=UTC&id=&zoom=.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Man i gotta 20 miles nw or more for this, its either wakefield or n conway. Gf's sister lives in salem,ma . If i stay local sat nite nobody could force me to such a torch spot along the immediate coast. I got no other decent options. Euro please oh please tick se. I think Euro may go over canal at 0z given trends and if it does i think we are locked and loaded . This high strength and position better not move unfavorably tommorrow , we need this strong w perfect placement Looks like jackpot may be shiftin to upper Merrimack valley/ monads. Also Rochester,nh area could get crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Yep I have been provoked. 10-14 my call for mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 So uncle and gfs are far west, Nam is bm and you can use that many ways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Any chance for significant freezing rain for anyone given current models and high placement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Yep I have been provoked. 10-14 my call for mby. I doubt 14. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 So uncle and gfs are far west, Nam is bm and you can use that many ways. Convinced that there's a feedback issue but not sure ultimately it matters a ton. Every model is very far west. Nice thump but a potential quicker flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 So uncle and gfs are far west, Nam is bm and you can use that many ways. Both the Ukie and GFS folloiwng the line of extreme heavy qpf for the sfc track bother me a little....even though I'd love to see that 0.8" of qpf in 6 hours verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I doubt 14. Ha - aggressive I know. But just my thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Gfs still plunks 8+ for BOS. I think the taint is worth it given the rates w'ell see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41974-december-1415-winter-storm-threat-part-ii/#entry2539678 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Man i gotta 20 miles nw or more for this, its either wakefield or n conway. Gf's sister lives in salem,ma . If i stay local sat nite nobody could force me to such a torch spot along the immediate coast. I got no other decent options. Euro please oh please tick se. I think Euro may go over canal at 0z given trends and if it does i think we are locked and loaded . This high strength and position better not move unfavorably tommorrow , we need this strong w perfect placement Looks like jackpot may be shiftin to upper Merrimack valley/ monads. Also Rochester,nh area could get crushed If GFS is still giving BOS 8" I don't think you need to be running for the hills just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Scott isn't that the classic definition of feedback issues? We talk about it a lot off the coast when it's marginally defined. s/w's popping off adjacent to QPF maxes I thought was the clear threshold. To me this looks like 100% the case. Normally the Euro doesn't seem to be as prone to those issues, so I'm curious to see what it does. It may be..but if the other guidance follows suit, then we know it may be realistic, I kind of agree with Will though...it seems a little weird looking but we won't know for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 If GFS is still giving BOS 8" I don't think you need to be running for the hills just yet. I think he wants to go somewhere that will have no taint at all. For me personally, ending as a couple hours of pellets doesn't really bother me after we are getting smoked on the front side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Even if a flip occurs that would only encase the snowfall. Almost assured a lasting snowpack on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Ok scaredy cats...gfs snow numbers: HYA: 4+ TAN: 6+ PVD: 6+ BDL/ORH/BOS/PWM/AUG: 8+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 It won't be that bad but the RGEM sure appears its going to put the low over land in SNE in some shape or form, remember the RGEM much like the NAM can sometime be iffy beyond 36 hours. ?? I don't really see that at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I'd like to see H7 redevelop before entertaining the notion of 12"+...... 7-11". This cf is going to be epic....probably makes it to about my hood on the GFS/UK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Canadian tracks the low a little SE of GFS/Ukie, but still pretty close...maybe ACK or between ACK and CHH? I should note that the GGEM also has the huge QPF bomb just offshore where the low is following. I think that is somewhat real...but the extent is uncertain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 This almost seems like its trying to evolve into a Dec 9, 2005 lite... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Cmc also closere in but surprisingly snowy given track. I think the cold doesn't scour so easily at least not in lower levels away from the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 GFS is a front end thumper even right to BOS. BOS is pretty cold until the last second as the lift exits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 It may be..but if the other guidance follows suit, then we know it may be realistic, I kind of agree with Will though...it seems a little weird looking but we won't know for a while. Most of the time it's bogus...but there have been a few notable cases where it wasn't. This may be one, let's see what the Euro does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 GFS is a front end thumper even right to BOS. BOS is pretty cold until the last second as the lift exits. That high pressure is a total beast. It's like trying to move Vince Wilfork out of the way...its going to be a battle and the fireworks will be fun to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 That high pressure is a total beast. It's like trying to move Vince Wilfork out of the way...its going to be a battle and the fireworks will be fun to watch. I want to be in the middle of the battle....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Harv just left by saying it's possible he'll have to shift all those lines north as a strong ocean wind lowers accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Harv just left by saying it's possible he'll have to shift all those lines north as a strong ocean wind lowers accumulations. Sounds like he's not ready to buy the suite but leaving the door open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 It's also trying to phase a bit more too with the nrn stream. If you look back at the earlier runs, there is a clear difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.