ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Even though the NAM is useless, its fun to just see the streamlines on it with that high...that high is a fooking beast. All the guidance agrees on that part. Just seeing the anti-cyclonic flow at the sfc ripping down the Maine coast. Two things come to mind: CAD Frontogenesis Both make me happy as a snow lover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 LOL, this will be a QPF bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 ....and brings it due north as the waa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Low is running along the Jersey Shore at 54-57 hours but starts to hit the wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Looks like the secondary low develops right over the heaviest QPF...convection? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 LOL, this will be a QPF bomb. I could be wrong, but each model has shown an increase in QPF... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 NAM is going to be nuts with the qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I could be wrong, but each model has shown an increase in QPF... Well a stronger and further NW will do that, but srn stream systems always have juice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 wow, it has a weaker primary and stronger secondary....bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 This is the BOS jackpot run. The NAM is like Kindergarden. Everyone gets a turn to be the winner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 i'd hit that nine ways to sunday! closed 850 stops any warming. huge hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Convection playing games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 LOL, "a winner every time!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Looks like the secondary low develops right over the heaviest QPF...convection? Pretty much like the 18z but convection this time is west not east. Lot of snow on this model for everyone. it'll warm too at the mid/end of the storm but a lot falls first even on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 SREFs have pretty high snow probs for 8"+ in much of S/E NH and even near 50% probs for 12"+ west of the coastal front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 This is the BOS jackpot run. The NAM is like Kindergarden. Everyone gets a turn to be the winner. Pull the quote from SnowGoose earlier...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I wish the NAM were credible Completely crushes and abuses MBY. Alas, I toss it in the bin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Convection playing games. The secondary develops right over the off-shore convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Nam is the qpf king, Until you have to start cutting it......lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Clown map is going to be funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 One could say it's feedback on the NAM. I strongly agree with bombs going off. Still laughing about the dendrites and soundings comments. Instant weenie votes IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Convection playing games. tropically infused lol. and someone will take it seriously and think 2' jackpots in their backyard will verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxjim207 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Forecasting for VTrans tomorrow which includes forecasting this bad boy. Will be fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Will/Scott etc....looks like even this run keeps the 1000/850 thicknesses just onto the cape by h60? Looks like most of the mainland would get croaked through 60? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 The secondary develops right over the off-shore convection. The convection is a real thing especially with srn streams...but I also know the NAM sometimes keys in on this a bit too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 tropically infused lol. and someone will take it seriously and think 2" jackpots in their backyard will verify. I think 2" is a lock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Clown map is going to be funny This time it might not be such a clown. Umm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Such a bad model but first out of the box for the 0z runs to set the mood for the evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 nyc weenies are prob enjoying this...a bit too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Will/Scott etc....looks like even this run keeps the 1000/850 thicknesses just onto the cape by h60? Looks like most of the mainland would get croaked through 60? 85- 0C gets to your house at hr 60. Pretty cold prior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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