ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 But he has a point - it did nail the Feb blizzard...It had 24-30 for PYM and they got 15". I'm sure messenger can verify that. I was down there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 It's widespread 12-16 and 12-20 over N Ri. Just remember it did nail the Feb Blizz Are you kidding me? It made the entire Tri-State area freak out because it showed 27" of snow for Central Park the day before the storm, and NBC4 showed it on air. I literally cracked up when I saw them do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 ORH is still trying to melt the 60" the RPM dropped on them during the Feb blizzard. Check timestamp Joe Furey @StormFurey6 Feb Hello!!!Latest RPM shows 14-26 inches of SNOW across CT.....EURO Ensemble just came in with 2.5 inches of LIQUID across CT...WOW!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Are you kidding me? It made the entire Tri-State area freak out because it showed 27" of snow for Central Park the day before the storm, and NBC4 showed it on air. I literally cracked up when I saw them do that. One tv met may put it up. Most are using GFS and the EURO for those silly computer snow accumulations maps this year. Last season was the season of the RPM fetish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Usually these kinds of events with the high ratios and very cold air seem to be limited by some aspect or can underperform. Is the snowgrowth as good for NNE as SNE? Is the column as saturated up there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 gosh do I love my brand new zone forecast. GYX going with .5-.8 qpf and at least 18:1 ratios .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 1 BELOW. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. WIND CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 12 BELOW. .SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. HIGHS AROUND 16. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. .SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW. ADDITIONAL HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATION. LOWS AROUND 11. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT. WIND CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 5 BELOW. .SUNDAY...SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT. Nice--mine doesn't mention accumulation. The QPF Queens are going to love the 18z NAM. Not this one. That blows. 15.4/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Check timestamp Joe Furey @StormFurey6 Feb Hello!!!Latest RPM shows 14-26 inches of SNOW across CT.....EURO Ensemble just came in with 2.5 inches of LIQUID across CT...WOW!! It had like 60-70 inch amounts in some areas of like northern ORH up into SW Maine foothills... it wasn't even close. Maybe it nailed a small portion of CT with the mesoband but that doesn't mean it nailed the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 The RPM is ok to use if it has some support. I mean, at least in the Feb Blizzard, the Euro had like 2-2.5" of qpf over a massive area. But I would prob stray away from the obscene solutions that are like 3 standard devs off the other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Check timestamp Joe Furey @StormFurey6 Feb Hello!!!Latest RPM shows 14-26 inches of SNOW across CT.....EURO Ensemble just came in with 2.5 inches of LIQUID across CT...WOW!! turned out to be right...maybe even underdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Usually these kinds of events with the high ratios and very cold air seem to be limited by some aspect or can underperform. Is the snowgrowth as good for NNE as SNE? Is the column as saturated up there? honestly, I think its the exact opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 It's widespread 12-16 and 12-20 over N Ri. Just remember it did nail the Feb Blizz Not even close to the same system as this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Usually these kinds of events with the high ratios and very cold air seem to be limited by some aspect or can underperform. Is the snowgrowth as good for NNE as SNE? Is the column as saturated up there? I believe so. A map was posted earlier regarding the snow growth zone... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 I'm worried about a scenario where the storm is rather unorganized yet tracking close to the region and not deepening until it gets further northeast. Storm gets better well organized further away from us and buries downeast maine? This scenario would still bring a good dose of snowfall though but we wouldn't be anywhere close to the jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 One tv met may put it up. Most are using GFS and the EURO for those silly computer snow accumulations maps this year. Last season was the season of the RPM fetish. My parents called me in a panic when they saw it on TV, and gas lines started forming again around here almost like after Sandy. It really was quite comical, because other than the ludicrous 2 or 3 NAM runs that showed 6 feet of snow in New Jersey, nothing reliable showed anything like that for NYC. Where I am it turned out to be fairly run of the mill (12-13" after a ton of sleet and rain), but 40 miles east in Suffolk County got annihilated. Hopefully people learned their lesson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 honestly, I think its the exact opposite. It depends there can always be something that really limits snowgrowth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 it's pretty funny when you don't get a chance to see the models and only get to read the posts. was away from a computer all day and just got to check in on here from the phone a few times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 I'm worried about a scenario where the storm is rather unorganized yet tracking close to the region and not deepening until it gets further northeast. Storm gets better well organized further away from us and buries downeast maine? This scenario would still bring a good dose of snowfall though but we wouldn't be anywhere close to the jackpot. so you are worried about getting a good dumping of snow but not jackpotting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Just a forewarning when the BOX afd comes out and rain up to the Mass Pike..check the authors before you read it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 It's widespread 12-16 and 12-20 over N Ri. Just remember it did nail the Feb Blizz As most models should with such an anomalous, dynamic system. I wouldn't dry hump it too hard otherwise, it may leave you a little chafed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Just a forewarning when the BOX afd comes out and rain up to the Mass Pike..check the authors before you read it Sounds like you are trying to comfort yourself... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 I'm worried about a scenario where the storm is rather unorganized yet tracking close to the region and not deepening until it gets further northeast. Storm gets better well organized further away from us and buries downeast maine? This scenario would still bring a good dose of snowfall though but we wouldn't be anywhere close to the jackpot. this isn't your typical wrapped up bomb that some of us have been exposed to over the past several years. where its banding or subsidence. this has a more widespread share the wealth look. but yea, we are still two days away, give or take, so anything can happen. but guidance has zoned in here remarkably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 so you are worried about getting a good dumping of snow but not jackpotting? Of course I want to jackpot but I just wonder how the snowgrowth looked for nne too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 QPF woes aside, I'm liking the 16* high forecast for mby Saturday. These days will make up for the couple warmer days we had earlier in the month for the monthly average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 The dead zone is going to be a long wait tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Of course I want to jackpot but I just wonder how the snowgrowth looked for nne too Snow growth will be fine up here. I'm pretty confident we'll do better than the regional average of 13:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 I supposed to move Saturday, yet again....dunno if I wanna fishtail the U-hual on 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 I supposed to move Saturday, yet again....dunno if I wanna fishtail the U-hual on 84. Moving to Ryan's place? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 It will be fine. If u can stomach pouring rain while ur neighnors dump snow, It's not always east to get all snow in mid Dec. If this ticks a tad nw from here im getting outta dodge and going to n conway sat @ noon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Moving to Ryan's place? I moved too from my other place. got my own apartment with my brother, his gf, and my gf. I also actually think I found a good spot where I can measure snowfall but since this is an apartment complex I hope if I get a snowboard it wouldn't get disturbed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Moving to Ryan's place? lol. He'd prob call the PO-lice on me if I was within 100ft on his property. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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