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December 14/15 winter storm threat


Typhoon Tip

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Guess the soundings are wrong.

 

That's 9z Sunday... I thought you were talking about during the day Sunday.

 

What I said was that the models can overdo the freezing drizzle potential when winds shift out of the northwest behind a low... they tend to linger the moisture too long. 

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Eh, 3-6" right now. Could be a bit more with ratios. Stay tuned.

I've got 3-6" for the weekend in my ops forecast. It's how we do it this time of year...3-4" last night, 1-3" expected tonight into tomorrow morning, then 3-6" this weekend, and potential for more light accums next week.

It's our nickel and dime season...Dec and Jan.

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It's really too bad this system doesn't have a much better mid-level look with more consolidated and wrapped up lows.  The GFS though still has some pretty nice VV's over central/eastern MA early Sunday AM so it could rip there for a few hours...if ratios can stay on the higher side there they could tack on several inches in just 3-4 hour span

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