CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Canadian still more of a SWFE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Can someone comment on the timing here? TwisterData is not out there yet. GFS would break out some light snow midday sat but the main impact would be sat night. Thats subject to change of course 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 GFS would break out some light snow midday sat but the main impact would be sat night. Thats subject to change of course 5 days out. Thanks - thats why it looked like to me on the other runs. As its the holiday season, there's lots of weekend planning going on. Knowing early that traveling might be difficult is helpful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Waiting for the caution flags (besides the 5 day bit...) My flag would be with suppression, Especially up here which would favor you guys to the south obviously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 just need that high to press down a bit more...scoot this a hair further S and E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 My flag would be with suppression, Especially up here which would favor you guys to the south obviously I know...I really hope it doesn't go any further south. Of course southern people are thinking the opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 just need that high to press down a bit more...scoot this a hair further S and E Yup, we will see. I think even this is still warning criteria for our area? Not sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 yeah bob...sort of in the same boat on this one (at this time frame, obviously). but...i kind of like our chances...for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 My flag would be with suppression, Especially up here which would favor you guys to the south obviously I like where we sit personally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Yup, we will see. I think even this is still warning criteria for our area? Not sure Looked like there was a warm layer at 925mb... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 This seems to have decidedly more favorable ingredients involved, good moisture, potent ground level cold leading up to the event and abundant cold source to the north. First big region-wide opportunity of the season? But of course, plenty of time to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 My flag would be with suppression, Especially up here which would favor you guys to the south obviously Sometimes I wonder how we average as much snow as we do, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 just need that high to relax a bit more...scoot this a hair further N and W Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Fixed Agreed - I would like to have a little more QPF... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I like where we sit personally. For now, This far out its all speculation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Sometimes I wonder how we average as much snow as we do, lol. Well, You guys have a few different mechanism for snow there then here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 12z GEFS must have a few amped up members, Its west of the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 GEFS are right over SNE. Amped up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 yeah bob...sort of in the same boat on this one (at this time frame, obviously). but...i kind of like our chances...for now. Yeah, not quite the same setup as the last event we had. I like having the Euro sort of in the colder solution camp. Keep the chance of rain/snow in the forecast for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 My flag would be with suppression, Especially up here which would favor you guys to the south obviously Likewise, as this area was already going to be plenty cold enough. Still 100 hr out, but 12z gfs cut foothills qpf by 1/3-1/2 compared to earlier runs, with most coming at 2m temps in the singles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Likewise, as this area was already going to be plenty cold enough. Still 100 hr out, but 12z gfs cut foothills qpf by 1/3-1/2 compared to earlier runs, with most coming at 2m temps in the singles. We all know how the models handle the cold this far out, Its not that good and always seems as we get closer in to start to pick up on it, But as with a lot of storms, Someone on either side NW or SE gets the shaft, I know the track i most favor but there would be many that would not like it, But it does not really matter what i want...............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Ukie is really suppressed. Definitely all snow based on the H5/SLP charts, but no way to tell the QPF distribution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Not worried about suppression. Looked like there were quite a few amped ecens members too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Not worried about suppression. Looked like there were quite a few amped ecens members too. Chuck 'em. For fun I think the day shift is going to create an internal storm total snow grid today. It's always fun to see how much (or little) those can change over the course of several days). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 12z GGEM is not suppressed.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Not worried about suppression. Looked like there were quite a few amped ecens members too. Its always in the back of my mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 12z GGEM is not suppressed. Track over the Cape Cod, MA canal would be nice for this neck of the woods. It may just be memories of past winters that cause suppression fears for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Track over the Cape Cod, MA canal would be nice for this neck of the woods. It may just be memories of past winters that cause suppression fears for me. Anything that tracks there, Over ACK, Or inside the BM works out up here typically Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Love that position of the high on the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Track over the Cape Cod, MA canal would be nice for this neck of the woods. It may just be memories of past winters that cause suppression fears for me. Yeah its always in the back of the mind like Dryslot said. Anything over the Cape or the SE side of SNE is favorable here... In reality our "benchmark" is like right over BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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