SouthCoastMA Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I'm guessing with a +NAO there won't be much of a mechanism to force this further south. Would be nice for the secondary to form a bit more southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Well, I will be happy with some snow and ice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 This storm intrigues me. There looks to be a frontogenesis band along and behind the polar front sagging south through SNE. This will also allow for fresh cold air into SNE as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Any similarities to Feb 24(?) 2010? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Any similarities to Feb 24(?) 2010? Not at all. This is almost a SWFE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Not at all. This is almost a SWFE. Yeah that storm was basically a firehose of moisture from the southeast into a rotting polar airmass...pure elevation paste storm. This one looks like it has a nice fresh arctic high lurking to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Not at all. This is almost a SWFE. Okay thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 With that fresh cold air coming in ahead of it..one would surmise that it's going to be very difficult to scour out the cold..would that be correct thinking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 With that fresh cold air coming in ahead of it..one would surmise that it's going to be very difficult to scour out the cold..would that be correct thinking? Yes, esp in low levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Yes, esp in low levels. Ice, Ice baby... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Unusual to see the output for KCON all snow with a change at KORH I guess at least per the 06z GFS, the ptype is latitude over elevation. Love the solid/juicy QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Still way early but looking good out this way. Front thump of several inches being locked in by a nice coating of freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 GFS def south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 12z GFS is looking a lot colder than previous runs...really pushing that arctic boundary further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Awesome run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Hit. Classic SWFE/Miller B hybrid...that's a pretty run for us. Too bad its 5 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Classic SWFE/Miller B hybrid...that's a pretty run for us. Too bad its 5 days away. I know. Well hopefully something interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 This run sniffs out the cold high over QUE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I know. Well hopefully something interesting. The high looks pretty good on all guidance so I think confidence is increasing for at least a front end thump...hopefully its something even better. Pushing that boundary further south is really nice though, it would probably create a longer period of overrunning snow early on before the main system since it creates so much ML frontogensis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 10-12" for EMA?? man.. another to track .. long week ahead!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 The high looks pretty good on all guidance so I think confidence is increasing for at least a front end thump...hopefully its something even better. Pushing that boundary further south is really nice though, it would probably create a longer period of overrunning snow early on before the main system since it creates so much ML frontogensis. Does the storm go up into the gulf of Maine? Seems like it goes underneath us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 just need that high to press down a bit more...scoot this a hair further S and E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I know. Well hopefully something interesting. Waiting for the caution flags (besides the 5 day bit...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Can someone comment on the timing here? TwisterData is not out there yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Waiting for the caution flags (besides the 5 day bit...) There aren't many caution flags on this one in your area for lots of frozen if you accept ice as a legit theat to go with the snow. Other than still being about 5 days out. The high will make it hard for the interior to flip to rain. There looks be much higher snow potential with this one as we get some real dynamics in here while the cold is still deep enough...or in the GFS case, its pretty much all snow for the pike northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 10, 2013 Author Share Posted December 10, 2013 12z GFS is a distinctively colder run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Can someone comment on the timing here? TwisterData is not out there yet. I think it was mid-day Saturday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 There aren't many caution flags on this one in your area for lots of frozen if you accept ice as a legit theat to go with the snow. Other than still being about 5 days out. The high will make it hard for the interior to flip to rain. There looks be much higher snow potential with this one as we get some real dynamics in here while the cold is still deep enough...or in the GFS case, its pretty much all snow for the pike northward. Only 20 more GFS runs to go... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 10, 2013 Author Share Posted December 10, 2013 You'd think a trailing Norlun might evolve with that much wind dynamics associated with N-stream as the low departs... huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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