weathafella Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:09 AM, cpick79 said: Harv has some decent tweets tonite. 50/50 for bos >5" if mixes then no Cold storm for MHT , upper limit is 12" for the storm w "fluff factor" That guy in MHT he tweeted to is a poster here I think. EricNh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:09 AM, cpick79 said: Harv has some decent tweets tonite. 50/50 for bos >5" if mixes then no Cold storm for MHT , upper limit is 12" for the storm w "fluff factor" ASOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:00 AM, Roosta said: Will be interesting to see what amounts local Mets put out to the masses on this evening broadcasts. Fox 25 holding serve from earlier. 3-5" inside 495. 5"+ outside 495. 1-3" SEMA/CC. I think Pete's actually looked the most reasonable. 6-9" tickling the 128 loop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 MPM will Eeyore himself to 9". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Lol that was epic. Like we said last night, yesterday was the day model mayhem took place, today they settle out, tomorrow they hone in. I like the trend of, increased QPF, better high position, stronger earlier cyclogenesis. Should be one of the more interesting days tomorrow as it all congeals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:11 AM, NorEastermass128 said: Fox 25 holding serve from earlier. 3-5" inside 495. 5"+ outside 495. 1-3" SEMA/CC. I think Pete's actually looked the most reasonable. 6-9" ticking the 128 loop. Bouchard should just copy and paste Harv's ideas and maps so be can redeem himself lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 The RGEM pretty much putting the NAM idea to bed right away, its not too far off through 00Z and the end of its run but it appears the surface low is going to head for Worcester if you look at its last couple of frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:11 AM, NorEastermass128 said: Fox 25 holding serve from earlier. 3-5" inside 495. 5"+ outside 495. 1-3" SEMA/CC. I think Pete's actually looked the most reasonable. 6-9" tickling the 128 loop. I think 1-3 In southeast ma is probably a little low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:10 AM, weathafella said: That guy in MHT he tweeted to is a poster here I think. EricNh.SnowNH's prodigy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:13 AM, Ginxy said: Lol that was epic. Like we said last night, yesterday was the day model mayhem took place, today they settle out, tomorrow they hone in. I like the trend of, increased QPF, better high position, stronger earlier cyclogenesis. Should be one of the more interesting days tomorrow as it all congeals Very well said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:13 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I think 1-3 In southeast ma is probably a little low Can u just move 15 miles nw to foxboro to save urself the annual heartache Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:13 AM, SnowGoose69 said: The RGEM pretty much putting the NAM idea to bed right away, its not too far off through 00Z and the end of its run but it appears the surface low is going to head for Worcester if you look at its last couple of frames. I put much more stock in the RGEM/GGEM up until this storm vs the NAM. But a cutter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Well time to walk the dog. Deep winter with a storm in the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:16 AM, Winston Wolf said: I put much more stock in the RGEM/GGEM up until this storm vs the NAM. But a cutter? It won't be that bad but the RGEM sure appears its going to put the low over land in SNE in some shape or form, remember the RGEM much like the NAM can sometime be iffy beyond 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 13, 2013 Author Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 2:31 AM, ORH_wxman said: This is the BOS jackpot run. The NAM is like Kindergarden. Everyone gets a turn to be the winner. ...I dunno tho -- too much cold air to think p-type problems. It's brutal and we have a second wave yet to refill... I'm down to 13F here 10pm, with a dp of 3, and this will be back-filled off a stationary arctic high? good luck with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:18 AM, SnowGoose69 said: It won't be that bad but the RGEM sure appears its going to put the low over land in SNE in some shape or form, remember the RGEM much like the NAM can sometime be iffy beyond 36 hours. Despite this NW solutions I agree with Scott - likely to go over ACK because of the high placement. No way this storm plows through that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:16 AM, Winston Wolf said: I put much more stock in the RGEM/GGEM up until this storm vs the NAM. But a cutter?its only run to 48, not seeing how you can extrapolate it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:20 AM, Ginxy said: its only run to 48, not seeing how you can extrapolate it Is RGEM same as canadian? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:15 AM, cpick79 said: Can u just move 15 miles nw to foxboro to save urself the annual heartache Lol, while I tend to agree I live so far in the northwest corner of TAN, I can pretty much throw a rock from here to Attleboro, which does better than me as well. However I still think we have a good shot at >3, but who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 JERRY, re our early fall ruminations, KFOK breaks a low temperature record set in Dec 1960. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:15 AM, cpick79 said: Can u just move 15 miles nw to foxboro to save urself the annual heartache lame being down here has its benefits....at times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:22 AM, Ginxy said: JERRY, re our early fall ruminations, KFOK breaks a low temperature record set in Dec 1960. I wish we could have seen ssta in the NPAC from 50 years ago during the month of September. It's been 100% accurate since I've used it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 13, 2013 Author Share Posted December 13, 2013 In terms of NAM -storm placement and intensity evolution I really don't have any criticism. It's dead nuts on the consensus over the last 24 hours of model-blizzard. QPF ...heh, tough. In one respect, the storm should be toting an above normal pwat column; in another respect, the NAM definitely has a high-QPF bias beyond 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Me thinks snow will be shorter duration than some were hoping. Still, a lot of moisture will be moving into damn cold air so a few hours of solid thumping is in order for most of SNE. I'm not really seeing the 36hrs of snow some were talking about earlier today. Lots of cold dry air to overcome with that high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:22 AM, Ginxy said: JERRY, re our early fall ruminations, KFOK breaks a low temperature record set in Dec 1960. What record at KFOK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:30 AM, coldfront said: Wow...way NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 13, 2013 Author Share Posted December 13, 2013 Not that those latter time frames should be adhered too, but there is a lagging norlun signal there; and btw that's been in the runs however unnoticed or mentioned for some time. This is the most elaborate version. What do the other guidance' ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Fox 25 must be reading this. Now has 6-9" tickling 128. I think that's a good call for now. Potential bust factor for that to get right into Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:31 AM, SnowMan said: Wow...way NW That outcome would crush W MA / S VT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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