Allsnow Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 By my count we had 3 threads and over 4000 posts in the past week for what will amount to flurries to a dusting Agree! It was a huge waste of time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Agree! It was a huge waste of time Steve D's final final call is 3-6 for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Steve D's final final call is 3-6 for you Well there is something to hang my hat on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Steve D admits to bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Steve D admits to bustagain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Steve D admits to bust He still has Edison over to SI in the 3-6 in his latest update after declaring a bust and up to 3 north of there. I'll be lucky to get a dusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 This brings back the nostalgia of March 5, 2001, LOL, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 "Time for some traffic in Mt. Holly" - Chris Christie . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 This brings back the nostalgia of March 5, 2001, LOL,no. it was an epic bust. people i barely knew in high school (i was a freshman) were calling my house to ask how long school would be cancelled. paul kocin introduced a new color on his maps to account for 20+ totals. the HPC discussions would have made you do backflips. i got 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the moors in england Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I posted in every newspaper (Star Ledger, Philly Inquirer, ny daily news etc. asking people to not blame the NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 no. it was an epic bust. people i barely knew in high school (i was a freshman) were calling my house to ask how long school would be cancelled. paul kocin introduced a new color on his maps to account for 20+ totals. the HPC discussions would have made you do backflips. i got 3" Not only that but during the storm while it was supposed to be snowing and radar looked like crap forecasts were still 12-18". It was basically 48 hours of intermittent snow and sleet adding up to a few inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sickman Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 By my count we had 3 threads and over 4000 posts in the past week for what will amount to flurries to a dusting Agree! It was a huge waste of time Take it as a learning experience. One that will make you appreciate the overperformers even more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 GFSGGEMEarlier in the week.Unbelieveable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I was one of the few that didn't buy the 1962 Ash Wed. Storm analog for 2001...It was much milder than 1962...when I woke up that morning and saw rain and sleet falling I knew I was right about that storm...I ended up with 3.5" of snow and sleet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Upton is taking a beating on their FB page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 They cancelled school the day before the storm was supposed to hit. I remember watching Ch 61 and the meteorologists on there were saying this was going to be the storm of the century with prolific amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 We started out thinking we'd be on the southern edge of significant snow. Now the northern edge of snow is hundreds of miles south of us Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Upton is taking a beating on their FB page. People are really going at it on the page lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 People are really going at it on the page lol[/quote Link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I was one of the few that didn't buy the 1962 Ash Wed. Storm analog for 2001...It was much milder than 1962...when I woke up that morning and saw rain and sleet falling I knew I was right about that storm...I ended up with 3.5" of snow and sleet...i got that sinking feeling when the 0z nam on saturday night moved north and introduced mixing. that was the beginning of the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 They cancelled school the day before the storm was supposed to hit. I remember watching Ch 61 and the meteorologists on there were saying this was going to be the storm of the century with prolific amounts. I had just started a new school district. we canceled 2 days. Got an inch or less of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 HPC from March 2001 storm ZCZC NFDPMDEPD ALLTTAA00 KNFD DDHHMMEXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR 05 THRU 09 MAR 2001HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...NCEP...NWS...WASHINGTON DC2:27 PM EST FRI MAR 02 2001...PRELIMINARY VERSION.POTENTIALLY SERIOUS E COAST STORM STARTING LATE ON DAY 3 (SUN).THREAT OF HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG COASTAL WINDS CONTINUES FOR THEMID-ATLANTIC.....MODEL OVERVIEW AND DISCUSSION...WE NOW HAVE HIGHER CERTAINTY THAT THERE WILL INDEED BE THEDEVELOPMENT OF A MAJOR STORM ALONG THE EAST COAST...MAYBE EVEN ABLIZZARD...IN THE DAY 2-3 PERIOD.THE VERY STRONG BLOCK NW OVER THE SOUTHERN DAVIS STRAIT WILL DRIFTWESTWARD AND WEAKEN SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT DAYS...BUT CONTROL THEWEATHER OVER NOAM THE ENTIRE TIME.CONCERNING THE EAST COAST CYCLOGENESIS...MODELS ARE GROUPED INTOTHREE SCHOOLS OF THOUGHT. THE ECMWF HAS NOW JOINED THE AVN/MRFNOGAPS IN FORECASTING STRONG CYCLOGENESIS EAST OF CAP HATTERAS INTHE 60-72 HOUR PERIOD...POSSIBLY EVEN A SNOWSTORM OF HISTORICALPROPORTIONS FOR THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.THE MIDDLE SCHOOL IS PORTRAYED BY THE CANADIAN WHICH DROPS A COLDVORTEX SOUTHWARD ACROSS WV INTO NC DAYS 3-4. WHILE IT STILL HAS ITSMAIN SURFACE STORM FAR OUT AT SEA...IT IS SOMEWHAT SIMILAR AT 500MILLIBARS TO THE LATEST AVN RUN THAT DOES INDEED SHOW ANINTENSIFYING STORM.LAST NIGHTS UKMET AND MODEL ENSEMBLE DATA ARE IN THE MORECONSERVATIVE SCHOOL. THEY ARE CONSISTENT IN SLOWLY MOVING A DEEPCOLD VORTEX ACROSS THE ERN LAKES DAY 3. THEIR SOLUTIONS SUPPRESSSTRONG SYS MOVING ACROSS THE SERN STATES FAR ENOUGH SOUTH THATHEAVY PCPN DOES NOT GET INTO NYC AND NEW ENG SUN-TUE. UNTILTODAY...THE CANADIAN MODEL WAS MORE LIKE THE NOGAPS.WHEN WE PUT EVERYTHING TOGETHER...THE NEW AVN RUN HAS ACTUALLYREINFORCED THE COASTAL CYCLOGENESIS SCENARIO. THE 60HOUR ETA HASTRENDED FARTHER NORTH THAN ITS PREVIOUS RUN AND SHOWS SIGNIFICANTSNOW FOR THE MID ATLANTIC SUN. WHAT COULD MAKE THIS A HISTORICALSTORM IS THAT THE VERY COLD DEEP VORTEX OVER NORTHERN MAINE ISFORECAST BY THE MRF/AVN/ECMWF/NOGAPS TO MOVE RAPIDLY WESTWARDINTO THE EASTERN LAKES OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...THEN MAKE A SHARPLEFT TURN SOUTHWARD INTO OHIO DAY 3 WHILE EXPLOSIVE DEEPENINGOCCURS EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS. THE CLOSEST ANALOG TO THIS IS AT 500MILLIBARS IS THE BLIZZARD OF JAN 29-30 1966. THE FEB 6 1978 CASE...WHICHBURIED SOUTHERN NEW ENG/NYC/EASTERN PA...IS A CLOSE SECOND. THE MAINDIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE 1978 AND THE 1966 CASES IS THAT THE MAIN VORTENERGY ALOFT DROPPED SOUTHEAST AND CLOSED OFF OVER THE DELMARVAREGION IN 1978 RATHER THAN TURNING SOUTH AFTER A WESTWARD TREKACROSS THE ST LAWRENCE SEAWAY(1966). THERE IS MINUS 40C AIR AT 500MILLIBARS IN THE VORTEX OVER NORTHERN MAINE. WATER VAPOR IMAGERYSHOWS A TREMENDOUS SUBTROPICAL JET ACROSS MEXICO INTO THE CONUS.THE LATENT HEAT RELEASE OF HEAVY PCPN...COUPLED WITH DE-STABILIZATION AS VERY COLD TEMPS ALOFT REACH THE MID ATLANTICCOAST...COULD GENERATE A VERY POWERFUL STORM SUN NIGHT INTO TUE FORTHE MID ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AREAS. WE FEEL THAT THEAVN SCENARIO IS BASICALLY CORRECT. EAST COAST...WATCH OUT!...EAST COAST STATES...USING THE AVN AS OUR MAIN TOOL...WE LOOK FOR HEAVY SNOW SUN NIGHTINTO MON OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COASTS.THERE MAY BE BEACH EROSION AND COASTAL FLOODING...ALONG WITH WINDSEXCEEDING GALE FORCE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. FARTHER INLAND..MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW FROM VA THRU THESOUTHERN HALF OF NEW ENGLAND. LOW WIND CHILLS WITH TEMPSGENERALLY IN THE HIGH TEENS TO MID 20'S. THERE COULD EVEN BETHUNDERSNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY EXCEED A FOOT FROMNORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA NORTHEASTWARD THRU THE MAJORMETROPOLITAN AREAS. THE AVN HAS TARGETED NJ AS AN AREA WHERE ASMUCH AS TWO FEET COULD FALL. THE BACK EDGE OF SNOWFALL FROM WVINTO ERN OH WILL BE SHARP AND A FUNCTION OF WHERE THE UPPER SHEARAXIS SETS UP. THE BACK EDGE OF THE SNOW MAY BE SLOW TO MOVEEASTWARD TOWARDS THE COAST.FARTHER SOUTH...VERY COLD AND WINDY WITH HARD FREEZES POSSIBLEACROSS THE GULF COAST REGION AND MUCH OF FL.FOR TUE (DAY 4)... SNOW GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF OVER THE SRN NEWENG/MID ATLANTIC AREAS. COLD AND WINDY WITH LOW WIND CHILLS ANDBLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. WINDY AND COLD WEATHER WILL CONTINUEEVEN INTO WED (DAY 5) AS THE STORM SLOWLY MOVES OFF THE ATLANTICCOAST. CONTINUED COLD WITH HARD FREEZES IN NRN FL AND THE GULFCOAST REGION.ANOTHER STORM IS DEPICTED FOR THE SOUTHEAST STATES DAYS 6-7 WITH THEEAST REMAINING VERY COLD.FLOOD/FORECAST OPERATIONS BRANCHGRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT NNNNLast updated: 226 PM Friday March 2, 2001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Wow nice find Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 March 2001 is definitely one of the most epic busts and this one definitely is no comparison. I lived in NC at the time and chased to my former LI home lol. At least I got to visit my brother. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 People are really going at it on the page lol Richard A Lefebvre I wanted a birthday blizzard about an hour ago Richard A Lefebvre Wow wtf about an hour ago Anthony Frevola What a bust about an hour ago Jon Sussman Bust bust bust bust about an hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Anyone remember this storm? NYC was issued a Heavy Snow Warning with 6-12 inches forecasted. We didn't even see a flake from this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Anyone remember this storm? NYC was issued a Heavy Snow Warning with 6-12 inches forecasted. We didn't even see a flake from this storm. Anyone remember this storm? NYC was issued a Heavy Snow Warning with 6-12 inches forecasted. We didn't even see a flake from this storm. yup. heavy snow warning and the next day everyone was rejoicing saying how they dodged a bullet...never forget most adults DO NOT like snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 yup. heavy snow warning and the next day everyone was rejoicing saying how they dodged a bullet...never forget most adults DO NOT like snow. This storm was supposed to bomb out right under LI. The temps during the day were in the 40's. The area was counting on the storm to blow up in order to see snow. That's what all of the models showed until the day of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 This storm was supposed to bomb out right under LI. The temps during the day were in the 40's. The area was counting on the storm to blow up in order to see snow. That's what all of the models showed until the day of the storm. accuweather had just started their forums wherein I was introduced to people bickering, seems the winds may have been east IIRC and some were saying forget it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 accuweather had just started their forums wherein I was introduced to people bickering, seems the winds may have been east IIRC and some were saying forget it. Yes. The winds were coming from the east. The temps never really dropped past the upper 30's. We were screwed from the get go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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