Ed Lizard Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Was it Boxing Day when all the Sabbath observant logged off for a day, with the models showing a bust, and came back the next evening to Blizzard Warnings? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
killabud Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Was it Boxing Day when all the Sabbath observant logged off for a day, with the models showing a bust, and came back the next evening to Blizzard Warnings? sabbath is observed on Saturday,right? because i am pretty sure the models started trending back on xmas eve,which was a friday but i don't think they were really showing big hits until Saturday....so yea,i think so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Observant Jews- Sundown Friday to Sundown Saturday. I think it was Boxing Day because the storm was so obviously going to be huge, depression to euphoria in a day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Frustrating yes but I still don't think there is need to freak out. Whatever happens, happens. I still like our chances for 6"+ in most of NYC netro I agree. It's only weather. People freak out run to run. Why stress it and fight with others. Most people on here are very intelligent. Then you get teenagers and even immature adults bickering. I hope the models show nothing until Sunday morning so this board loads properly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I agree. It's only weather. People freak out run to run. Why stress it and fight with others. Most people on here are very intelligent. Then you get teenagers and even immature adults bickering. I hope the models show nothing until Sunday morning so this board loads properly. if end of next week is a bonafide HECS no one would be able to be on here, the server would just be dead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 The banter thread should be pinned up top with the model start times thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Hoping that sat temps bust high. That would give us an edge.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Sorry metsfan, our scrubs beat yours!! If Garcia wasn't throwing gopher balls all up in the zone in the 5th, y'all wouldn't have scored at all. Congrats on the world series Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 This storm will be a MECS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 This storm will be a MECS which one Monday or Friday/Saturday storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 This storm will be a MECS for Richmond Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I believe the euro ensembles 72 hours out has a pretty good handle here. Would expect a tick N toniteApologies for having to ask, but what is meant by "HR 72, HR 120" n the like? N "00z, 2z. etc. Also, what is "QPF" n "GGREM" n the equiv? Or maybe someone would be kind enough to point me to an abbreviation type page? Thx so much in advance, TimThe CNJ Plowsman The CNJ Plowsman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Apologies for having to ask, but what is meant by "HR 72, HR 120" n the like? N "00z, 2z. etc. Also, what is "QPF" n "GGREM" n the equiv? Or maybe someone would be kind enough to point me to an abbreviation type page? Thx so much in advance, Tim The CNJ Plowsman The CNJ Plowsman HR72 etc refers to the amount of hours out from that specific models initialization that the individual is referring to...00z, 06, 12z text refers to the time in which the models run(see model thread), Qpf refers liquid precip so for example 1.0" Qpf means 1 inch liquid and if snow ratios were 12:1 that would be 12" of snow verbatim... As for GGEM, RGEM, EURO, GFS etc... Those are all abbreviation for the specific models a poster is referring to... Hope this helped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Looks north posted that in the NE thread and looks quite a bit wetter when compared to the 18z NAM run NAM seems to look colder. It looks like a wall of snow about to hit the area. Can't believe that might actually just slide south. Looks like the southern option is off the table at this point I won't be surprised if NYC ends up with cloudy skies and flurries doesnt really matter-the next run of the nam will chop another 25% off and so on and so forth. I hate to take people to task, but this is just a sampling of the fail involved in this thread - I wish we had pro only model analysis threads... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I hate to take people to task, but this is just a sampling of the fail involved in this thread - I wish we had pro only model analysis threads... Initially it looked north but the southern vort got shoved south. I just wasnt explicit in my interpretation wouldnt call it a fail buddy, take it easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 We really need for this to tick north again or at the very least stay the same on the major models. Still time to get a good event........ And Lol at people who won't do model analysis themselves criticizing others. Oh man, the hypocrisy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I hate to take people to task, but this is just a sampling of the fail involved in this thread - I wish we had pro only model analysis threads... My "looks north" post was in reference to the picture posted of the initial wave riding the artic boundary... Which was in fact north of the 18z run, however the second main snow producer was squashed south...constantly complaining adds just as much banter to the thread as the post u complain about, don't forget that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 It has been a frustrating day of model runs (hasn't happened too much this winter) so I think for sanity purposes we should all assume we are getting no snow out of this, this will make any future model run that shows any snow to be an improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Earthlight on channel 9 again tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 We really need for this to tick north again or at the very least stay the same on the major models. Still time to get a good event........ And Lol at people who won't do model analysis themselves criticizing others. Oh man, the hypocrisy Sorry, completely disagree - people who don't know what they're doing shouldn't be doing model analysis. I'd rather have no analysis and wait for the final maps to come out than to have what we often get here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bricktamland Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 It has been a frustrating day of model runs (hasn't happened too much this winter) so I think for sanity purposes we should all assume we are getting no snow out of this, this will make any future model run that shows any snow to be an improvement. Easier said than done lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Continue Reading .... HR72 etc refers to the amount of hours out from that specific models initialization that the individual is referring to...00z, 06, 12z text refers to the time in which the models run(see model thread), Qpf refers liquid precip so for example 1.0" Qpf means 1 inch liquid and if snow ratios were 12:1 that would be 12" of snow verbatim... As for GGEM, RGEM, EURO, GFS etc... Those are all abbreviation for the specific models a poster is referring to... Hope this helped Thx for your response. Still confused. What is meant by "amnt of Hrs out..." n I guess I'm not fam with the 00z time increments. Thx again n apologize for having to ask. The CNJ Plowsman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Sorry, completely disagree - people who don't know what they're doing shouldn't be doing model analysis. I'd rather have no analysis and wait for the final maps to come out than to have what we often get here. It's easy for someone who contributes nothing to sit back and play Monday-morning quarterback On peoples pbp.. This is a forum not the NWS mistakes will be made, get over it or get out IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Continue Reading .... HR72 etc refers to the amount of hours out from that specific models initialization that the individual is referring to...00z, 06, 12z text refers to the time in which the models run(see model thread), Qpf refers liquid precip so for example 1.0" Qpf means 1 inch liquid and if snow ratios were 12:1 that would be 12" of snow verbatim... As for GGEM, RGEM, EURO, GFS etc... Those are all abbreviation for the specific models a poster is referring to... Hope this helped Thx for your response. Still confused. What is meant by "amnt of Hrs out..." n I guess I'm not fam with the 00z time increments. Thx again n apologize for having to ask. The CNJ Plowsman http://weather.about.com/od/weather-forecasting/a/Z-Time-Explained.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Sorry, completely disagree - people who don't know what they're doing shouldn't be doing model analysis. I'd rather have no analysis and wait for the final maps to come out than to have what we often get here. Well look at the final maps then, don't criticize others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 It's easy for someone who contributes nothing to sit back and play Monday-morning quarterback On peoples pbp.. This is a forum not the NWS mistakes will be made, get over it or get out IMO You're right except he contributes a lot more than most on this forum. He just doesn't post incessantly like so many here do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 It's easy for someone who contributes nothing to sit back and play Monday-morning quarterback On peoples pbp.. This is a forum not the NWS mistakes will be made, get over it or get out IMO Maybe I was a little harsh, but I guess I'd simply rather see accurate pbp. Perhaps I'm in the minority and most people like the free-for-all community approach, where many non-pros get to participate. I love that aspect of this site when it comes to the obs and banter threads, which I'm very active in - or in some esoteric technical threads where I have expertise to add - but not in the model threads where the accuracy of the info is paramount to me. I'll shut up for now and go back to my usual observing in the model threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Ppl have been saying " the north trends will start with the next run" and each run has gotten progressively more suppressed and south.. How are you people basing these thoughts? Your inner weenie? EDIT: this post is a joke do not start firing angry comments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 the discussion thread for lack of a better term has just been dumped into the toilet. amazing the swings of some people, im going to be watching some movies tonight with a certain girl and not on crap will be given about the models. while the weenies sweat the models, ill be just chillen, ya know I mean homies?! Man, I would love to congratulate you on achieving this feat. I hope everything goes out well between you and her. I assume you were prepping for this very moment really hard; it must have caused you to incessantly attach those winks at the end of your posts last month to all of your replies. But seriously, I am failing hard in the intimacy department, as I NEVER, ever, have accomplished anything even remotely close to what you are doing right now. I can almost conclude that being a quarter-century old with virtually no success thus far, I am just about done for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 This storm will be a MECSfor who? MD sure. Next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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