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Winter 2013 - 2014 Banter Thread


NEG NAO

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NYC has to see at least one major 10 inch or more snowstorm to have a chance to break the 95 -96 record as of today they have accumulated 57.1 inches - will this storm on the 2nd to 4th be the one ? 10 inches brings them to 67.1 so after that they can nickel and dime their way to 76 inches to break the record - still less then 50 % chance of that happeneing IMO....

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rating this February with the greatest since 1934...

snowfall...biggest snow...average temperature...Monthly max/min...seventeen years...possible 5 points to 85 points...

1934...70 points

1978...64

2003...62

2010...56

1979...55

1967...53

1994...51

1947...49

2014...46

2006...45

1969...40

1996...38

1983...38

1961...36

1972...30

1964...22

2005...21

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now comes the rationalizing.

 

"the euro sucked with today's event"

 

"it sucks after the upgrade"

 

"plenty of time left"

 

"better to not be in the bullseye"

Fork , if I see the Euro doing it on more than OP then of course its  matters  . But at 0z  it had temps in the teens . Now its in the 40`s 

Isn`t that a red flag for you ( IT IS FOR ME )  the model has some volatility to it . It has to settle down  .

No one should dismiss it , but you can`t ignore the other guidance at 12z based off 1 OP run . 

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Fork , if I see the Euro doing it on more than OP then of course its matters . But at 0z it had temps in the teens . Now its in the 40`s

Isn`t that a red flag for you ( IT IS FOR ME ) the model has some volatility to it . It has to settle down .

No one should dismiss it , but you can`t ignore the other guidance at 12z based off 1 OP run .

I really don't think he thinks this is the final solution , it's more that he's reveling in the misery of weenies.
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I just lurk, but Euro play by play is better if people are either specific about where the PBP is at or use descriptions, hourly, using well known airports, of where the approx location of the 850 mb and surface freezing line is, and previous precip amounts.

 

 

As a rule, if only a few hundredths of liquid equivalent fall in the following six hours after magic temps/thicknesses were reached, verbatim, the model isn't really showing enough snow to be concerned about.

 

Trickier on the 6 hour precip amounts if there is a big crash in temps during the period.  I suspect NWS type pro-mets may get finer time scales than 6 hours, so if a pro-met says 'no snow for you based on this model', he is probablyt seeing that.

 

 

Just saying, as a frequent lurker.   But I, personally, am hoping all of NYC gets a foot plus.

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odwalla....LOL guy has what 80 something posts and expects his post to be weighted as gold? :lol: no disrespect to him but you didn't tell anyone to go eat a bag of ***** or anything

I have 11,781 posts including this one and I've been a member here since shortly after the site opened up. I was on Eastern too but at the tail end.

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rating this February with the greatest since 1934...

snowfall...biggest snow...average temperature...Monthly max/min...seventeen years...possible 5 points to 85 points...

1934...70 points

1978...64

2003...62

2010...56

1979...55

1967...53

1994...51

1947...49

2014...46

2006...45

1969...40

1996...38

1983...38

1961...36

1972...30

1964...22

2005...21

Yes certainly one of the best, to be topped off with possible record cold on the last day.

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Yeah IDK who the heck that was. It's pretty hilarious though. I didn't even respond.

It's just blatant trolling and ridiculous. Pbp that's a little different honestly isn't a big deal. The outcry for a little wrong information is pathetic, considering people are nice enough to do the pbp in the first place. People need to chill

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1.2" today brings the total for February to 35.0" and for the season to 63.7"

 

Period of record here (Smithtown) is 19 years and this February is now the snowiest ahead of last February (30.2") and February 2010 (33.1").  The new snowfall also moves this winter past 2002-3 and 2004-5 as the second snowiest winter over the past 19 years. 

 

We'd need another 32" to beat 95 - 96!

 

FYI, BNL snowfall for 2004-5 was 78.5".  They are nowhere near that yet.  They had 15"+ more than Smithtown that winter; almost 1" per mile of distance.

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