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Winter 2013 - 2014 Banter Thread


NEG NAO

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Sorry if ive sounded negative this morning and last night guys, just that CCB's never really tend to favor my area more west and east. Ive only seen really one time where it was memorable christmas 2002 set the bar for what an amazing wraparound CCB should be. To this day still the heaviest snow ive seen and last time ive heard thundersnow/ lightning

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Sorry if ive sounded negative this morning and last night guys, just that CCB's never really tend to favor my area more west and east. Ive only seen really one time where it was memorable christmas 2002 set the bar for what an amazing wraparound CCB should be. To this day still the heaviest snow ive seen and last time ive heard thundersnow/ lightning

I say this in a loving manner, you need to learn to chill out and just let things play out for this storm.

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Interesting from Meteorologist Mike Favetta

We have a problem...

Our storm for tomorrow is currently dropping ice over Atlanta, GA. That's where the weather service launches one of the many weather balloons, nationwide, twice daily. Minutes after the 7am launch this morning, the balloon iced over and popped, only a few thousand feet up. They are not re-launching for fear it will happen again. We needed that upper air data, as it was a critical component for our forecast tomorrow.

So much for that new, fresh batch of weather data later this morning! It will still be there, just not as good as it could be.
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I say this in a loving manner, you need to learn to chill out and just let things play out for this storm.

Totally understand and thanks for being respectful. Typically CCB's love NYC/NJ while LI gets subsidence and whatever is left over. Thats why im pegging best part for me being the front end thump and the backend being not as impressive
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Totally understand and thanks for being respectful. Typically CCB's love NYC/NJ while LI gets subsidence and whatever is left over. Thats why im pegging best part for me being the front end thump and the backend being not as impressive

 

Thats based on a smale sample set and coincidence. (your life time) I am sure if you went through the Kocin book things would smooth out a bit more. Hard to pin geography on the prevalence of CCBs as they form on the back side of storms in a flow that comes off the land regardless if your in NJ/NYC/LI.

 

Maybe Boxing Day is stuck in your mind? Maybe 2006?

 

I think its just coincidence in the last decade. And hey you got more then almost anyone last Feb including myself slightly to your West

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Thats based on a smale sample set and coincidence. (your life time) I am sure if you went through the Kocin book things would smooth out a bit more. Hard to pin geography on the prevalence of CCBs as they form on the back side of storms in a flow that comes off the land regardless if your in NJ/NYC/LI.

Maybe Boxing Day is stuck in your mind? Maybe 2006?

I think its just coincidence in the last decade. And hey you got more then almost anyone last Feb including myself slightly to your West

Actually believe it or not i "only" got like 18" when places east of me got up to 34"

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Looking for start and end timesof PAX in central Nj areas?  The Yeti trying to run a basketball tourney over this holiday weekend (Fri-Mon)in Somerset Co. NJ need guidance for planning....... Can the roads be clear by 4:00 PM Friday?

Roads should be fine by Friday Afternon. 

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Been tracking this for nearly a week straight..waking up at 3am to see 06z runs...giving up on the storm only to be brought back 3 days ago only to have it taken away yesterday and lo and behold brought back again last night. If this doesn't produce a good hit it will have been a lot of wasted time for nothing!!

Anyway onto the 12z rgem and hoping for a nudge east :-)

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Lol nope we'll all be here arguing about where it sets up and how these things never work out

I think the best CCB rates will be where it always setup eastern NJ, NYC,HV and SWCT. LI will probably get maybe a few more inches because as they finally move ENE they tend to lose their punch drastically. I hope im wrong and we get nailed with 8-12" from both front and back end of storm, but im putting the chance of the CCB delivering to east of NYC at 30%
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