Snowlover11 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Not good at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The NAM is terrible for the interior and that's the basis for my negativity towards the run. It was good for the immediate coast but without much room for error. It's still better than the 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The NAM is terrible for the interior and that's the basis for my negativity towards the run. Then stop posting. Because i'm not going to sift through that crap all night. Either post an unbiased opinion or take it to the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The not being able to go to last unread post automatically while on mobile is annoying as hell. This!! What's going on with this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Another below zero night up here. I honestly cannot remember a winter where we have had soo many below zero nights. currently -0.8f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 it's between 5 and 10 below zero over a large portion on northern NJ right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 ..KFOK @ -1* this morning...fast forward 48 hours and it will be raining hard w/ a temp of 35* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 A Solution Unlike The Euro Makes More Sense. The Kicker Will nudge This further East Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 A Solution Unlike The Euro Makes More Sense. The Kicker Will nudge This further East can you please expand on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 A Solution Unlike The Euro Makes More Sense. The Kicker Will nudge This further East Wishcasting at its finest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 A Solution Unlike The Euro Makes More Sense. The Kicker Will nudge This further East Maybe a hair but I think this track is close to what is going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Wishcasting at its finest. Legitimate thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Dare someone to put out a forecast for nyc... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 ..KFOK @ -1* this morning...fast forward 48 hours and it will be raining hard w/ a temp of 35* That was super radiational cooling at its best and there have been times where it took them the morning sub 20 to raining by evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Dare someone to put out a forecast for nyc...[/quote 5"s followed by .25 sleet then a couple hours of rain .25 over to 3" backside snow. Total 8" snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I enjoy the Euro play-by-play, but I think it might be helpful is someone gave out amounts for like Morristown, White Plains, NYC, Newark, Islip etc. I read the model thread and have little idea on what actually falls even with CCB hits/track etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 After seeing the EURO and relying on a CCB to get the biggest totals of the storm on LI i am not that enthused. Thinking it will 6" on LI to snizzle and some snow on the tail for like 6-8" tops. Backside heavy snows never work out, last time was christmas 2002 so im not feeling too good for coastal areas if the ECMWF were to verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Its one run lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Its one run lol Its not 1 run , The coast is not wire to wire snow . We change over , then its a matter of how long we rain . All the Non American models see it . And you better hope thats the last W shift or the CCB will be in the lower hudson valley as we dry slot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I have a flight to ATL (en route to the DR) leaving Friday morning, 6am, Southwest. I think I figured out which actual plane is the one used: there is a flight that goes from ATL to LGA leaving 9pm the day before. If that flight can get to NY, I think I would be clear to leave Fri morning. Hopefully this thing is faster than progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Its one run lol It's many runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Many runs to go. A changeover isnt a lock just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Its not 1 run , The coast is not wire to wire snow . We change over , then its a matter of how long we rain . All the Non American models see it . And you better hope thats the last W shift or the CCB will be in the lower hudson valley as we dry slot Exactly we may only get a few inches, if that given the trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Many runs to go. A changeover isnt a lock just yet.West trend has been the theme the entire winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Exactly we may only get a few inches, if that given the trends. If models trend towards the EURO tonight im giving up on anything more than 5-6" for LI as im not keen on relying on wraparound CCB action. Not too excited thus far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Many runs to go. A changeover isnt a lock just yet. Absolutely! Though I don't think it's looking like all snow either everyone needs chill pill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masomenos Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I have a flight to ATL (en route to the DR) leaving Friday morning, 6am, Southwest. I think I figured out which actual plane is the one used: there is a flight that goes from ATL to LGA leaving 9pm the day before. If that flight can get to NY, I think I would be clear to leave Fri morning. Hopefully this thing is faster than progged. Pretty wishful thinking. The scale of this storm is going to have flights backed up for days. I pretty much gave up flying in February around here because it almost always puts some kind of damper on my trips. Wish you the best, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ababa Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 the trend is that this is not a coastal storm big hit (well it is if rainy/nasty counts).....really suprised at how warm the guidance has been today. I wasnt going to go skiing in the catskills this weekend....may change my mind if they r buried under 18"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Pretty wishful thinking. The scale of this storm is going to have flights backed up for days. I pretty much gave up flying in February around here because it almost always puts some kind of damper on my trips. Wish you the best, though. Thanks. ATL should be in good shape by then, if the coastal plain is mostly rain by midday Thurs I might be ok. This I believe is one of the first flights that leaves LGA in the morning, so that helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I wonder if there is a link between being weather enthusiast and bipolar disorder. Coastal guys go read the nw thread! That group just got a shot in the arm of china white heroin as the you guys look for a solid place to jump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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