Sn0waddict Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Radio show?? Uh oh kiss this storm threat goodbye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Oh in that case yes that is surely within reach. Some folks may get there already from just the Thursday storm! NYC has 41.5" and needs 75.6" to tie 95-96 for seasonal snowfall. That means the station needs another 34.1" in order to tie the snowiest winter on record. This is extremely unlikely, if not impossible, from one storm, especially considering Central Park's biggest snowfall was the 26" in February 2006. For Westchester, the snowiest winter on record in Dobbs Ferry was 90" in 60-61. We have about 54" so far, so we'd need another 46" to get there. Highly unlikely but possible if we get a bomb. It certainly won't happen in this storm, however. The point being, you need another major storm after this one, assuming a MECS on Thursday, to get to the record snowfall season. And that's assuming we get the 12-18" Thursday and get a pattern that supports another major snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ababa Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I love it....main weather thread already going downhill with the discussion of the asian models. "shutup and learn some things!" For once in my life i am sick of the basically wire-to-wire winter we are having with only a couple of brief warmups. Cant wait to see the total meltdown if we get a hiccup suite of models... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Radio show?? Uh oh kiss this storm threat goodbye. First one since Sandy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 NYC has 41.5" and needs 75.6" to tie 95-96 for seasonal snowfall. That means the station needs another 34.1" in order to tie the snowiest winter on record. This is extremely unlikely, if not impossible, from one storm, especially considering Central Park's biggest snowfall was the 26" in February 2006. For Westchester, the snowiest winter on record in Dobbs Ferry was 90" in 60-61. We have about 54" so far, so we'd need another 46" to get there. Highly unlikely but possible if we get a bomb. It certainly won't happen in this storm, however. The point being, you need another major storm after this one, assuming a MECS on Thursday, to get to the record snowfall season. And that's assuming we get the 12-18" Thursday and get a pattern that supports another major snowfall. Maybe not for NYC or Westchester but other areas possibly. I do tend to agree though that it would take the max possible on Thursday and then another big one before winter ends or perhaps several SECS type storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 NYC has 41.5" and needs 75.6" to tie 95-96 for seasonal snowfall. That means the station needs another 34.1" in order to tie the snowiest winter on record. This is extremely unlikely, if not impossible, from one storm, especially considering Central Park's biggest snowfall was the 26" in February 2006. For Westchester, the snowiest winter on record in Dobbs Ferry was 90" in 60-61. We have about 54" so far, so we'd need another 46" to get there. Highly unlikely but possible if we get a bomb. It certainly won't happen in this storm, however. The point being, you need another major storm after this one, assuming a MECS on Thursday, to get to the record snowfall season. And that's assuming we get the 12-18" Thursday and get a pattern that supports another major snowfall. 36" to get there in Dobbs Ferry, not 46". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The discussion thread has taken a turn for the worse I fear... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 This is going to be a ruff week in the main thread. It's about to get real. The model huggers are going to drive themselves nuts (this is not an easy situation so there are likely ups and downs on the way) if they aren't crazy yet just wait! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I'm just sitting here wondering how long they are going to keep that archaic, low resolution crap show of a model page on NCEP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I preferred the old page... but yea, it's amazing. I'm just sitting here wondering how long they are going to keep that archaic, low resolution crap show of a model page on NCEP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Lonnie quin just said 3-6" on 880. Funny if he ends up right. If you took away all computer access from me gave me the date and basic players on the map that's what I would go for using climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I already posted what they show. Is this really necessary? Stop being so damn argumentative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 it's a snowy century. locally (partially using rutgers stats).......... from 1970 to 2000 there were 4 winters with 36+ inches of snow. since 2000 there have been 7 winters with 36+ inches of snow. fully half the winters since 2001 have had minimally 3 feet of snow locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I think this storm is going to break the record with the most posts! So much more time to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Two comments: You can actually tell if a storm threat thread has dropped to simply 'very enthusiastic' from 'fever pitch' by seeing if the last post in the thread was > 1 minute ago. 'Thumping' is invariably used in conjunction with the term 'front end' and almost always relating to a snow to rain situation; perhaps it helps the snow loving poster block out the rain part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I'm just sitting here wondering how long they are going to keep that archaic, low resolution crap show of a model page on NCEP. The Mets in the Philly thread bring you back to reality. I do however find your post very informative, people just need to relax and read a little bit and try using Google once in a while. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The Mets in the Philly thread bring you back to reality. I do however find your post very informative, people just need to relax and read a little bit and try using Google once in a while. Good luck. This response confuses me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 This response confuses me what is this post anyway? besides it being the poster child for a banter-thread worthy post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 How much snow does the NAM have for my backyard? Will I change to rain? I heard the GFS has a snowstorm for Bermuda. What's an ensemble? Why doesn't the NAM have ensembles? What's a benchmark? How much for Philly? What tine does it start? Why does the NAM show rain for me and snow for South Carolina? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 How much snow does the NAM have for my backyard? Will I change to rain? I heard the GFS has a snowstorm for Bermuda. What's an ensemble? Why doesn't the NAM have ensembles? What's a benchmark? How much for Philly? What tine does it start? Why does the NAM show rain for me and snow for South Carolina? ahhh taking some swings at sferic and crew huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Is anything being done to the server in order to prevent it from crashing due to the high volume of traffic expected? It was close to impossible to post today for the 12z runs and it's only going to get worse if tends continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 What's everyone thoughts as of now for central jersey? Monmouth county? Rain snow mix? Or all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Channel 7 lee Goldberg says 3-6" then rain? Is that realistic? I'm hoping for a classic nor'easter 18" + Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 What's everyone thoughts as of now for central jersey? Monmouth county? Rain snow mix? Or all snow That's a IMBY question. They will get deleted. Just a heads up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Ok I'm sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Channel 7 lee Goldberg says 3-6" then rain? Is that realistic? I'm hoping for a classic nor'easter 18" + In LaLa land maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 This response confuses me It was a compliment but that is OK . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Are we in trouble. There's been a lot of negativity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The not being able to go to last unread post automatically while on mobile is annoying as hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Are we in trouble. There's been a lot of negativity. It's going to be an emotional roller coaster until this storm over. To much model hugging always ends poorly outside 48 hours. The nws doesn't look at a model run and forecast verbatim for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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