jm1220 Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Thank you William! WOW at phl Between the last 2 storms, JFK should be at least 5" higher than that. Central Park arguably should be higher based on its lowball measurement on 1/2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 I thought you need a 50/50 low and block for a KU? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 I thought you need a 50/50 low and block for a KU? If we had that we would've gotten 3 feet. Til then its these nickel and dime events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 If we had that we would've gotten 3 feet. Til then its these nickel and dime events. 10-11 inches of snow is not a nickel or dime event to me….i will take these 8-10 inch storms every 2 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 10-11 inches of snow is not a nickel or dime event to me….i will take these 8-10 inch storms every 2 weeks Obviously I was kidding..back in December people kept saying we were just going to keep getting small nickel and dime events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Obviously I was kidding..back in December people kept saying we were just going to keep getting small nickel and dime events Back in december? That was said less than a week ago lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 This cold sucks. Bring on Spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Thank you William! WOW at phl Philly has more than Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 This cold sucks. Bring on Spring. First time I ever heard you say that considering your weenie intentions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAMSTORM22 Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 SUPER BOWL XLVIII SPECIALS – What will be the temperature at Kickoff? Over/Under 32 degrees Fahrenheit SUPER BOWL XLVIII SPECIALS – What will be the lowest temperature during the game? Over/Under 28 degrees Fahrenheit What do you guys think...based on everything ive read on here i say its time to lay down the mortgage on under edit: Just swiched to 32/28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 SUPER BOWL XLVIII SPECIALS – What will be the temperature at Kickoff? Over/Under 34 degrees Fahrenheit SUPER BOWL XLVIII SPECIALS – What will be the lowest temperature during the game? Over/Under 31 degrees Fahrenheit What do you guys think...based on everything ive read on here i say its time to lay down the mortgage on under In the teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 record low temp for this date at New Brunswick is 10 below zero in 1984. numerous sub zero days from the late 70s thru mid 1980s. i suspect we're entering such a period again... just based on the prolonged absence of extreme cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 record low temp for this date at New Brunswick is 10 below zero in 1984. numerous sub zero days from the late 70s thru mid 1980s. i suspect we're entering such a period again... just based on the prolonged absence of extreme cold. Haven't been below zero here since 1994( have been to zero since then but not below) Was 2 degrees earlier in month... maybe do it next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Haven't been below zero here since 1994( have been to zero since then but not below) Was 2 degrees earlier in month... maybe do it next week. it does seem insane that it's been that long. did you keep records in 1979? i remember feb 79 was insane. many nights well below zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 You know the pattern is orgasmic and euphoric when there are 1,000+ members online in this forum during non-storm periods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 it does seem insane that it's been that long. did you keep records in 1979? i remember feb 79 was insane. many nights well below zero. Yes feb of 1979... the period from the 9th thru the 19th was especially brutal. I had 5 days in that period below zero... the coldest being -3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Q train in BrooklynFrozen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Q train in Brooklyn Frozen Ant that looks cold lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Q train in Brooklyn Frozen Was that taken today? Surprising since the "Q" is one of the warmest trains in the subway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Austinwx Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 ^ Salt residue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I don't get it....even with well-below freezing temps for day time highs, the current snow pack still manages to shrink. Can direct sunlight melt the snow even if it's only in the teens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I don't get it....even with well-below freezing temps for day time highs, the current snow pack still manages to shrink. Can direct sunlight melt the snow even if it's only in the teens?Compaction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I don't get it....even with well-below freezing temps for day time highs, the current snow pack still manages to shrink. Can direct sunlight melt the snow even if it's only in the teens?it's likely compacting, we got a lot of snow from very little QPF so the snow is settling, the last few inches should bullet proof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I don't get it....even with well-below freezing temps for day time highs, the current snow pack still manages to shrink. Can direct sunlight melt the snow even if it's only in the teens? Sublimation...although im sure certain surfaces get warm enough in the sun to melt snow as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I wonder if we could set some snow cover records, there's no big warm up in the foreseeable future, and I can see the snow pack lasting well into February with perhaps several more inches to add on top of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I wonder if we could set some snow cover records, there's no big warm up in the foreseeable future, and I can see the snow pack lasting well into February with perhaps several more inches to add on top of it. In winter 2010-2011 we basically had snow cover here from Boxing Day through late February. It also set up the bad flooding that Spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 HPC from March 2001 EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR 05 THRU 09 MAR 2001HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...NCEP...NWS...WASHINGTON DC2:27 PM EST FRI MAR 02 2001...PRELIMINARY VERSION.POTENTIALLY SERIOUS E COAST STORM STARTING LATE ON DAY 3 (SUN).THREAT OF HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG COASTAL WINDS CONTINUES FOR THEMID-ATLANTIC.....MODEL OVERVIEW AND DISCUSSION...WE NOW HAVE HIGHER CERTAINTY THAT THERE WILL INDEED BE THEDEVELOPMENT OF A MAJOR STORM ALONG THE EAST COAST...MAYBE EVEN ABLIZZARD...IN THE DAY 2-3 PERIOD.THE VERY STRONG BLOCK NW OVER THE SOUTHERN DAVIS STRAIT WILL DRIFTWESTWARD AND WEAKEN SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT DAYS...BUT CONTROL THEWEATHER OVER NOAM THE ENTIRE TIME.CONCERNING THE EAST COAST CYCLOGENESIS...MODELS ARE GROUPED INTOTHREE SCHOOLS OF THOUGHT. THE ECMWF HAS NOW JOINED THE AVN/MRFNOGAPS IN FORECASTING STRONG CYCLOGENESIS EAST OF CAP HATTERAS INTHE 60-72 HOUR PERIOD...POSSIBLY EVEN A SNOWSTORM OF HISTORICALPROPORTIONS FOR THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.THE MIDDLE SCHOOL IS PORTRAYED BY THE CANADIAN WHICH DROPS A COLDVORTEX SOUTHWARD ACROSS WV INTO NC DAYS 3-4. WHILE IT STILL HAS ITSMAIN SURFACE STORM FAR OUT AT SEA...IT IS SOMEWHAT SIMILAR AT 500MILLIBARS TO THE LATEST AVN RUN THAT DOES INDEED SHOW ANINTENSIFYING STORM.LAST NIGHTS UKMET AND MODEL ENSEMBLE DATA ARE IN THE MORECONSERVATIVE SCHOOL. THEY ARE CONSISTENT IN SLOWLY MOVING A DEEPCOLD VORTEX ACROSS THE ERN LAKES DAY 3. THEIR SOLUTIONS SUPPRESSSTRONG SYS MOVING ACROSS THE SERN STATES FAR ENOUGH SOUTH THATHEAVY PCPN DOES NOT GET INTO NYC AND NEW ENG SUN-TUE. UNTILTODAY...THE CANADIAN MODEL WAS MORE LIKE THE NOGAPS.WHEN WE PUT EVERYTHING TOGETHER...THE NEW AVN RUN HAS ACTUALLYREINFORCED THE COASTAL CYCLOGENESIS SCENARIO. THE 60HOUR ETA HASTRENDED FARTHER NORTH THAN ITS PREVIOUS RUN AND SHOWS SIGNIFICANTSNOW FOR THE MID ATLANTIC SUN. WHAT COULD MAKE THIS A HISTORICALSTORM IS THAT THE VERY COLD DEEP VORTEX OVER NORTHERN MAINE ISFORECAST BY THE MRF/AVN/ECMWF/NOGAPS TO MOVE RAPIDLY WESTWARDINTO THE EASTERN LAKES OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...THEN MAKE A SHARPLEFT TURN SOUTHWARD INTO OHIO DAY 3 WHILE EXPLOSIVE DEEPENINGOCCURS EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS. THE CLOSEST ANALOG TO THIS IS AT 500MILLIBARS IS THE BLIZZARD OF JAN 29-30 1966. THE FEB 6 1978 CASE...WHICHBURIED SOUTHERN NEW ENG/NYC/EASTERN PA...IS A CLOSE SECOND. THE MAINDIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE 1978 AND THE 1966 CASES IS THAT THE MAIN VORTENERGY ALOFT DROPPED SOUTHEAST AND CLOSED OFF OVER THE DELMARVAREGION IN 1978 RATHER THAN TURNING SOUTH AFTER A WESTWARD TREKACROSS THE ST LAWRENCE SEAWAY(1966). THERE IS MINUS 40C AIR AT 500MILLIBARS IN THE VORTEX OVER NORTHERN MAINE. WATER VAPOR IMAGERYSHOWS A TREMENDOUS SUBTROPICAL JET ACROSS MEXICO INTO THE CONUS.THE LATENT HEAT RELEASE OF HEAVY PCPN...COUPLED WITH DE-STABILIZATION AS VERY COLD TEMPS ALOFT REACH THE MID ATLANTICCOAST...COULD GENERATE A VERY POWERFUL STORM SUN NIGHT INTO TUE FORTHE MID ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AREAS. WE FEEL THAT THEAVN SCENARIO IS BASICALLY CORRECT. EAST COAST...WATCH OUT!...EAST COAST STATES...USING THE AVN AS OUR MAIN TOOL...WE LOOK FOR HEAVY SNOW SUN NIGHTINTO MON OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COASTS.THERE MAY BE BEACH EROSION AND COASTAL FLOODING...ALONG WITH WINDSEXCEEDING GALE FORCE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. FARTHER INLAND..MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW FROM VA THRU THESOUTHERN HALF OF NEW ENGLAND. LOW WIND CHILLS WITH TEMPSGENERALLY IN THE HIGH TEENS TO MID 20'S. THERE COULD EVEN BETHUNDERSNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY EXCEED A FOOT FROMNORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA NORTHEASTWARD THRU THE MAJORMETROPOLITAN AREAS. THE AVN HAS TARGETED NJ AS AN AREA WHERE ASMUCH AS TWO FEET COULD FALL. THE BACK EDGE OF SNOWFALL FROM WVINTO ERN OH WILL BE SHARP AND A FUNCTION OF WHERE THE UPPER SHEARAXIS SETS UP. THE BACK EDGE OF THE SNOW MAY BE SLOW TO MOVEEASTWARD TOWARDS THE COAST.FOR TUE (DAY 4)... SNOW GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF OVER THE SRN NEWENG/MID ATLANTIC AREAS. COLD AND WINDY WITH LOW WIND CHILLS ANDBLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. WINDY AND COLD WEATHER WILL CONTINUEEVEN INTO WED (DAY 5) AS THE STORM SLOWLY MOVES OFF THE ATLANTICCOAST. CONTINUED COLD WITH HARD FREEZES IN NRN FL AND THE GULFCOAST REGION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 ...why are we posting something that happened 13 years ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 ...why are we posting something that happened 13 years ago? Ant like to remember the great weather events. I love watching the old TWC local forecasts of blizzard of 96' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueSkiesFading Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 ...why are we posting something that happened 13 years ago? Probably bc that write-up was for the March 2001 debacle (one of the worst busts since the Internet became big). I though it was an interesting read. 60 hours out they were expecting 1-2 feet of snow from VA through NJ/NY all the way through SNE. Most areas were lucky to pull off 2-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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