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Winter 2013 - 2014 Banter Thread


NEG NAO

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Too bad the SW behind dries out as it comes E . 

It gets sheared out by the piece of the PV starting to rotate in. A few model runs had these two pieces of energy phasing and that's what led to a few runs of major storms. The Euro had this in the medium range and yesterdays 12z GGEM. Yesterday that model was showing a sub 970mb low over Cape Cod. :facepalm:

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The polar vortex talk has already made it back to the main stream media. Media shouldn't comment about things they have no clue about.

Yup spot on, i NEVER listen or trust anything as far as weather goes from a media outlet. They're the propaganda machine of weather. Granted i know they're are a few good mets on TV that are trusted but they are few and very far between

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No problem.. And yeah I realize its absurd to even talk about 16 days out. Unfortunately any storm that shows up on the models around that date will throw the media into a frenzy.

If i lived just a little closer id rent out my condo for the week for like 10k and stay at my parents house, lol.

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If i lived just a little closer id rent out my condo for the week for like 10k and stay at my parents house, lol.

My brother in law's townhouse in Secaucus literally faces Met Life Stadium.  However, his wife refuses to allow strangers to take over their home for the week despite the potential money they could get. ha ha ha 

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local news on the Polar Vortex 2

 

The polar vortex likely to return to N.J. next week, this time for the long haul

 

http://www.nj.com/weather-guy/index.ssf/2014/01/the_polar_vortex_will_return_to_nj_this_week_this_time_for_the_long_haul.html#incart_river_default

 

Aw come on. The PV won't go over NJ, it'll drifting from the Upper Midwest to New England. That's something that I don't like about the news and that's stretching the truth. 

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I keep hearing (reading) the word "patience" thrown around by people like Earthlight and others. This I agree with. It could take 7-10 or more days for this pattern to produce....if it does at all. With that said, I do like our odds considering how giddy Earthlight has been recently and how most of the models are handling the PV, trough axis and higher heights near the DS for some real threats in the not too distant future.

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We are going to need to be patient. This is a classic evolution of a pattern like this with the polar vortex dropping south before it elongates. Everybody will start screaming cold and dry, cold and dry, the pattern busted, etc etc. And all of a sudden as the PV moves north and/or elongates, you'll start seeing the parade of threats showing up on the model guidance. It is almost like an instant replay every time we go through a pattern like this.

 

Patience, patience, patience.

Right on cue, everybody is screaming cold and dry in the Janurary discussion thread :lol:

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Yeah and the " if it ain't gonna snow it may as well be warm" posts are sure to follow.

I am in that camp of feeling cold and dry is worse than a torch but I think we snow at some point between now and the super bowl. And when I say snow, I mean at least 4"+ type stuff. We'll see

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