PB GFI Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Paul Kocin Likes its chances for 'signficant winter event' though it presents itself as 'a very modest storm' now I think this can come to the coast and not cut , after that who knows , im not saying it has to be snow , but I hope the Euro and it 60 it hangs on us here Monday is off . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stockmanjr Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 For us but could be big for the interior It would be extremely irresponsible for Koccin to be saying it's going to be a major storm for anyone at D6 with the model spread that we're seeing and just the fact that it's D6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 18z NAM QPF BOMB coming on up ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 My head hurts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The playbook now says that the GFS should get worse since the NAM improved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The playbook now says that the GFS should get worse since the NAM improved. touché sir. the tides may be turning...probably not because the NAM is stubborn to lose its losing streak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 reading this board totally reminds me of the thread that someone here started a couple winters back about the typical reactions of the members in this forum.. from the mother of god posts, to the convective feedback, and "toss it" posts, down to the "see ya" by mulen everything is just so accurate lol i wish someone would bring it back up haha, idk who started it though.. someone help me out!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 reading this board totally reminds me of the thread that someone here started a couple winters back about the typical reactions of the members in this forum.. from the mother of god posts, to the convective feedback, and "toss it" posts, down to the "see ya" by mulen everything is just so accurate lol i wish someone would bring it back up haha, idk who started it though.. someone help me out!! I believe earthlight.. Have to scroll back a few pages Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Honestly, I was thinking the GFS will be the one showing a big hit while the EURO catches up in the last 24-48 hours or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I believe earthlight.. Have to scroll back a few pages lol, found it.. thank you very much!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Does anyone have any saved model archives from before Boxing Day? Like maybe the GFS run before it started showing the big storm, I'd be interested in seeing the differences. Not comparing the storms at all, but it is a sort of similar situation where we need the trough to sharpen faster and deeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I went to bed last night after hearing about the epic 18z and 12z runs in this board without staying up for the overnight 0z suite. I did not need to look at the content of today's 0z, 06z and 12'z threads to know that things became very bearish for us. Instead, I looked at the other respective regional forums' storm thread page count before coming into this forum today.The Mid-Atlantic's storm thread only increased very little in thread size since last night but New England's increased a good amount. That is a great barometer of any winter storm's modeled performance in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Lets see what this looks like in 2 days . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Lets see what this looks like in 2 days . I really don't believe that moves inland like you said. coastal storm in the end I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Lets see what this looks like in 2 days . The Euro is a driving rain storm and 50 degrees. I wouldn't expect much from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I really don't believe that moves inland like you said. coastal storm in the end I think Stick a fork in this one. There's nothing to keep it from cutting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Stick a fork in this one. There's nothing to keep it from cutting. my bad wrong storm was looking at the one later in the week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Does anyone have any saved model archives from before Boxing Day? Like maybe the GFS run before it started showing the big storm, I'd be interested in seeing the differences. Not comparing the storms at all, but it is a sort of similar situation where we need the trough to sharpen faster and deeper.The JMA was actually the first model to bring it back. Then the NAM and GFS came in and were both quickly dismissed by HPC stating model errors. The rest is history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I really don't believe that moves inland like you said. coastal storm in the end I think Go back and read what I wrote since ths AM. I said I think it's up the coast not inland. I'm not buying the euro yet at d 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Ugh. The time between the 18z GFS and the 0z NAM is just excruciating. They need to come out with an 18z EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 So, who has kids and is staying in to check the weather while watching football? Just me then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChineseFood4Snow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 So, who has kids and is staying in to check the weather while watching football? Just me then? Right there with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Well, I was going to go out but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I hope earthlight isn't hitting the booze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I hope earthlight isn't hitting the booze He snuck into NCEP w metfan to run the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 He snuck into NCEP w metfan to run the NAM. Nice. Hopefully they get into the gfs too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 As usual. NAM shows a solution everyone wants. Then when the GFS says F U to the NAM, people trash the GFS and say it has to be wrong. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 As usual. NAM shows a solution everyone wants. Then when the GFS says F U to the NAM, people trash the GFS and say it has to be wrong. Lol I don't think anyone's saying that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Based on the models, I'm confident it will snow between 3''-16'' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Based on the models, I'm confident it will snow between 3''-16'' Most sane thing I have seen today Though Id cut back the 16 to 15.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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