SnoSki14 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 944 mb. The Euro control always produces some extreme solution, I would easily have over 100" if it were correct. We'll probably just be cold and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 The Euro control always produces some extreme solution, I would easily have over 100" if it were correct. We'll probably just be cold and dry. Yeah, as it pummels Virginia. It is usually correct, but they are just missing us on the last three, otherwise we would have 100 inches. JUST missed three in a row. They happened, just at the control run showed, it is just that they went all around us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Euro Control run has a 988 mb low near Hatteras at 228 hrs, with moderate snow falling here. At 234 hrs it has a 956 mb low about 100 miles off of Atlantic City with heavy snow falling here, at 240 hrs it has a 944 mb low just south of Cape Cod with extremely heavy snow here, at 246 hrs it has a 948 mb low just north of Cape Cod with heavy snow still falling, then it is over. QPF over 2 inches. Ok, then. Considering Sandy made landfall with a pressure at 945 mb at Atlantic City and was a Perfect Storm hybrid, and no other storm after 1938 had a pressure as low as that, I'd rate a solution like that a real possibility. Snow goggles activated!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 The Euro control always produces some extreme solution, I would easily have over 100" if it were correct. We'll probably just be cold and dry. You can definitely see the potential there on the GFS also, it is just that it keeps bombing the low way the heck out to sea instead of where it will really be. That is why the GFS is always number 3 or 4 in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Euro Control run shows 30 inches over Western Long Island with that storm at 240 hrs and 2 feet at NYC and 1-2 feet for all of Northern New Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 who the %&$# cares Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
svh19044 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 who the %&$# cares Maybe weather FORUMS aren't for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 who the %&$# cares Entertainment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Maybe weather FORUMS aren't for you?we've seen this "control" run show monster solutions all winter. it's probably going to be wrong. what's the point of talking about it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 who the %&$# cares Go fry some potatoes. Just kidding. It is just for entertainment. This is a weather forum. Let's talk weather. How about it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 we've seen this "control" run show monster solutions all winter. it's probably going to be wrong. what's the point of talking about it? Every single one of the last three storms it showed at this range happened. It is just that it did not satisfy your requirements in your particular back yard. South Jersey is getting hammered tonight. Northern New England got hammered last week. Maybe us next time. Who knows? Why not discuss the potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
svh19044 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 we've seen this "control" run show monster solutions all winter. it's probably going to be wrong. what's the point of talking about it? The model shows it. People discuss what the models show. Why bother forecasting at all? Maybe you are in the wrong line of work? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 This is the perfect weather pattern for driving Forky over the edge. Hopefully we can muster a few more threats to seal the deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Go fry some potatoes. Just kidding. It is just for entertainment. This is a weather forum. Let's talk weather. How about it?your posts are like going to a biology forum and talking about grass being green Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 This is the perfect weather pattern for driving Forky over the edge. Hopefully we can muster a few more threats to seal the deal.au contraire, this pattern is perfect for driving nyc snow mongers over the edge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 your posts are like going to a biology forum and talking about grass being green I love you too. C'mon man. Talk weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 The model shows it. People discuss what the models show. Why bother forecasting at all? Maybe you are in the wrong line of work? In fairness it is the 240hr Euro Control model, which is an inferior version of a 10 day model output. I guess there is no harm in discussing it, but I can see why a professional would find this a waste of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 au contraire, this pattern is perfect for driving nyc snow mongers over the edge Seems to me that sifting through pages and pages of eventual nothing has got you even more twisted than usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
svh19044 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 In fairness it is the 240hr Euro Control model, which is an inferior version of a 10 day model output. I guess there is no harm in discussing it, but I can see why a professional would find this a waste of time. I haven't looked at it either nor do I really care at this point what it shows, but I'm not getting upset at the simple idea of others talking about it. We have long range forecasts that are seasons away. There is no harm if some members want to discuss varying models. Besides, 10 days out haven't verified much worse than 2 days out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Seems to me that sifting through pages and pages of eventual nothing has got you even more twisted than usual. you're half right. it's sifting through pages and pages of discussion by people who don't know what they're talking about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Yeah it's for entertainment but i don't wanna hear some 10 day model gives us 2 feet of snow again, not after all the agony we've suffered over the past month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 The model that cried wolf.....gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 In fairness it is the 240hr Euro Control model, which is an inferior version of a 10 day model output. I guess there is no harm in discussing it, but I can see why a professional would find this a waste of time. Even the main Euro run has a foot plus as close as Northern CT with this storm, and only because the main run has it too warm here. The ensembles are colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Yeah it's for entertainment but i don't wanna hear some 10 day model gives us 2 feet of snow again, not after all the agony we've suffered over the past month. Snow boots packed up in attic. Snow blower gas cans emptied into vehicles. Snow parkas placed in summer storage. Flannel lined pants packed away. Rain gear to the front closet. Ready for spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Radar has snow right now over Sullivan County, NY. The Euro did not even get snow that far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Euro Control run has a 988 mb low near Hatteras at 228 hrs, with moderate snow falling here. At 234 hrs it has a 956 mb low about 100 miles off of Atlantic City with heavy snow falling here, at 240 hrs it has a 944 mb low just south of Cape Cod with extremely heavy snow here, at 246 hrs it has a 948 mb low just north of Cape Cod with heavy snow still falling, then it is over. QPF over 2 inches. Ok, then.I want a BECS to close out the Winter. Who's with me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 It will certainly be fitting to get a hecs in april lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 I want a BECS to close out the Winter. Who's with me? Not me. Winters over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Radar has snow right now over Sullivan County, NY. The Euro did not even get snow that far north. Dry air FTL. Models only count snow that makes it to the ground. There will likely be plenty of virga overhead in this "storm". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Not me. Winters over Yup and it'll be over based on the calendar soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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