BxEngine Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 #climo loses again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 The storm will be back today I'm hoping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 The storm will be back today I'm hoping The eternal optimist my friend. Do yourself a favor today though, its forecasted to be over 50 today go outside and enjoy yourself and dont pay attention to the models. Im in the spring mode now which means i honestly gave zero ***** on the monday storm if it happened or not. Its mid march enjoy the warm weather we've had enough cold days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I'm working later so I will be enjoying the day outside. This is all my fault that the storm failed. It has never snowed once when I'm off from work. Im off Monday. If it doesnt snow monday, time to get back in shape. Jogging and biking ftw. Can't wait to play handball. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I'm working later so I will be enjoying the day outside. This is all my fault that the storm failed. It has never snowed once when I'm off from work. Im off Monday. If it doesnt snow monday, time to get back in shape. Jogging and biking ftw. Can't wait to play handball. You get any details this weekend? There's a ton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I'm working later so I will be enjoying the day outside. This is all my fault that the storm failed. It has never snowed once when I'm off from work. Im off Monday. If it doesnt snow monday, time to get back in shape. Jogging and biking ftw. Can't wait to play handball. Tuesday officially did winter in for me personally. Was outside 10 in the morning washing, clay barring ( winter really had alot of crap in the clearcoat ) and waxing/ glazing. Polished my wheels as well. Winter has ended for me and honestly it was a historical one besides the let downs what looks to be the last three storms. Next up, fishing season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 You get any details this weekend? There's a ton Purim detail. I worked the detail Thursday and Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sickman Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 The storm will be back today I'm hoping You're The Black Knight of this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 We always miss storms to the north in March but not south. Fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 The eternal optimist my friend. Do yourself a favor today though, its forecasted to be over 50 today go outside and enjoy yourself and dont pay attention to the models. Im in the spring mode now which means i honestly gave zero ***** on the monday storm if it happened or not. Its mid march enjoy the warm weather we've had enough cold days This! I'm sealing the deal on a 30ft live a board boat today in jersey. Nice day for it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 The models use to do a better job 2+ days out. This winter, they have been terrible. In the 1st half of winter, storms trended favorable for us as we got closer, now it's the opposite. In the last 4 storms, the models had a big snowstorm for our area and look, nothing at all happened. This isn't a bad pattern for snow lovers. The PV is what is killing the chances. Like I said, the pv on our side is what we need but the position is the key. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 FAIL The GGEM,GGEM Ensembles, Ukie and Euro Ensembles also showed a nice storm at one point. The GFS and GEFS also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 We were really lucky this winter. If the EPO wasn't negative, this winter would have been terrible with the -PNA and +NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 FAIL The GGEM,GGEM Ensembles, Ukie and Euro Ensembles also showed a nice storm at one point. The GFS and GEFS also. Meh, models being off on a specific storm track by a few hundred miles at 4-5 days out is acceptable by current standards. The best models sniffed out the southern track by 72 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 some people just can't learn much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 he does it again This run even looks dry for DC Minor improvements on the NAM vs. 6z run. Trough is less positively tilted at hr 54, and further east. PV noticeably further north and east vs. 6z. Allows the qpf further 25 - 50 miles north or so. Obviously not enough to get excited about, but something to just watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Another overperforming mild day. Temps already at 58, high was supposed to be 56. Windy as hell but nice out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 15, 2014 Author Share Posted March 15, 2014 If I was running this forum for winter 2014/2015 - I would 1. Limit all regular posters to 10 posts per day 2. Posters with the Met , Pro Forecaster, Administrator and Moderator tag would be allowed unlimited posts 3. Individual storm threads can only be created 3 days prior to any event 4. All other threads would have to be approved by a moderator 5. There would be a separate thread for each storm where only posters with the Met tag could post 6. Only posters that have been signed up here for a min. 6 months could post in individual storm threads unless they have a Met tag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 If I was running this forum for winter 2014/2015 - I would 1. Limit all regular posters to 10 posts per day 2. Posters with the Met , Pro Forecaster, Administrator and Moderator tag would be allowed unlimited posts 3. Individual storm threads can only be created 3 days prior to any event 4. All other threads would have to be approved by a moderator 5. There would be a separate thread for each storm where only posters with the Met tag could post 6. Only posters that have been signed up here for a min. 6 months could post in individual storm threads unless they have a Met tag All good ideas except for #1. I don't see why regular posters who make good comments can't post more than that, especially in banter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 15, 2014 Author Share Posted March 15, 2014 All good ideas except for #1. I don't see why regular posters who make good comments can't post more than that, especially in banter yes good idea they would be allowed unlimited in banter if that is possible - might not be on this web site - we as a group should try to make the storm threads an intelligent read - right now they are a disaster - we all get carried away sometimes posting nonsense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 yes good idea they would be allowed unlimited in banter if that is possible - might not be on this web site - we as a group should try to make the storm threads an intelligent read - right now they are a disaster - we all get carried away sometimes posting nonsense I agree and half of the posts end up responses to other people's useless comments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I agree and half of the posts end up responses to other people's useless comments Lol, Forky has the highest response:post ratio on AmericanWx. And it's not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 According to Köppen the winter temp criteria for for subtropical climate is determined by the lowest average monthly tempterature of the year being 0C or higher. I'm at work so I'll post a link as soon as I'm able to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Never heard of the Koppen climate classification before. So, off to Wiki. But while I'm having a little issue matching color codes, I think NYC is Dfa, or it isn't subtropical as asserted above/// Any system that puts OKC and MCO in the same climate group, well, I wonder about that. ETA: Re-reading different Wiki link, NYC is Cfa - that is subtropical. Sounds like a goofy scheme. And hard to tell from the map NYC is a different climate than the rest of NY State/ Unless you accept that climate is not the same as weather; Atlanta and Philly, same climate, different weather. That's how I explain it to climate deniers. I'm not a scientist but I am married to one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 South wind is ripping pretty good here right now. I would think there would be more of an inversion with the super cold water temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I agree and half of the posts end up responses to other people's useless comments I agree and half of the posts end up responses to other people's useless comments Eh, if I want to read a scientific discussion exclusively I can just read the NWS discussions, which are pretty darn good. I enjoy reading the stuff here but honestly I don't get half of it and trust the judgement of the better posters, and I really find the more dense discussions impenetrable and tedious. The vort this, the vort that. I do get what suppression and a lot of other terms mean and understand enough that I am incredibly the go to guy at work, but beyond that, it's like a doc analyzing your MRI or ultrasound, you don't really know what the hell he's looking at but you hope he's right when he says it looks ok. I work with a lot of science types and can tolerate the impatience many have with those of us who don't see the patterns quickly, patterns that are obvious to those with training and who can think scientifically. So I don't take it personally when one of them gets huffy with me. Most of the time anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Eh, if I want to read a scientific discussion exclusively I can just read the NWS discussions, which are pretty darn good. I enjoy reading the stuff here but honestly I don't get half of it and trust the judgement of the better posters, and I really find the more dense discussions impenetrable and tedious. The vort this, the vort that. I do get what suppression and a lot of other terms mean and understand enough that I am incredibly the go to guy at work, but beyond that, it's like a doc analyzing your MRI or ultrasound, you don't really know what the hell he's looking at but you hope he's right when he says it looks ok. I work with a lot of science types and can tolerate the impatience many have with those of us who don't see the patterns quickly, patterns that are obvious to those with training and who can think scientifically. So I don't take it personally when one of them gets huffy with me. Most of the time anyway. I was talking more about the comments that belong in banter that end up clogging up the main thread. Then you get a page and a half of responses to that comment which shouldnt have been there to begin with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I was talking more about the comments that belong in banter that end up clogging up the main thread. Then you get a page and a half of responses to that comment which shouldnt have been there to begin with. Yeah I see that now. been guilty of it myself a lot of times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Yeah I see that now. been guilty of it myself a lot of times. Oh me too. Its hard not to respond to what's an obvious troll comment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Oh me too. Its hard not to respond to what's an obvious troll comment Yup very hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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