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Winter 2013 - 2014 Banter Thread


NEG NAO

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I've been following this site for a couple of months after being referred here by teacher friends who told me that they look to this forum rather than larger sites such as weather.com for weather information. I cannot say that I will continue to look here for weather data. While it can be fun to follow a storm and interpret the data provided by the different models, everybody here is way too unbiased and wintercentric to provide any sort of objective and concrete analysis.

Even the admins who are revered were posting information this morning, merely hours ago, that directly contradicts what has been posted this afternoon. I remember seeing that same thing happen with the last storm to hit the mid atlantic last week. Clearly, just about everybody here is either a weather novice, even those who post using technical jargon, or the science behind meteoroly is just not very advanced. In either case, I cannot see why there are such disparaging comments made about the more mainstream weather sites that do not seesaw between extremem scenarios four times a day based on the many and contradicting meteorological tools at their disposal. They tend to take a more conservative and reasoned approach, which ultimately has provided them with more consistency, accuracy and reliability in their forecasting.

I feel like I'm reading a bunch of adderall ingesting weather junkies' fever dreams when I browse this forum.

You could just leave and not post about it

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I feel forky should either be banned or 5 posted for the future. I've been reading these boards since the inception after the move from Eastern and while he is an ok met he seems like a loathsome human being. For every one post of useful info posted by him you have 10 posts of banter or negativity which don't belong in the storm threads. If you really need to feel better about yourself or get joy out of trolling a weather board you really need some new interests.

Nah he's harmless. He does enjoy getting a rise out of weenie model huggers though. When a storm is imminent he usually has some decent input

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I feel forky should either be banned or 5 posted for the future.  I've been reading these boards since the inception after the move from Eastern and while he is an ok met he seems like a loathsome human being.  For every one post of useful info posted by him you have 10 posts of banter or negativity which don't belong in the storm threads.  If you really need to feel better about yourself or get joy out of trolling a weather board you really need some new interests.

He's creepy

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So the 15z SREF's are in and show a pretty dramatic shift to the southeast over previous runs. Ag3 chimes in and says it's actually not that bad but still worse than previous runs

 

Some random poster with less than 100 posts chimes in and says that the SREF's are useless

 

The 18z NAM comes out and also shifts dramatically southeast. NYC is now barely in the 0.25"+ contour.

 

Snow88 will say that it's a good run because it gives Brooklyn 3-6" of snow.

 

The 18z GFS will come out and will look just as bad if not worse than 12z.

 

Snow88 will say it's a good run because it gives Brooklyn 2-4" of snow.

 

SnoSki14 will chime in and say that he's been saying this would be suppressed for days

 

The 18z GFS then shows a massive storm at day 7 again. 24"+ from DC to Boston.

 

PB GFI will then try and begin a separate thread for this storm but Sickman will come and close it down in less than five minutes

 

The 18z GEFS come in and it looks just as bad as the op if not worse

 

Snow88 says that we still have time

 

Forky chimes in and says you're all a bunch of idiots

 

Now we wait and everyone says that the energy will finally be completely sampled so maybe something will change

 

The 21z SREF's come out and they look even worse, NYC now barely in the 0.10"+.

 

Doorman posts one of his hard to read OPC maps

 

Someone posts the 500mb vorticy maps and the energy looks to be further east than what's modeled

 

Forky reminds us that this one is over

 

The 00z NAM begins to roll and it's ejecting the energy faster and more consolidated

 

Everyone begins getting excited until they realize that it's not much better than 18z, but still shows a 3-6" event for NYC

 

Forky reminds us that the PV is further southeast this run

 

Some random poster chimes in asks how much for Trenton

 

Earthlight then says that this run was worse

 

BlueWave says that this run was another cave towards the globals

 

The 4k NAM comes in and shows 40dbz echos anchored over NYC but absolutely zilch for CT

 

People start throwing out 2/6/10 again as analog.

 

Everyone says that the NAM is overdone

 

The 00z GFS starts and people are still hoping and wishing

 

Things do look better aloft.

 

Someone says that it's baby steps

 

Snow88 says that this is a good run because it gives Brooklyn 2-4"

 

The day 7 storm now goes to Detroit

 

Snow88 says that it needs to be watched

 

The 00z GGEM comes in and it's way north.

 

Everyone dismisses it as being an outlier, and rightly so

 

DooshMagoosh asks how much for Trenton as he has to work on Monday

 

Earthlight says that it's still holding back too much energy

 

The 00z GFS comes in and it sends the storm to Florida

 

Everyone says that it's probably way too far south

 

The 00z GEFS come in and Snow88 says that it's way North. It brings the 0.25"+ contour over Brooklyn

 

1234ABC says that the Euro ensembles were actually north of the op

 

The 00z GGEM ensemble mean is in and we have a huge spread

 

The Euro comes out but nobody is awake for it to give the PBP

 

Weenies are left in limbo as they wait for the slow E-Wall graphics to update

 

The Euro looks identical to the 12z run

 

Snow88 says that it was still a nice run

 

The 03z SREF's come out and show a huge hit but very warm. The soundings point towards 6" of pure sleet in NYC

 

The 06z NAM comes out and shows a huge hit for the whole area

 

The board crashes...

 

Forky gets back on and states that the entire storm is sleet on the NAM

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So the 15z SREF's are in and show a pretty dramatic shift to the southeast over previous runs. Ag3 chimes in and says it's actually not that bad but still worse than previous runs

 

Some random poster with less than 100 posts chimes in and says that the SREF's are useless

 

The 18z NAM comes out and also shifts dramatically southeast. NYC is now barely in the 0.25"+ contour.

 

Snow88 will say that it's a good run because it gives Brooklyn 3-6" of snow.

 

The 18z GFS will come out and will look just as bad if not worse than 12z.

 

Snow88 will say it's a good run because it gives Brooklyn 2-4" of snow.

 

SnoSki14 will chime in and say that he's been saying this would be suppressed for days

 

The 18z GFS then shows a massive storm at day 7 again. 24"+ from DC to Boston.

 

PB GFI will then try and begin a separate thread for this storm but Sickman will come and close it down in less than five minutes

 

The 18z GEFS come in and it looks just as bad as the op if not worse

 

Snow88 says that we still have time

 

Forky chimes in and says you're all a bunch of idiots

 

Now we wait and everyone says that the energy will finally be completely sampled so maybe something will change

 

The 21z SREF's come out and they look even worse, NYC now barely in the 0.10"+.

 

Doorman posts one of his hard to read OPC maps

 

Someone posts the 500mb vorticy maps and the energy looks to be further east than what's modeled

 

Forky reminds us that this one is over

 

The 00z NAM begins to roll and it's ejecting the energy faster and more consolidated

 

Everyone begins getting excited until they realize that it's not much better than 18z, but still shows a 3-6" event for NYC

 

Forky reminds us that the PV is further southeast this run

 

Some random poster chimes in asks how much for Trenton

 

Earthlight then says that this run was worse

 

BlueWave says that this run was another cave towards the globals

 

The 4k NAM comes in and shows 40dbz echos anchored over NYC but absolutely zilch for CT

 

People start throwing out 2/6/10 again as analog.

 

Everyone says that the NAM is overdone

 

The 00z GFS starts and people are still hoping and wishing

 

Things do look better aloft.

 

Someone says that it's baby steps

 

Snow88 says that this is a good run because it gives Brooklyn 2-4"

 

The day 7 storm now goes to Detroit

 

Snow88 says that it needs to be watched

 

The 00z GGEM comes in and it's way north.

 

Everyone dismisses it as being an outlier, and rightly so

 

DooshMagoosh asks how much for Trenton as he has to work on Monday

 

Earthlight says that it's still holding back too much energy

 

The 00z GFS comes in and it sends the storm to Florida

 

Everyone says that it's probably way too far south

 

The 00z GEFS come in and Snow88 says that it's way North. It brings the 0.25"+ contour over Brooklyn

 

1234ABC says that the Euro ensembles were actually north of the op

 

The 00z GGEM ensemble mean is in and we have a huge spread

 

The Euro comes out but nobody is awake for it to give the PBP

 

Weenies are left in limbo as they wait for the slow E-Wall graphics to update

 

The Euro looks identical to the 12z run

 

Snow88 says that it was still a nice run

 

The 03z SREF's come out and show a huge hit but very warm. The soundings point towards 6" of pure sleet in NYC

 

The 06z NAM comes out and shows a huge hit for the whole area

 

The board crashes...

 

Forky gets back on and states that the entire storm is sleet on the NAM

pretty good

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Unless the models dramatically shift back to a big snow event, this would be the third time in two weeks the models went to crap. Each threat a different model portrayed a HECS; the EURO, GFS, and now the Canadian. I'm absolutely shell shocked. For now on I will not believe any snowstorm scenario from any model unless we are within 48 hours. :bag:

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Unless the models dramatically shift back to a big snow event, this would be the third time in two weeks the models went to crap. Each threat a different model portrayed a HECS; the EURO, GFS, and now the Canadian. I'm absolutely shell shocked. For now on I will not believe any snowstorm scenario from any model unless we are within 48 hours. :bag:

Boxing Day Blizzard should've showed a lot can happen in a small time frame. not all the time but models aren't perfect and mistakes can and will be made

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Boxing Day Blizzard should've showed a lot can happen in a small time frame. not all the time but models aren't perfect and mistakes can and will be made

if you go back in this banter thread about 40 pages or so I posted the link to that thread to show how things can change - looks like I might have to dust that off and post it again  :popcorn:

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So the 15z SREF's are in and show a pretty dramatic shift to the southeast over previous runs. Ag3 chimes in and says it's actually not that bad but still worse than previous runs

 

Some random poster with less than 100 posts chimes in and says that the SREF's are useless

 

The 18z NAM comes out and also shifts dramatically southeast. NYC is now barely in the 0.25"+ contour.

 

Snow88 will say that it's a good run because it gives Brooklyn 3-6" of snow.

 

The 18z GFS will come out and will look just as bad if not worse than 12z.

 

Snow88 will say it's a good run because it gives Brooklyn 2-4" of snow.

 

SnoSki14 will chime in and say that he's been saying this would be suppressed for days

 

The 18z GFS then shows a massive storm at day 7 again. 24"+ from DC to Boston.

 

PB GFI will then try and begin a separate thread for this storm but Sickman will come and close it down in less than five minutes

 

The 18z GEFS come in and it looks just as bad as the op if not worse

 

Snow88 says that we still have time

 

Forky chimes in and says you're all a bunch of idiots

 

Now we wait and everyone says that the energy will finally be completely sampled so maybe something will change

 

The 21z SREF's come out and they look even worse, NYC now barely in the 0.10"+.

 

Doorman posts one of his hard to read OPC maps

 

Someone posts the 500mb vorticy maps and the energy looks to be further east than what's modeled

 

Forky reminds us that this one is over

 

The 00z NAM begins to roll and it's ejecting the energy faster and more consolidated

 

Everyone begins getting excited until they realize that it's not much better than 18z, but still shows a 3-6" event for NYC

 

Forky reminds us that the PV is further southeast this run

 

Some random poster chimes in asks how much for Trenton

 

Earthlight then says that this run was worse

 

BlueWave says that this run was another cave towards the globals

 

The 4k NAM comes in and shows 40dbz echos anchored over NYC but absolutely zilch for CT

 

People start throwing out 2/6/10 again as analog.

 

Everyone says that the NAM is overdone

 

The 00z GFS starts and people are still hoping and wishing

 

Things do look better aloft.

 

Someone says that it's baby steps

 

Snow88 says that this is a good run because it gives Brooklyn 2-4"

 

The day 7 storm now goes to Detroit

 

Snow88 says that it needs to be watched

 

The 00z GGEM comes in and it's way north.

 

Everyone dismisses it as being an outlier, and rightly so

 

DooshMagoosh asks how much for Trenton as he has to work on Monday

 

Earthlight says that it's still holding back too much energy

 

The 00z GFS comes in and it sends the storm to Florida

 

Everyone says that it's probably way too far south

 

The 00z GEFS come in and Snow88 says that it's way North. It brings the 0.25"+ contour over Brooklyn

 

1234ABC says that the Euro ensembles were actually north of the op

 

The 00z GGEM ensemble mean is in and we have a huge spread

 

The Euro comes out but nobody is awake for it to give the PBP

 

Weenies are left in limbo as they wait for the slow E-Wall graphics to update

 

The Euro looks identical to the 12z run

 

Snow88 says that it was still a nice run

 

The 03z SREF's come out and show a huge hit but very warm. The soundings point towards 6" of pure sleet in NYC

 

The 06z NAM comes out and shows a huge hit for the whole area

 

The board crashes...

 

Forky gets back on and states that the entire storm is sleet on the NAM

You're best work to date.

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