codfishsnowman Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 the bickering in this thread about winter storms is almost as good as the real housewives of nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 What da Heck happened to the technical thread? I had a question about convective feedback and possible warm core development? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 On 3/21/2014 at 1:46 PM, pazzo83 said: What brutal reality? That after a cold shot it warms up again? Seek help. Why you would tell someone to seek help on a weather board is beyond me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 On 3/21/2014 at 6:11 PM, Ed Lizard said: What da Heck happened to the technical thread? I had a question about convective feedback and possible warm core development? I found it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Per the HPC's extended-range synoptic discussion: Quote THE EARLY/MIDDLE PART OF THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD WILL BEHIGHLIGHTED BY A CNTRL-ERN CONUS COLD SURGE AND RAPID/DEEP WRNATLC SFC DEVELOPMENT BOTH SUFFICIENTLY EXTREME FOR LATE MARCH TOBE OBSERVED TYPICALLY ONLY ONCE EVERY 10-20 YEARS For now, I'm going to go with what seems like a pretty solid model consensus for a clear miss to the east. That will sting not only because it likely represents our very last shot at a snowstorm for the next ~35 weeks, but because the combined cold/cyclogenesis apparently represents a 1-in-up-to-20-year return rate for this time of year. Ouch. (Cue drive-by "seek help" remarks by the self-righteous) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 On 3/21/2014 at 7:56 PM, Juliancolton said: Per the HPC's extended-range synoptic discussion: For now, I'm going to go with what seems like a pretty solid model consensus for a clear miss to the east. That will sting not only because it likely represents our very last shot at a snowstorm for the next ~35 weeks, but because the combined cold/cyclogenesis apparently represents a 1-in-up-to-20-year return rate for this time of year. Ouch. (Cue drive-by "seek help" remarks by the self-righteous) We have had plenty of severe winter events in the past 10 years- Boxing Day, 1/27/11, 2/8/13, 2/25/10, and so on. I don't think we'll have to wait 20 more years for another widespread 1-2 foot snowstorm given our run of severe winter storms in recent years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 On 3/21/2014 at 8:00 PM, jm1220 said: We have had plenty of severe winter events in the past 10 years- Boxing Day, 1/27/11, 2/8/13, 2/25/10, and so on. I don't think we'll have to wait 20 more years for another widespread 1-2 foot snowstorm given our run of severe winter storms in recent years. Nah, I'm not concerned about that. I had my big ticket event this year. Just would be been almost euphoric to experience such a cold and substantial event so late in the season. I still think it'll be fascinating to watch, honestly... should be some borderline pornographic satellite imagery and upper level analysis charts even if the storm ends up well offshore. Would be nice to plop those screenshots in the same folder as the pictures of snow from the same storm, though. Maybe I'm writing it off a bit too early, but hey, tempered expectations are a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Def looks to warm up after the potential storm..April looks to start out nice. I'm excited for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 On 3/21/2014 at 8:50 PM, Allsnow said: Def looks to warm up after the potential storm..April looks to start out nice. I'm excited for it good because this month has been the most depressing out of the whole winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 Does anyone else have a sneaky suspicion that April may throw us a snowy surprise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 On 3/22/2014 at 12:27 AM, White Gorilla said: Does anyone else have a sneaky suspicion that April may throw us a snowy surprise? I think it depends how long the inevitable warm-up lasts. Some of the forecasters seem to think it'll be relatively transient and may be followed by more cold shots, but obviously every day is precious at this point. If we can kill the SE ridge prematurely, I could see a couple wet storms with elevation/latitude benefits. I'm still waiting on my .5" to cross the 60" threshold. I'll give it until Tax Day before I start doing some systematic error corrections and revise my seasonal total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 On 3/22/2014 at 12:27 AM, White Gorilla said: Does anyone else have a sneaky suspicion that April may throw us a snowy surprise? No I do not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 got my engine parts back in yesterday! detailed engine bay today as well as the rest of the car for show in NJ on sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 It's really annoying when the same two or three people post multiple (dozen?) times each day that "it's still early, things could change!" in response to every model frame and snippet of info that is posted. There's no shame in hanging back and reading/learning... I did it for years and still do unless I know my comment or question is largely original. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 Astronomical winter here was the 3rd coldest in 37 years of record, behind 1977-78 and 1993-94. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 On 3/22/2014 at 12:58 AM, Juliancolton said: It's really annoying when the same two or three people post multiple (dozen?) times each day that "it's still early, things could change!" in response to every model frame and snippet of info that is posted. There's no shame in hanging back and reading/learning... I did it for years and still do unless I know my comment or question is largely original. I merely do it to the members that are literally sounding like they are giving up WAY too early. this season has made its living almost purely on last minute inside 72 hour changes. seems to me some of the members have a very short memory in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 Daily news is already mentioning this. Media hype starting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 On 3/22/2014 at 1:23 AM, Snow88 said: Daily news is already mentioning this. Media hype starting. N'easter bomb is what they are running it as for the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 On 3/22/2014 at 12:44 AM, REDMK6GLI said: got my engine parts back in yesterday! detailed engine bay today as well as the rest of the car for show in NJ on sunday Sick engine man, love he color scheme fits the car very well. Bet you're excited for spring because now you can work on your car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 On 3/22/2014 at 1:29 AM, StatenWx said: Sick engine man, love he color scheme fits the car very well. Bet you're excited for spring because now you can work on your car.That too! But the warm weather is ALOT more enjoyable than 30 or lower with sunny or overcast skies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 On 3/22/2014 at 1:29 AM, StatenWx said: Sick engine man, love he color scheme fits the car very well. Bet you're excited for spring because now you can work on your car. You call that an engine. Looks like a rice rocket Terrible excuse for horse power. Most likely has one of those annoying muffler sounds too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 On 3/22/2014 at 1:33 AM, Animal said: You call that an engine. Looks like a rice rocket Terrible excuse for horse power. Most likely has one of those annoying muffler sounds too I understand that this isnt american muscle or anything but it does have a nice tone to it and is not ricey at all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 On 3/22/2014 at 1:33 AM, Animal said: You call that an engine. Looks like a rice rocket Terrible excuse for horse power. Most likely has one of those annoying muffler sounds too I was talking more on the lines of the asthetic color not the horsepower bruul. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 On 3/22/2014 at 1:32 AM, REDMK6GLI said: That too! But the warm weather is ALOT more enjoyable than 30 or lower with sunny or overcast skiesMaybe I can get to putting a new front bumper on considering my bro cracked the entire thing when he was parking at school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYY_2 Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 Some clown is arguing with me that getting a blizzard without a negative NAO is impossible ...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYY_2 Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 On 3/22/2014 at 1:35 AM, REDMK6GLI said: I understand that this isnt american muscle or anything but it does have a nice tone to it and is not ricey at all! I have a 93 sentra haha, I could really rice it out but I'm looking into a new car. Anyway, what's the hp on your gti? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 22, 2014 Author Share Posted March 22, 2014 On 3/22/2014 at 12:58 AM, Juliancolton said: It's really annoying when the same two or three people post multiple (dozen?) times each day that "it's still early, things could change!" in response to every model frame and snippet of info that is posted. There's no shame in hanging back and reading/learning... I did it for years and still do unless I know my comment or question is largely original. agree 100 % Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 JB better watch out... Mike the Hobbyist had this storm weeks ago….. He has had the hot hand…go to vegas and watch This storm will be remembered as the storm that made Mike famous…(on this board)only wishing and a hoping…dusty springfield circa 1967 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 22, 2014 Author Share Posted March 22, 2014 On 3/22/2014 at 1:46 AM, NYY_2 said: Some clown is arguing with me that getting a blizzard without a negative NAO is impossible ...... somehow this song reminds me of this place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the moors in england Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 if this storm doesn't happen, I want mid 80s by Tax Day and 90s by May 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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