MJO812 Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 12z gefs are impressive. Stronger than the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Euro says no . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Euro says no . It has a half inch of snow for everyone. More than it has ever showed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 It has a half inch of snow for everyone. More than it has ever showed. The GFS has 4 . The NAM ( useless ) has 2 . The Euro shows A HALF an inch .... That's a NO . I don't know if its right , but to I gotta kinda stand by , that's a no . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 The GFS has 4 . The NAM ( useless ) has 2 . The Euro shows A HALF an inch .... That's a NO . I don't know if its right , but to I gotta kinda stand by , that's a no . did the euro have wsw criteria snow getting into Philly today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 did the euro have wsw criteria snow getting into Philly today? Did any model ? Again as I wrote " I don't know if its right " , the post was it shows nothing . The GFS has 4 The NAM has 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 18z Nam brought back the snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 18z Nam brought back the snow event. The GFS and NAM have seen it , The Euro slid it East , ,Mayb replaying today in some parts of the area Tues AM .Would like to see the Euro agree at some point . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 The GFS and NAM have seen it , The Euro slid it East , ,Mayb replaying today in some parts of the area Tues AM .Would like to see the Euro agree at some point . The fact the GFS sees this and the Euro is suppressed is odd because these are the exact sort of events where the GFS tries to use energy from the north to squash them away...on the other hand its somewhat thermal gradient induced and its possible the American models may have a better handle right now on the whole SE ridge/gradient situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 The fact the GFS sees this and the Euro is suppressed is odd because these are the exact sort of events where the GFS tries to use energy from the north to squash them away...on the other hand its somewhat thermal gradient induced and its possible the American models may have a better handle right now on the whole SE ridge/gradient situation. I agree its typical for the GFS to take the max out due East . The only thing that makes me suspect is that the Euro loves to Deepen energy in its LR off the East coast . It brings the PV further south and shunts the Ridge . I guess its a week of where the PV is , if it relaxes the model will pull it N . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 The fact the GFS sees this and the Euro is suppressed is odd because these are the exact sort of events where the GFS tries to use energy from the north to squash them away...on the other hand its somewhat thermal gradient induced and its possible the American models may have a better handle right now on the whole SE ridge/gradient situation. And great call on the WAA beating the models - I saw u had that 2 days ago , Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 And great call on the WAA beating the models - I saw u had that 2 days ago , Nice Too bad it was mainly south of here but even 2-3 days ago most models showed virtually zip for PHL....if the high had been even 100 miles more NE we'd have done way better....18Z RGEM now can see this event and shows snow in here, not as much as the NAM but more than Ops GFS or Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 GFS is a hit. 0.25+ region wide. After today's garbage would be nice to get a little snow out of a surprise-ish event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 That's a nice look . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Seeing 2- 4 based on 10 to 1 . says the model . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 8, 2013 Author Share Posted December 8, 2013 18z Nam brought back the snow event. mt. holly finally mentions the event BUT only a chance of rain or snow - still sticking with a non event here http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.fpus51.KPHI.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Gfs looks really nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 GFS is 4-6" areawide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 The GEFS have been pretty impressive for the Tue event for the past few days, particularly the last few cycles. So it's not too surprisingly to see the 18z guidance look fairly robust. I'll be curious to see if the ensembles continue to be wetter and west of the OP, or if they are closer this go around. Looks pretty cold for midday, early December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 How are the models showing this event for N+W burbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 How are the models showing this event for N+W burbs 3-6" area wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 3-6" area wide. It seems as each wave busts for our area the next is supposed to be promising lmao.. We shall see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 18z GEFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 18z GEFS: I would be nice to see something verify lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 It seems as each wave busts for our area the next is supposed to be promising lmao.. We shall see A bust? Yea if you consider an over performer a bust because that's what it generally was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 I think we gotta survive one more main model run with this storm that being the 00z tonight if the NAM GFS and RGEM all hold or improve we got it in the bag I think just then need to hope for more QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 A bust? Yea if you consider an over performer a bust because that's what it generally was. With the exception of an extremely narrow strip band of heavy snow which I would admit u can consider " over performed", seeing how no model saw it, the storm has been as forcasted and I was referring more to Friday nights bust.... As this storm is still in obs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I think we gotta survive one more main model run with this storm that being the 00z tonight if the NAM GFS and RGEM all hold or improve we got it in the bag I think just then need to hope for more QPF I think this storm/wave overall has the "potential' currently to be a pleasant surprise for us tri-state folks, in that I mean a couple inches (1-3, 2-4). im quietly excited by this potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I think this storm/wave overall has the "potential' currently to be a pleasant surprise for us tri-state folks, in that I mean a couple inches (1-3, 2-4). im quietly excited by this potential That's what thought about wave 1 and 2 lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 New SREF's came pretty noticeably north and west with 0.25"+ for much of NE NJ, SE NY, NYC, LI. Were a bit more apprehensive at 15z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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