SnowGoose69 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Its like pulling teeth getting the drier air in here, probably will just make it by 09-10Z just before the snow gets in but some places may be 34/30 or so just before snow arrives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 snow growth is still excellent on both models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Its like pulling teeth getting the drier air in here, probably will just make it by 09-10Z just before the snow gets in but some places may be 34/30 or so just before snow arrives. I was thinking the same thing, I have been sitting near 38 for about 5 hours now. You will need the band to get it to stick to hard surfaces near the coast. - But man is there some huge temp differences -10 near Chicago and 75 a few hundred miles off shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 32F here in C NJ. Sky is hazy...some drying going on along with a bit of rad cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 35/35 here. It's dropping like a degree every couple hours or so I was thinking the same thing, I have been sitting near 38 for about 5 hours now. You will need the band to get it to stick to hard surfaces near the coast. - But man is there some huge temp differences -10 near Chicago and 75 a few hundred miles off shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 35/35 here. It's dropping like a degree every couple hours or so The culprit is the WSW winds, which has now switched to the W @9mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Mt Holly AFD excerpts for the southern folk "WE ARE JUST GETTING INTO THE RAP AND HRRR`S TIME FRAME AND THEY ARE SHOWING MULTIPLE BANDING POTENTIAL ON TUESDAY IN BOTH PA AND NJ. THE ECMWF AND THE CANADIAN MODEL OUTPUTS FAVOR NJ AND DE MORE SO THAN MD AND PA. NEVERTHELESS ALL OF THE MODELS ARE SHOWING A QUICK HITTING SNOW EVENT WITH A COUPLE OF HOURS OF HEAVY SNOW WHERE THESE BANDS DEVELOP. SREF MEAN SNOWFALL FOR PHL HAS SETTLED IN AT 3.6 INCHES. SREF SNOWFALL POPS DO FAVOR THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS EAST OF PA." "WE LIKE 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE I95 CORRIDOR AND THAT`S WHAT IS IN THE WSW. OUR GRAPHICS ON THE WEB WILL DISPLAY 4 TO 6 INCHES, WITH 3 TO 5 NOT BEING AN OPTION. LESS AMOUNTS SHOULD FALL ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWESTERN ZONES, THE FAR SOUTHERN ZONES AND RIGHT ALONG THE COAST. THE GFS QPF IS ON THE HIGH SIDE OF THE SPECTRUM WHILE THE EURO IS ON THE LOWER SIDE. WE`RE IN THE MIDDLE." && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Winter Storm Warnings possible tomorrow morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Winter Storm Warnings possible tomorrow morning? Nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Winter Storm Warnings possible tomorrow morning? Still nothing issued up here in Putnam...fully expecting a WWA for 2-4 inches barring a dry/south Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I doubt it. Not unless some Philly like band sets up and pivots slowly and only after 6" stripe was laid down. Models generally support a 2 - 5" event area wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Nope I see a lot of people issuing 3-6 + for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Winter Storm Warnings possible tomorrow morning? Not unless a band sets up and trains over a certain area like it did on Sunday (it would be more of a now casting warning) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 The RAP runs are couple hours ahead of the HRRR runs. 3z RAP is already out on twisterdata: http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=RAP&grid=255&model_yyyy=2013&model_mm=12&model_dd=10&model_init_hh=03&fhour=11¶meter=CREF&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false lol what happened to Long Island on that map?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Winter Storm Warnings possible tomorrow morning? Highly doubt it. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Remember that those sim radars are composite reflectivity (as opposed to base)...composite tends to be overdone because it shows precip "potential" as opposed to what is actually being realized at the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Anyone know how far NW did the euro came Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Anyone know how far NW did the euro came Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Its bad timing for schools….send them the school under cloudy skys and by 10am its crushing snow….. That used to happen to us all the time growing up. Snow hadn't started but we had winter storm warnings for 6"+, get to school, starts pouring snow, everyone sent home, disaster ensues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Anyone got the euro snowfall map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 That used to happen to us all the time growing up. Snow hadn't started but we had winter storm warnings for 6"+, get to school, starts pouring snow, everyone sent home, disaster ensues. Used to happen alot when I lived in the poconos, but the drivers were usually amazing at their jobs so we normally didnt have a hard time getting home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 37/31 in the park, 37/36 downtown (by the water). Looks like the drier air is en route: State College: 32/22 Pittsburgh: 29/21 Erie: 28/16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 29/29 here with freezing fog believe it or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 29/29 here with freezing fog believe it or not Same here... 29/29 Everything is still caked in ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Same here... 29/29 Everything is still caked in ice Snows should begin to stick and accumulat instantly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 The temps should drop a few degrees through 5 AM areawide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 doesn't look to promising for any surprises north and west of NYC rgem shows most moderate snows staying well south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 doesn't look to promising for any surprises north and west of NYC rgem shows most moderate snows staying well south I guess 1-3" inches of snow is the general amount for the Northern Tri State area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 34 in Western Nassau with frost everywhere.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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