White Gorilla Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 NOAA is still going with an inch for me I feel your pain....( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Those heavy rates which are shown on that radar. It's not stationary like the other day. Obv it's a 6-8 hr storm, but those rates will only last for a few hrs That's what I thought u meant but the way it sounded was a 3-4 hr storm lol I was like wait what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Since this storm seems to be focused around one band, now casting is going to be important. There can easily be forecast busts for both lower and higher amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I feel your pain....( Dont worry I think we will do just fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 It's a 7 hr system. But 4 of them are intense under those bands. CNJ nyc accross Long Island The other 3 are light Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I have two questions, number one where is the cold air for tonight? I see basically 30 as the lowest temperature in ny state including western and northern parts. Second question is I don't ever remember getting a good snowfall in the 3-6 inch range with a northwest wind, do any of you remember a situation like that. Otherwise I'm psyched for our first snowfall for nyc and I will happy to observe from Brooklyn (home) and woodmere (work) and in between (belt parkway is sure to be a fun ride tomorrow if this snowfall happens. I agree on the wind deal, I mentioned that earlier today I don't recall any event in particular where that occurred, a 330-360 wind yes but not 280-300...the temps and DPs will drop behind this boundary shortly, there are mid 20s dewpoints all over C PA...I think even the warmest areas will be 33/26 or so when the snow starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Dont worry I think we will do just fine NAM giving me hope....we're not in the yellow, but we are in the darkest green! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 NOAA is still going with an inch for me If anything changes it won't be till after the Euro comes out... Give it time lol... Always in a rush Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Hopefully me being in the yellow is a good thing for once. Soooo many times ive gotten shafted where it ended up being to my west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 If anything changes it won't be till after the Euro comes out... Give it time lol... Always in a rush Gotcha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Our first snowfall was last night. I measured an inch, so that's pretty real to me I have two questions, number one where is the cold air for tonight? I see basically 30 as the lowest temperature in ny state including western and northern parts. Second question is I don't ever remember getting a good snowfall in the 3-6 inch range with a northwest wind, do any of you remember a situation like that. Otherwise I'm psyched for our first snowfall for nyc and I will happy to observe from Brooklyn (home) and woodmere (work) and in between (belt parkway is sure to be a fun ride tomorrow if this snowfall happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 One last frame of its current run the HRRR indicating the heavy bands may generally be SE of NYC...this is a 15Z timeframe, it starts snowing at 13Z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Remember that's a composite depiction of sim radar. No way anyone sees 10 with such a fast moving system west westerly wind. Edit 4k NAM I'm talking about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Remember that's a composite depiction of sim radar. No way anyone sees 10 with such a fast moving system west westerly wind. Edit 4k NAM I'm talking about "i do think the NAM is now too dry,but we'll see" lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 No stop! It's not going to linger that long. It's a 3-4 hr hit. StopAre you serious? Must be a joke. When you become a mod, which is never, then you can tell me to stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 No stop! It's not going to linger that long. It's a 3-4 hr hit. Stop this is more than 3 hrs....come on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Are you serious? Must be a joke. you are calling for 8-10 which nobody will see…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 this is more than 3 hrs....come on Keep reading -- he clarified. This is a ~3 hours of heavier snow (the hit) bookended by 2 hours of light snow. It won't be a long event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I think he said 6-10.. and I am sure anyone under those heavy bands can get 6 inches.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 you are calling for 8-10 which nobody will see….You took what I said and twisted it. Go back and look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 this is more than 3 hrs....come on i'm talking about the heavy rates shown on the nam sim radar. They last no longer then 3-4 hrs…then will go back to lighter rates. He was calling for 8-10 amounts, this will not last that long to amount to that much... plus you will be the one crying tomorrow when you see the back edge in baltimore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Any thunder snow with this for anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 RGEM still isn't all that great, and has the heaviest amounts offshore. This is the kind of system where until I see the band getting ready to clock me on radar, there's room for doubt. The worst of this may still be mostly offshore, so we all need to watch carefully the trends in the morning. Especially north and west, this can still be a letdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 i'm talking about the heavy rates shown on the nam sim radar. They last no longer then 3-4 hrs…then will go back to lighter rates. He was calling for 8-10 amounts, this will not last that long to amount to that much... plus you will be the one crying tomorrow when you see the back edge in baltimore All that I said was that if it verifies, however likely or unlikely, that someone could get 6-10". That's 1-3" hour rates for 3 to 4 hours, you do the math. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 RGEM still isn't all that great, and has the heaviest amounts offshore. This is the kind of system where until I see the band getting ready to clock me on radar, there's room for doubt. The worst of this may still be mostly offshore, so we all need to watch carefully the trends in the morning. Especially north and west, this can still be a letdown. The RGEM is so insanely intense with the offshore band it appears to have subsidence to the north, its solution if it occurred would not be that bad an outcome for us if that megaband didnt form because you'd probably have a juicier more uniform area of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 i'm talking about the heavy rates shown on the nam sim radar. They last no longer then 3-4 hrs…then will go back to lighter rates. He was calling for 8-10 amounts, this will not last that long to amount to that much... plus you will be the one crying tomorrow when you see the back edge in baltimore not really, I'll be happy with 1-2 on 12/10, it's early, anything now is a bonus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 The RGEM is so insanely intense with the offshore band it appears to have subsidence to the north, its solution if it occurred would not be that bad an outcome for us if that megaband didnt form because you'd probably have a juicier more uniform area of snow Yeah-it's going to come down to how the radar looks as it's approaching us. I hate (or love) these kinds of systems-either feast or famine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 The RGEM is so insanely intense with the offshore band it appears to have subsidence to the north, its solution if it occurred would not be that bad an outcome for us if that megaband didnt form because you'd probably have a juicier more uniform area of snow Is the dry air eating the northern fringe of the megaband? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 hr 15 00z gfs light to mod snow in the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 hr 18 mod snow into the area…gfs holding serve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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