Stormlover74 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Would figure WWA's go up just about everywhere in the afternoon update? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 what is a CCB ? Cold conveyor belt commonly associated with coastal storms and deformation banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 so based on this run what would be the start and end time for this storm around nyc? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Would figure WWA's go up just about everywhere in the afternoon update? Probably, DC already dropped the watches and went with advisories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Would figure WWA's go up just about everywhere in the afternoon update? Yea I would think deff by tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 so based on this run what would be the start and end time for this storm around nyc? 8AM to 4PM roughly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 18z NAM has 850mb temps in the -4 to -8 range area wide. Just a hair warmer than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 WWA just issued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The megaband this time develops right about over NYC instead of west like 12z. It shifted SE maybe 25 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 what is a CCB ?its where you want to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 330 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013 ...ACCUMULATING SNOW ON TUESDAY... NJZ002-004-006-103>108-100400- /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0015.131210T1100Z-131210T2300Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN- EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION- EASTERN UNION- 330 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY. * LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S. * VISIBILITIES...OCCASIONALLY BELOW 1/2 MILE IN BRIEF BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW. * TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF BY TUESDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...SNOW WILL DEVELOP DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE...AND ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL CREATE ICY AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Anyone have Mount Hollys advisory? Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Also a WWA for Nassau and the 5 boroughs but not Suffolk, Westchester, Orange or Rockland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Anyone have Mount Hollys advisory? Rossi Haven't been issued yet. Perhaps they're considering watches in far south jersey? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Orange Special Weather Statement in effect WITH ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION AND TEMPERATURES DROPPING BELOW FREEZING THIS EVENING ANY STANDING WATER WILL FREEZE LATER TONIGHT. THIS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES OVERPASSES AND UNTREATED ROADS. SNOW WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND EASTERN LONG ISLAND. SLIGHTLY HIGHER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IF SNOW BANDS DEVELOP AND IF THAT OCCURS A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WOULD BE NEEDED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Also a WWA for Nassau and the 5 boroughs but not Suffolk, Westchester, Orange or Rockland Nothing yet. My forecast still reads 1-3" which would be under advisory criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The 12z ECMWF ensemble mean gets the good precip well NW into NE PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The 18z NAM has a vort max passing right over the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 This should be a fun little event, do think some spots get as high as 6" within the heaviest banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Nothing yet. My forecast still reads 1-3" which would be under advisory criteria. One was just issued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The 18z NAM has a vort max passing right over the area That's what we need for the lower hudson valley lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Cant find it out of Upton , But 880 just said WSW up for NWNJ ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Mt Holly went with a warning for Trenton to Philly, Mercer, SW NJ, SE PA, WWA for everyone else except Sussex, NJ. Only a 1" difference though for those under the warning as opposed to the advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Haven't been issued yet. Perhaps they're considering watches in far south jersey? Wwa 3-5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Mt Holly went with a warning for Trenton to Philly, Mercer, SW NJ, SE PA, WWA for everyone else except Sussex, NJ Ah I think there criteria is 4 inches or greater ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 That's what we need for the lower hudson valley lol Climatology has a way or working itself out. Just by being in Orange county you will do better than the rest of us by winter's end 90% of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pstar3182 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Wwa 3-5 http://www.weather.gov/phi/ easy to find Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Parts of SE Kansas are reporting light snow. Looks basically in line with model guidance of a few hundredths. Although this area of lift isn't directly associated with the bands that might affect the city corridor tomorrow, I will be interested to see if/how it blossoms overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Ah I think there criteria is 4 inches or greater ? Ours is 6" or greater in 12 hours, I believe theirs is 4" or greater (southern half of Mt. Holly CWA) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Ah I think there criteria is 4 inches or greater ? Yeah 3-5". Probably could have just as easily went with a WWA everywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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