Superstorm93 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I wonder if the NAM has banding... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Could be pretty high impact considering the commutes. On air mets up in my area in New England seem to edge in the side of the euro, and have pulled back a little on amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I wonder if the NAM has banding... frontb25.png frontb26.png That's a pretty sight for my backyard. Hope it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 It's tough to pinpoint amounts and a lot of it will probably be nowcast, always felt this wave would produce more so than the others and so far it's leaning that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Tomorrow will obviously be a huge nowcasting event. Folks that are able to stay underneath the heaviest bands could walk away with 4-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Tomorrow will obviously be a huge nowcasting event. Folks that are able to stay underneath the heaviest bands could walk away with 4-6" Dry air north of the band could limit the amount of snow that falls north of the main band. So places just north of it could walk away with little. Someone is going to be heartbroken after all this, I worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I wonder if the NAM has banding... frontb25.png frontb26.png That would be one crazy band, whoever is stuck underneath it. That could be a couple of inches of snow per hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Dry air north of the band could limit the amount of snow that falls north of the main band. So places just north of it could walk away with little. Someone is going to be heartbroken after all this, I worry. Its going to be similar to all other banding situations that we have seen over the past few years. Some will say it was an overperformer and some will cry bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 SREFs bumped NW again. 0.25+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Nah, they are usually pretty good. Maybe today is the office Christmas party. ..their discussion time stamp was 1:03 pm..but their discussion has stayed the same since this morning ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 SREFs bumped NW again. 0.25+ You have them already? I'm only out to 18hrs on SV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 SREFs bumped NW again. 0.25+ Looks much better for the metro area up into the HV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Looks much better for the metro area up into the HV. The furthest NW yet. That 0.25+ really gets up into the NYC metro area by 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 snow growth is excellent on bufkit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the moors in england Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 snow growth is excellent on bufkit this proves that forky is not always a pesimist nor a warmista. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 snow growth is excellent on bufkit Forky is excited! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 snow growth is excellent on bufkit Does any of this have to do with what someone mentioned yesterday in slant wise convection? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 snow growth is excellent on bufkit Yeah its ridiculous, I never saw the omega and snow growth match up that well, even the temps at 700-800mb are right near what you want to see them at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The 15z SREF's don't look that much wetter to me than 09z. In fact the 0.50"+ contour is further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Yeah its ridiculous, I never saw the omega and snow growth match up that well, even the temps at 700-800mb are right near what you want to see them at What are we looking at for ratios, 15:1? Or better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The furthest NW yet. That 0.25+ really gets up into the NYC metro area by 27 Another good sign. Hopefully we can have a good number of 4-5" reports if the banding works out. We might have even higher than 12:1 if we have good lift in the DGZ, maybe more like 15:1. But this will probably be a nowcasting situation since we may be so reliant on a heavy snow band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The 15z SREF's don't look that much wetter to me than 09z. In fact the 0.50"+ contour is further south. You're not looking at the right stuff if that what you see.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The SV maps include precip from today so it makes sense then from 09z to 15z there would be less. Use NCEP to see the difference. The 0.25 contour shifted NW by about 30-50miles and the 0.50 contour by about 50-75 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Well 18z NAM is running. Have a feeling it will show something ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 is the RAP a good model to follow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Keep it simple the trend is your friend it snowed twice already very nice for my area .Climatology and Dr. Joel Sobel always says central park historically will get measurable snow after the 22nd of this month. More will be revealed maybe tommorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 is the RAP a good model to follow? it comes up with some odd solutions. It's one piece of the puzzle, but leave it at that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 NAM is tasty out to 23. Will be another nice slug... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 what's the timing on this? looking at NWS it doesnt start until 9am. hoping I see some snow from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The weenie band seems to be more centered around south central NJ this go around on the NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.