mattie g Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 Plenty of talk about this being the best look for snow in three years. Then it gets followed by the discussion about how any good storm would wind up and go west. Thread the needle time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 FYI folks with WxBell subscriptions. Latest word from Ryan Maue on what can/cannot be posted on here: all "derived" products are ok. In other words, things like snowfall maps (where WxBell does a calculation) are ok. Raw data outputs (like 500mb heights) are not ok to post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 FYI folks with WxBell subscriptions. Latest word from Ryan Maue on what can/cannot be posted on here: all "derived" products are ok. In other words, things like snowfall maps (where WxBell does a calculation) are ok. Raw data outputs (like 500mb heights) are not ok to post. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 Only a couple weeks! my advice: plan enough ahead for B's party. I was so stressed going into Saturday trying to get everything together. The party will be as much for you and wife as it will be for B herself. In the end, it worked out just fine but I was a bit overwhelmed because I didn't plan very well. December will always be a crazy month for us here, between our wedding anniversary, K's birthday and then Christmas all in a week period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 LOL Yah... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 Crap, so no nh h5 ens anom maps? Those are my faves by a mile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 Plenty of talk about this being the best look for snow in three years. Then it gets followed by the discussion about how any good storm would wind up and go west. Thread the needle time... Yea, it's lol in some ways but to be fair, warning criteria is in on the table. Just no 09-10 events. I could see plenty of folks get their biggest snows in 3 years and have enough cold around to keep it for more than 15 minutes. Weenies could be happy area wide for once. Or we totally blow it because were pretty good at that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 Ive been out of touch for a few days, when is this "best snow" supposed to happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 Yea, it's lol in some ways but to be fair, warning criteria is in on the table. Just no 09-10 events. I could see plenty of folks get their biggest snows in 3 years and have enough cold around to keep it for more than 15 minutes. Weenies could be happy area wide for once. Or we totally blow it because were pretty good at that I'd be happy with 6" of all snow - I'm not asking for any huge event. But I'd bet on sucking out on a relatively nice pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 Where did you get that from Ryan? In the past he only cared about the Euro. His maps are everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 I'd be happy with 6" of all snow - I'm not asking for any huge event. But I'd bet on sucking out on a relatively nice pattern. Persistence is a beeeyotch. I'll probably only get truly excited once the snow is done falling. Paranoid nervous wreck until then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 I'd be happy with 6" of all snow - I'm not asking for any huge event. But I'd bet on sucking out on a relatively nice pattern. a 6" all snowstorm is a big event and probably low probability in the upcoming pattern.....If you think a 6" all snow event is keeping your expectations in check that is a problem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 What a miserable morning. It's pouring outside and the front is still way back west just now entering Garrett County. Slowest moving front ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 Getting 6 inches in one single month for DCA is a challenge. Let's start there before we move on to one storm. Remove 09-10 from the equation and DCA only has 3 months in the last decade (counting this current season) with more than 6 inches of snowfall. a 6" all snowstorm is a big event and probably low probability in the upcoming pattern.....If you think a 6" all snow event is keeping your expectations in check that is a problem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 Knowing that snowcover days aren't really a reasonable expectation down here....I couldn't care less if the month or any month ends up +10 if my back yard gets the 7" of snow and 10+ days with snow on the ground again. In the end though Matt's call was a really strong one in particular the pattern recognition of variability....nice job! Now January needs 10" of snow ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 Where did you get that from Ryan? In the past he only cared about the Euro. His maps are everywhere. CT Rain posted it in the staff forum. Sounds like he spoke directly to Ryan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 a 6" all snowstorm is a big event and probably low probability in the upcoming pattern.....If you think a 6" all snow event is keeping your expectations in check that is a problem Yea, not impossible but probable....nah....2-4" on frozen ground and street stickage would be pretty awesome tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 It's a lock. http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conusncep.php?run=2013122312&var=PCPPRSTMP_2m&hour=264 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 a 6" all snowstorm is a big event and probably low probability in the upcoming pattern.....If you think a 6" all snow event is keeping your expectations in check that is a problem It might be relatively big, but it's not huge (which is what I was responding to re: Bob mentioning 09-10). I'd be satisfied with 4" in my backyard, but not thrilled or anything. I have no expectations anyway, and even if I did, I wouldn't change them to try to make myself happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 Getting back into day 10 looks great season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 Getting back into day 10 looks great season The big ones are sniffed out early. #weeniephrases Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 my daughter totally just used my foot/sock as a tissue. ew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 my daughter totally just used my foot/sock as a tissue. ew. Foot sock? As opposed to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 Foot sock? As opposed to? i have no witty response to that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 i have no witty response to that You could just tell him to put a sock in it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAsnowlvr82 Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 a 6" all snowstorm is a big event and probably low probability in the upcoming pattern.....If you think a 6" all snow event is keeping your expectations in check that is a problemNo it's a problem when someone continues to focus on every possible thing that could go wrong. It's a problem when any post with any hint of optimism is squashed by a post loaded with pessimism. That's a problem! Unfortunately some of us are glass half empty people. It is possible to be realistic without being pessimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 snow.. serious business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 DCA circle the calendar (January 25th-26th and February 8th-9th) weekend rule...snow drought adverted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 DCA circle the calendar (January 25th-26th and February 8th-9th) weekend rule...snow drought adverted those would be some boring ads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 those would be some boring ads. Are you surprised? In any way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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