Jebman Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 12:45 AM, yoda said: Storm Team's right on the money. Lotta icing well west. Its great to live in east Prince William. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Final call map by DT -- http://www.wxrisk.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/last.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Amen Phin. Could be below freezing for close to 12 hours before precip starts. No doubt easy on the nerves there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 NWS onset map starting to come online from east to west, it seems (I hope...). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 I'd vote someone start a obs/nowcasting thread and shut this one down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 12:55 AM, yoda said: Final call map by DT -- http://www.wxrisk.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/last.jpg west alexandria barely in the purple on DT map. Lock it up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 12:54 AM, PhineasC said: At least it is plenty cold before the storm. Seems like lately we are 50 degrees the day of the storm and praying for all sorts of crazy rates and frontal passages. yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 12:59 AM, WxUSAF said: I'd vote someone start a obs/nowcasting thread and shut this one down. Right after 00Z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 12:59 AM, WxUSAF said: I'd vote someone start a obs/nowcasting thread and shut this one down.No reason you can't run them concurrently. Everyone's afraid of having more than one thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 1:03 AM, PhineasC said: Right after 00Z GFS. Fine with me although I won't be awake to see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 1:04 AM, Ian said: No reason you can't run them concurrently. Everyone's afraid of having more than one thread. True, but then people seem to generally fail at keeping model disco in one and obs/nowcasts in the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 12:59 AM, WxUSAF said: I'd vote someone start a obs/nowcasting thread and shut this one down. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41903-winter-storm-128-9-observationsnowcasting/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 1:05 AM, WxUSAF said: True, but then people seem to generally fail at keeping model disco in one and obs/nowcasts in the other. Keep this one for the models... the other for obs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 1:05 AM, WxUSAF said: True, but then people seem to generally fail at keeping model disco in one and obs/nowcasts in the other.Let's see how it goes. People here are sorta smart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 21z SREFs show 0.5 QPF all frozen for DCA through 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 34.2 / 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 1:07 AM, Ian said: Let's see how it goes. People here are sorta smart. Smart and snarky. On 12/8/2013 at 1:13 AM, Bob Chill said: 34.2 / 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 1:13 AM, Bob Chill said: 34.2 / 20Gonna suck to be banned for tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 1:15 AM, DCAlexandria said: 36/20 here. It's not cute when you do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 1:14 AM, Ian said: Gonna suck to be banned for tomorrow Might be the best thing for me and the forum. I'll walk the straight and narrow. No more warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Still straddling 40 here-- but that was expected. Winds picked up in past hour as we went and bought our tree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 12:55 AM, yoda said: Final call map by DT -- http://www.wxrisk.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/last.jpg So DT thinks there will not be any snow anywhere to start?, does not seem to make much sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 1:34 AM, ravensrule said: Final call map by DT -- http://www.wxrisk.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/last.jpg So DT thinks there will not be any snow anywhere to start?, does not seem to make much sense. He has a separate snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 1:34 AM, ravensrule said: So DT thinks there will not be any snow anywhere to start?, does not seem to make much sense. It says ice forecast only... his snow map from earlier pretty much was the final one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 1:34 AM, ravensrule said: So DT thinks there will not be any snow anywhere to start?, does not seem to make much sense. On 12/8/2013 at 1:35 AM, DCAlexandria said: He has a separate snow map. http://www.wxrisk.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/LASTCSNOW.jpg And it shows more snow than the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 First warning of the season URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC834 PM EST SAT DEC 7 2013MDZ004>006-009-010-VAZ039-040-042-050>053-501-502-080945-/O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0008.131208T1400Z-131209T1200Z//O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0010.131208T1300Z-131209T1500Z/FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-ORANGE-CULPEPER-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREDERICK...WESTMINSTER...GAITHERSBURG...COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...LEESBURG...CULPEPER...MANASSAS...MANASSAS PARK...FAIRFAX...WARRENTON834 PM EST SAT DEC 7 2013...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM SUNDAY TO 10 AM ESTMONDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HASISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZINGRAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM SUNDAY TO 10 AM EST MONDAY.THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW AND SLEET...THEN CHANGING OVER TOFREEZING RAIN MID AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET...FOLLOWED BY AQUARTER INCH OF ICE.* TIMING...SNOW AND SLEET WILL BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING...THEN WILLCHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FREEZING RAIN WILLCONTINUE SUNDAY NIGHT...EVENTUALLY CHANGING TO RAIN LATE MONDAYMORNING. THE GREATEST ACCUMULATION OF ICE WILL TAKE PLACE ONSUNDAY NIGHT.* TEMPERATURES...UPPER 20S.* WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLE DUE TO SLICKROADS AND ICY CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY IN VALLEY LOCATIONS. DOWNEDTREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS ALONG WITH POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILLIMPACT THE AREA WITH SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET...ANDFREEZING RAIN. TRAVEL IS LIKELY TO BE SEVERELY IMPACTED SUNDAYAFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.&& Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 1:35 AM, feloniousq said: So DT thinks there will not be any snow anywhere to start?, does not seem to make much sense. He has a separate snow map. http://www.wxrisk.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/LASTCSNOW.jpg And it shows more snow than the models. It's in line with CWG map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 1:37 AM, DCAlexandria said: It's in line with CWG map.Not really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 On 12/8/2013 at 1:40 AM, Ian said: It's in line with CWG map. Not really How so? 1-3 in town. 2-4 burbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Interesting the warning numbers aren't much different than the adv 1-2 and .2 V 1-3 and .25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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