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The Second Wave: Dec 10 (Model Discussion)


stormtracker

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Not too sure I like the lakes low on the GFS.

Yeah saw that.  It's been there in other cycles too.  However, it looks like we benefit from a frontal passage (notice the high sliding in south of the GL low) with colder air seeping in as the frontal wave moves up.  It's not quite the same set-up as that type of low pushing existing cold air out of the way.  Not sure how accurate that assessment is (or what it's worth!), but how it looks to me on quick overview.

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Disappointing.  And probably right.   We better get all we can out of today.

Randy, like I posted above you, it didn't have what's going on today on it last night so I'm far from convinced

but you know what model did the best in the past 24 hrs? the RGEM, and the RGEM has it hitting us so between the NAM, GFS & RGEM and very recent model performances, it's too early to throw in the towel imho

plus, it fits the pattern we've been having the past week

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