Fozz Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I like how the northern folks are starting to sweat when they know they are going to get banded from hell. Its gonna end up farther north. Honestly I hope you guys bullseye, from DC to usedtobeland.... you guys haven't seen a 3"+ event in ages, I don't mind getting fringed this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Was noticing the same thing. Everyone gets a taste of the mega band on this run. Yeah, even I get in it for an hour. My climo says I'll get nickled and dimed all winter, DC Metro needs a solid event here to catch up. I'm totally on the deathband DC bandwagon here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 This will be best snow for me since Dec 2010 in Norfolk when we got 17 inches. I can't wait. I am so excited. If NAM verifies, IAD to DC is in for great fun tomm. I will take the extra vacation day in stride Centreville is a good spot for most of the higher producing snows. Totals here typically run a bit more that what is reported at IAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I like how the northern folks are starting to sweat when they know they are going to get banded from hell. Its gonna end up farther north. Honestly I hope you guys bullseye, from DC to usedtobeland.... you guys haven't seen a 3"+ event in ages, I don't mind getting fringed this time. You shut your mouth, unless you are back at school. Then I'll forgive you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 With laser focus centered around a stripe as wide as the beltway, I just want to point out that I'm thrilled there is a large expanse of relatively uniform distribution leading into an all snow event. There will be few losers like me, matt(s), Ian, etc like the last storm and almost every othe storm since Jan 2011. Nice old school storm. 3-6 inches across a wide area with solid, not historic cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I'm up at Penn State so I won't see much of anything from this, but I'm definitely hoping you all have a good storm. Definitely looks like DC or just south is the bullseye, here's to hoping someone can get 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Centreville is a good spot for most of the higher producing snows. Totals here typically run a bit more that what is reported at IAD. That one dude in Centreville (swiscaster) is always reporting sleet and spotty precip. Every storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Nice old school storm. 3-6 inches across a wide area with solid, not historic cold. Seriously. Ah the decades when the median and mean snowfall were not 9 inches apart (or at least did not seem to be). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Buddy1987, on 09 Dec 2013 - 8:57 PM, said:Buddy1987, on 09 Dec 2013 - 8:57 PM, said:Hour 17 is awesome for my area has 1/2" qpf with 850's to the south of me god I am praying right now Per soundings on 0z NAM, we switch over at 14hrs on the NAM and it's looking heavy too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 You shut your mouth, unless you are back at school. Then I'll forgive you We're both here... It's finals week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I think Mitch is right, this time it should progress eastward, famous last words. yes...more vertical as you and HM have mentioned...it will sweep east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Nice old school storm. 3-6 inches across a wide area with solid, not historic cold. Historic cold follows 24hrs later.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Per soundings on 0z NAM, we switch over at 14hrs on the NAM and it's looking heavy too. surface temps are a bit warm it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Nice old school storm. 3-6 inches across a wide area with solid, not historic cold. Historic cold follows 24hrs later.... Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Honestly I hope you guys bullseye, from DC to usedtobeland.... you guys haven't seen a 3"+ event in ages, I don't mind getting fringed this time. lol...you're going to get raked dude..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Nice old school storm. 3-6 inches across a wide area with solid, not historic cold. It could pan out to make most everyone happy except Amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 That one dude in Centreville (swiscaster) is always reporting sleet and spotty precip. Every storm. Yep, pretty annoying. There's a cluster of meth labs around his house that screw up his p-type from all the heat release. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Maybe it is my eyes but on radar that precip is racing out of the lower mississippi valley and heading northeastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 It's starting at like 4:30..set an alarm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Nice thing is it's going to stick around for quite a while. Temps are great for most of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 It's starting at like 4:30..set an alarm Will already be up….if I decide to go to work This one doesn't need to be fretted over with the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Will already be up….if I decide to go to work This one doesn't need to be fretted over with the models ahh, that cocky arrogance of 09/10 feels good, don't it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Will already be up….if I decide to go to work This one doesn't need to be fretted over with the models yeah...I'll be up too...I'll at least look at radar and may catch another 30-45 min if there is time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 This is one of those rare times that I really don't care what the euro says. American guidance loves this pattern for whatever reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Per soundings on 0z NAM, we switch over at 14hrs on the NAM and it's looking heavy too. Look at Sim Radar-- it's really pulled out by then. It's over in LYH by 10 am or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 surface temps are a bit warm it seems I'm hoping that since we have clear skies tonight, we will cool down nicely before clouds begin to move in. I'd hate to miss this just because our surface is too warm. Complete opposite of what happened yesterday with the freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Look at Sim Radar-- it's really pulled out by then. It's over in LYH by 10 am or so Yep, just took a look at the sim after I posted that. If we miss out, we'll be missing it only by a very small margin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Will already be up….if I decide to go to work This one doesn't need to be fretted over with the models you know youll be home writing your name in the snow in your backyard tomorrow. FFX schools and public offices are already closed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Maybe after 0Z NAM, if it stays the same look as before, they'll nudge the range to be 3-6" and throw up the warning before the news cycle. We've definitely had warnings issued at around 9-9:30 pm before (before the rest of the 0Z model runs come in). I wavered as the 0Z NAM was coming in. Somehow my guess about the way LWX works ended up exactly right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 That thin band of 0.5-0.55" QPF on the 00z NAM from NW VA/MD into NW suburbs of PHL is easy 6-8" with 12:1 to 15:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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