nj2va Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 High res NAM courtesy of WxBell - precip totals through 1pm tomorrow: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Hmmmmmmm Congrats Baltimore County and City. i'll take that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 High res NAM courtesy of WxBell - precip totals through 1pm tomorrow: I think a little more falls after that (BWI), but I could be wrong as I'm basing that assumption off the 7H maps at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Snow map updated. I see they went back to this mornings map. I am right on the line of 4-6 and 2-4. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/winterstorm/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I think a little more falls after that, but I could be wrong as I'm basing that assumption off the 7H maps at 18z Yeah, a bit more falls after that. I'll post an updated one when it comes out. EDIT: Not much change (through 4pm tomorrow): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 High res NAM courtesy of WxBell - precip totals through 1pm tomorrow: You know where you live right Ji? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 7AM Start time via 4km NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Hi Res Nam has a death band setting up around 7am on a line from IAD to Westminster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Something I've learned with the NAM (I'm sure the vets know this too), What I take from the NAM isn't the location or amount of precip, just the fact that it shows a mesoscale band forming run after run. Basically there's going to be a thin stripe of 6-9" imo, however where that is won't be known until tomorrow morning when you see the radar. What the NAM shows right now means nothing except for the idea that there will be a "death" band, or shall we call it the "death train" since it will be training precip not stalling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Yeah, a bit more falls after that. I'll post an updated one when it comes out. you'll do it now my friend and apologize to the Board j/k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Curlyq Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Something I've learned with the NAM (I'm sure the vets know this too), What I take from the NAM isn't the location or amount of precip, just the fact that it shows a mesoscale band forming run after run. Basically there's going to be a thin stripe of 6-9" imo, however where that is won't be known until tomorrow morning when you see the radar. What the NAM shows right now means nothing except for the idea that there will be a "death" band, or shall we call it the "death train" since it will be training precip not stalling. It would be nice to keep the runs from tonight and see which one is proven the most accurate after tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Interested to see what 4km NAM does. Meddler's map above suggest a band sets up from MRB to FDK and further NE. Always does. I am not worried. As was said earlier. I dont need the bullseye. I will be happy with 2 more inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Hour 17 is awesome for my area has 1/2" qpf with 850's to the south of me god I am praying right now Super close down this way. Models have shifted in our favor... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Interested to see what 4km NAM does. Meddler's map above suggest a band sets up from MRB to FDK and further NE. It sets up a somewhat narrow 40+DBZ band west of DC/Balt, but I think just east of IAD at around 7am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 / Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 This will be best snow for me since Dec 2010 in Norfolk when we got 17 inches. I can't wait. I am so excited. If NAM verifies, IAD to DC is in for great fun tomm. I will take the extra vacation day in stride Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 7am - 10am is going to be sick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 This will be best snow for me since Dec 2010 in Norfolk when we got 17 inches. I can't wait. I am so excited. If NAM verifies, IAD to DC is in for great fun tomm. I will take the extra vacation day in stride you don't want to really mention that storm too much now that ur up here......just sayin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Get ready for a sick breakfast lovin from mother nature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 7am - 10am is going to be sick the band that everyone is worrying about will sweep east and will not be stationary like yesterday so I think worries over it are a bit unnecessary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 2/2/96 redux In 1996 I actually had a couple bands end up over me. This could actually be one of those times since we're dealing with a pretty flat wave. I guess we'll know by morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 With laser focus centered around a stripe as wide as the beltway, I just want to point out that I'm thrilled there is a large expanse of relatively uniform distribution leading into an all snow event. There will be few losers like me, matt(s), Ian, etc like the last storm and almost every othe storm since Jan 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I like how the northern folks are starting to sweat when they know they are going to get banded from hell. Its gonna end up farther north. Anyone in your area worried is crazy, I am even thinking I might do alright all the way up here with this given the high ratios likely towards the NW fringe of the precip shield. I think this has a relatively low probability of bust in your area given the usually ability to suck at snow. I think as long as people arent too crazy about expectations, and are happy with more then 3" most will be happy. Enjoy the snow tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 00z HRRR 1KM AGL Radar Reflectivity has snow moving in by 5-6am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I kinda like the latest RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I like how the northern folks are starting to sweat when they know they are going to get banded from hell. Its gonna end up farther north. Not I, I learned my lesson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 It sets up a somewhat narrow 40+DBZ band west of DC/Balt, but I think just east of IAD at around 7am I think Mitch is right, this time it should progress eastward, famous last words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Anyone in your area worried is crazy, I am even thinking I might do alright all the way up here with this given the high ratios likely towards the NW fringe of the precip shield. I think this has a relatively low probability of bust in your area given the usually ability to suck at snow. I think as long as people arent too crazy about expectations, and are happy with more then 3" most will be happy. Enjoy the snow tomorrow! when did you move? better area for snow? though I doubt Manchester could be much worse with its elevation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 the band that everyone is worrying about will sweep east and will not be stationary like yesterday so I think worries over it are a bit unnecessary Was noticing the same thing. Everyone gets a taste of the mega band on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Haha true. Regardless, this will be real fun. you don't want to really mention that storm too much now that ur up here......just sayin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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