TerpWeather Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Not compared to this... http://www.euronews.com/2013/12/06/storm-xaver-reeks-deadly-havoc-across-europe/ Though, the Weather Channel naming convention seems to have jumped the atlantic... or vice versa... Because Europe doesn't get hurricanes all that often they name winter storms. TWC got the idea from Europe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 The GFS goes a bit south with the icy part of our weekend storm, and because of that, the mitchnick storm is pulled a bit to the east. Orientation of the QPF shield is more E-W oriented compared to the NAM at 84 (using only for comparison purposes). However, hr 90 is a nice little snow for us. I think this can get a bit better, as the GFS has supportive temperature profiles as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 7, 2013 Author Share Posted December 7, 2013 Mitch! Second wave! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 The GFS goes a bit south with the icy part of our weekend storm, and because of that, the mitchnick storm is pulled a bit to the east. Orientation of the QPF shield is more E-W oriented compared to the NAM at 84 (using only for comparison purposes). However, hr 90 is a nice little snow for us. I think this can get a bit better, as the GFS has supportive temperature profiles as well. Hr 90 is decent enough for an inch or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Hr 90 is decent enough for an inch or 2 Hr 93 is nice Yoda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 There is a thread for this already? lol Mitchnicked at 93hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Hr 93 is nice Yoda. Its a 1-3 total deal... fine by me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 7, 2013 Author Share Posted December 7, 2013 Hr 93 is nice Yoda. Yeah, its more than an inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 I'm strongly rooting against it just because people are naming it. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Looks like a couple of the 12z ens members now. I havent dug in yet but looks like some weak ul energy moving in from the west enhances the precip shield on the boundary. This helps us be on the winning side of heavier precip in the cold zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 7, 2013 Author Share Posted December 7, 2013 Looks like a couple of the 12z ens members now. I havent dug in yet but looks like some weak ul energy moving in from the west enhances the precip shield on the boundary. This helps us be on the winning side of heavier precip in the cold zone. It'd be funny if this one is bigger than Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Nice 0z run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 It'd be funny if this one is bigger than Sunday. Sometimes the sneaky ones end up champs. Wouldn't be the first time. 3 years ago we wouldnt even be talking about things like this so far in advance. We've changed. It has been a period of interest though. So in this case is hadn't exactly snuck up on us. Things kinda feel like a 1/10th scale model of 09-10. The wd index is surrus bidnizzy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Sometimes the sneaky ones end up champs. Wouldn't be the first time. 3 years ago we wouldnt even be talking about things like this so far in advance. We've changed. It has been a period of interest though. So in this case is hadn't exactly snuck up on us. Things kinda feel like a 1/10th scale model of 09-10. The wd index is surrus bidnizzy 3 out of the last 4 runs have it. I'm partly all in now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 I'm strongly rooting against it just because people are naming it. Sorry. I didn't name. If it was going to be named, we should go with "Tail End Charlie", which MN or one of the other local red taggers called it when it 1st showed up. jmho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 3 out of the last 4 runs have it. I'm partly all in nowF it. I'm all in on everything including flurries. 3 year loozers can't be choozers. For the first time in history I love the se ridge. It's a 3 layer cake on the same boundary. First wet as F but getting colder. Then sn, ip, zr, and verglas and neige ans stuff. Final layer of cold smoke powder and an arctic blast. What a gd great week ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 I'm strongly rooting against it just because people are naming it. Sorry. Yeah, that's a good reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 F it. I'm all in on everything including flurries. 3 year loozers can't be choozers. For the first time in history I love the se ridge. It's a 3 layer cake on the same boundary. First wet as F but getting colder. Then sn, ip, zr, and verglas and neige ans stuff. Final layer of cold smoke powder and an arctic blast. What a gd great week ahead. the pv over Hudson's Bay doesn't hurt either http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_102_500_vort_ht.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&storm=&cycle=00¶m=500_vort_ht&fhr=102&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 7, 2013 Author Share Posted December 7, 2013 I'm 10004% in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 I'm 10004% in in all right....more like into the wind lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 the pv over Hudson's Bay doesn't hurt either http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_102_500_vort_ht.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&storm=&cycle=00¶m=500_vort_ht&fhr=102&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 No doubt. It's a near perfect setup to get snow out of a pattern like this. This is far from a big snow pattern. The fact that the arctic boundary is bouncing into a stubborn se ridge is the only reason we're having fun here. If we had a -nao it would be snowing in Tallahassee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 No doubt. It's a near perfect setup to get snow out of a pattern like this. This is far from a big snow pattern. The fact that the arctic boundary is bouncing into a stubborn se ridge is the only reason we're having fun here. If we had a -nao it would be snowing in Tallahassee. Yep. I've seen posts bashing the ridge the last couple of days but without it we are looking at pc Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 I'm 10004% in would be funny if we blew last years snow totals in one week during late fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 would be funny if we blew last years snow totals in one week during late fall JI, I see that picture of you and it reminds me of someone but I just can't put my finger on who.... anyway, when are you going to get that meat cleaver out of the the top of your head Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 would be funny if we blew last years snow totals in one week during late fall You're feelin it aren't you? Ive been trying not tp believe but the trends keep forcing me to re-accept the fact that it does snow here once in a while when the pattern says it shouldnt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 we're gunna need a 3rd wave thread http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_192_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&storm=&cycle=00¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&fhr=192&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 7, 2013 Author Share Posted December 7, 2013 we're gunna need a 3rd wave thread http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_192_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&storm=&cycle=00¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&fhr=192&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 stop it Mitch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 we're gunna need a 3rd wave thread http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_192_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&storm=&cycle=00¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&fhr=192&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 i knew that storm would trend colder in time but damn that was fast....already showing wintry precip next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 If we get a miller A next weekend I may not give a sh!t what happens for the rest of the year. Victory flag will be planted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 If we get a miller A next weekend I may not give a sh!t what happens for the rest of the year. Victory flag will be planted. This could turn out to be the best week of the entire winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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