Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 yep, too fast on the trigger No prob, when I first saw that I also had to look twice because of where the labels were on the contours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Tuesday night lows are in the lower teens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Tuesday night lows are in the lower teens Crispy!! Ah, have to love radiational cooling once it clears out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 SREF's look solid as of the most recent run. One has to like the nice .5" QPF swath that has been introduced compared to the lack thereof on 9z. That swath also includes DC up to BWI. A very solid presentation to start the "happy hour" runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Crispy!! Ah, have to love radiational cooling once it clears out. I could see single digits (as in 8/9) out where leesburg and Dave are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Has anyone mentioned how long this ice has remained on the branches? I just drove from Merrifield to Centreville, and it still looks like an icy wonderland. Lots of ice on trees that are bending. I can't remember a time when the ice stayed on the trees so long. The lack of sun and temps around 34 has kept it from melting too fast. I would think any snow falling tomorrow would stick on there pretty well. So more weight added onto these already stressed trees could result in some decent snappage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 That was the shortest watch ever. my/our zone is down to 2-4 lwx is silly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Not surprised it's downgraded. 5"+ was always a stretch with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 This will make it look very nice tomm with the snow sticking to all of the trees as well. Talk about a winter look! Has anyone mentioned how long this ice has remained on the branches? I just drove from Merrifield to Centreville, and it still looks like an icy wonderland. Lots of ice on trees that are bending. I can't remember a time when the ice stayed on the trees so long. The lack of sun and temps around 34 has kept it from melting too fast. I would think any snow falling tomorrow would stick on there pretty well. So more weight added onto these already stressed trees could result in some decent snappage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Yet the WWA says 3-5". Which is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Not surprised it's downgraded. 5"+ was always a stretch with this one. Perhaps, but who knows yet where the "death band" will set up... wouldn't be surprised to see WSW's in the morning where that band sets up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 my/our zone is down to 2-4 lwx is silly I actually have 3 forecasts now! 2-4" in zone 4-6" in map 3-5" in advisory lool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I actually have 3 forecasts now! 2-4" in zone 4-6" in map 3-5" in advisory lool so 2-6", sounds about right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Not surprised it's downgraded. 5"+ was always a stretch with this one. Dont know why its a stretch. .5qpf with decent ratio's. 5 inches is quite possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 I actually have 3 forecasts now! 2-4" in zone 4-6" in map 3-5" in advisory lool Now watch we get NAM'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I actually have 3 forecasts now! 2-4" in zone 4-6" in map 3-5" in advisory lool update! congrats small part of northern loudoun county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Has anyone mentioned how long this ice has remained on the branches?. Looks like you just did. Agree with the comments on tree impact...have been hearing branches fall all day, and if the Tuesday snow pans out we'll probably see more power outages in the favored areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 the LWX model map is goign to bounce around the next 12 hours fo sho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 the LWX model map is goign to bounce around the next 12 hours fo sho. it's perhaps the stupidest map on the internet. they need to fix it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 They probably could have gone with a warning for the fact that it could be high impact based on timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 update! congrats small part of northern loudoun county StormTotalSnowRange.png How can anyone take those maps seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 It's fine dude. It's better than 9z It's much better. Totally agree. Don't know what trend Mitch is looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 does anyone on this Board really rely on the LWX forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 I have a feeling the NAM is gonna be wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 NAM would be a disaster for the morning rush Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Dont know why its a stretch. .5qpf with decent ratio's. 5 inches is quite possible. Perhaps for a few lucky spots.... in fact there could be 8" totals under the heaviest bands. But most spots won't be getting anything near those amounts unless the wettest runs verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 CTP has a solid 4-6" for those north of the Mason Dixon StormTotalSnow (1).png sigh...wrong forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 does anyone on this Board really rely on the LWX forecast? When it gives me the most snow...yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I have a feeling the NAM is gonna be wet problem is the timing...it comes in a tad later...so people might leave their houses at 6 am and then be bombed on the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The issue of what the NWS does answers what mitch said. We know internally what is expected. An areawide 3-5 with isolated higher amounts is on tap, one of the best storms of recent memory. Some places around Baltimore picked up 4-5 inches on 3/25, but this event is snow on snow in December with cold temperatures. Anyways, the point is LWX's forecast and maps don't make the weather, they're just another piece of guidance and/or outlet to seek for an opinion. That's their purpose to us, and were not the layman or the general public who doesn't have the ability to go to the models, and dissect whichever way we please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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