snow. Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Did Jason predict the 6-10 inches that fell across the area yesterday? CWG is mainly DC metro centered, and nobody in DC metro got 6"...most a lot less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Honesty it looks almost perfect to me Honesty it looks almost perfect to me I think it looks pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I think it looks pretty good. There he is! It's on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 You clearly didn't party in the 80's. Or you are kinda like rainman. Either way, that's exactly how my minds eye remembers the 80's. Quite fondly actually. I like lots of events vs waiting for monsters. Yea, monsters are great but chasing the dragon is too fruitless for me. My bar is set at 3"+ on this one. If I only get 2 and it comes mostly in 2 hours then I guess I'm ok. If I get 1" then christmastown and my name will be in the paper wednesday. I was a kid in the '80's, so no partying. The great thing about the '80's was that we did get the historic storms in there as well (2/83 and the 1/87 Double Whammy)-- it's just that the surrounding seasons were mostly respectable. You could count on sled-able snow every winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 CWG is mainly DC metro centered, and nobody in DC metro got 6"...most a lot less most of the area verified our forecast. we did bust in that band though.. as did everyone pretty much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 You clearly didn't party in the 80's. Or you are kinda like rainman. Either way, that's exactly how my minds eye remembers the 80's. Quite fondly actually. I like lots of events vs waiting for monsters. Yea, monsters are great but chasing the dragon is too fruitless for me. My bar is set at 3"+ on this one. If I only get 2 and it comes mostly in 2 hours then I guess I'm ok. If I get 1" then christmastown and my name will be in the paper wednesday. when were the 80s? I think DT first guess looks ok. Though i expect what i got yesterday, 1 1/4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 CWG is mainly DC metro centered, and nobody in DC metro got 6"...most a lot less I got a whopping 0.70. I think we failed in the band of death but I'm not sure how you forecast it and maybe 0.10" of ice. Interesting, my temp is still only 33 if my thermometer is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I got a whopping 0.70. I think we failed in the band of death but I'm not sure how you forecast it and maybe 0.10" of ice. Interesting, my temp is still only 33 if my thermometer is right. I'm 34 so not much rise..which is good for our upcoming event...we don't have to deal with 50 pre-front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I'm 34 so not much rise..which is good for our upcoming event...we don't have to deal with 50 pre-front 33 here... I like that we don't have to drop like 15 degrees to get our snow... plus the ground is already snow/ice-covered in some areas... which will help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 It is an in house model television stations use, it is decent but it generally over does the snow. It can..especially outside of 24 hours. However, it is usually pretty good within the 24 hour time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreAce33 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Why did a snow lover have to be born to this god-forsaken peninsula surrounded by warm water? Enjoy this one gentlemen, nice event to get in the holiday spirit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 ...So, should we be expecting to see a Wes CWG blogpost special...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 My fingers are itching to congratulate our dear friends in western NW Virginia and northern Maryland. I can't wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 4-6" from D.C. to the WV border...http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/winter/images/StormTotalSnowRange.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 My fingers are itching to congratulate our dear friends in western NW Virginia and northern Maryland. I can't wait. It was played out about 10 pages ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 It was played out about 10 pages ago I have no idea what you're talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 euro is what we expected, so need to measure expectations... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I can see that at least the 850s will be fine... at 12z DCA/BWI/IAD all around -3c 850s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 4-6" from D.C. to the WV border...http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/winter/images/StormTotalSnowRange.png I actually think the maximums map is quite useful in this case, not because we can expect the max's, but because they better highlight the potential for cutoffs. Look, for example, at the difference between downtown DC and the immediate MD suburbs (Bethesda, Rockville, etc): http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/winter/images/SnowAmt90Prcntl.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 euro is what we expected, so need to measure expectations... It's made a graceful move towards other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 ...So, should we be expecting to see a Wes CWG blogpost special...? Yesd, once the euro comes out. My piece is written but will be edited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 My fingers are itching to congratulate our dear friends in western NW Virginia and northern Maryland. I can't wait. Temps in the atmosphere and storm track are not as big of an issue with this one. I think everyone gets into the game this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 euro is what we expected, so need to measure expectations... About same as last night's run? I think Bob Chill said .3 to .4 SE of DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 euro is what we expected, so need to measure expectations... quick hitter..may starts as rain/sleet....maybe 0.25 liquid...80% snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 About same as last night's run? I think Bob Chill said .3 to .4 SE of DCA similar to last night...a little warmer this run..would be a nice 2-3" event for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I actually think the maximums map is quite useful in this case, not because we can expect the max's, but because they better highlight the potential for cutoffs. Look, for example, at the difference between downtown DC and the immediate MD suburbs (Bethesda, Rockville, etc): http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/winter/images/SnowAmt90Prcntl.png I do agree wit that, though the 4-6 likely swath seems wide to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 DC receives 2+ on every piece of guidance. I think the euro will increase QPF just a bit more at 0z. We'll see who wins for this storm, but the american guidance has indeed led the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 It's more organized on the nw side than last night and a step towards other guidance. But definitely not as agressive N-W. It keys on the southern precip maxima much more than GFS/NAM. I think it looks more like the rgem from 12z but I didn't look that hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Euro has a nice enhanced area southeast .. .3-.4 in 6 hrs. Get that to shift to FDK and we're in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 quick hitter..may starts as rain/sleet....maybe 0.25 liquid...80% snow The heaviest band is just south of me. How come I think it either stays there or jumps to north of Bob Chill? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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