mitchnick Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 NAM is definitely faster and more organized. This is going to be a good run. I'd say http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=024ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_024_700_rh_ht.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=700_rh_ht&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 NAM is definitely faster and more organized. This is going to be a good run. That's an understatement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The NAM gives a healthy 2+ for everyone from ROA to BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Start time 6-8am. Snowing it's eyeballs out at 10am - noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I think we'd all take that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 12z NAM has 0.50"+ falling in 4-5 hours here tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Best snows N&W, but still at least 4" for the city. Considering the NAM, a nice 2-4" setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The NAM gives a healthy 2+ for everyone from ROA to BWI. I'd say it's much more than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 .4 in 3hr rates with the band. uh oh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I don't see that being correct out here. Maybe from you down to DC Dont we have this conversation with every storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 .4 in 3hr rates with the band. uh oh and it looks to move more sw/ne and hits most of us vs. yesterday's band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Wow. That's a great run. Mod - heavy snow for 4-6 hours or so. I'm going 3-5 for everyone with 6" lollis until the gfs comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Sterling pretty bullish for me...3-5"....I think 2-4" is a better forecast, but nice that all guidance is coalescing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Dont we have this conversation with every storm? Always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Now I just want to hold as much of yesterday's haul as possible. Would love to stay cloudy and 34 all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 NAM looks great for widespread snow in the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Sterling pretty bullish for me...3-5"....I think 2-4" is a better forecast, but nice that all guidance is coalescing Waiting for the high res maps but there appears to be 2 maximas. One of which is lined up for dca. Should be a fun morning. Well, fun unless you are on the beltway at 10am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueapple Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 QPF pretty uniform on this run of the NAM. If other models show similar, looks like warning criteria out west due to high ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 cherry on the top is the cold air to follow so this should hang around for quite some time until another refresher, hopefully, this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Snow on snow followed by cold temps isn't too common around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 good, ole' fashion VA to MA snow storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Timing is bad for travel. Dawn start in the western zones spreading east quickly. Verbatim is a good period of 1"/hr rates for 3 hours for most from what I can see. Road conditions will deteriorate very rapidly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 looks like point and clicks were updated. I've got the same as matt now.....3-5". I'll sign up for that no questions asked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Precip snapshot. The first blue is .4 going up in .05 increments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Subtle change to the forecast from LWX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Yep, my point and click is showing 3-5 as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Waiting for the high res maps but there appears to be 2 maximas. One of which is lined up for dca. Should be a fun morning. Well, fun unless you are on the beltway at 10am. I don't really have any confidence in QPF distribution. I am going to assume the heaviest bands will set up NW of the beltways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Precip snapshot. The first blue is .4 going up in .05 increments. 12znamprecip.JPG Might as well give us the snow map too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 OK LWX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueapple Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Looks like a DT first guess map -- not use to this from NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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