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The Second Wave: Dec 10 (Model Discussion)


stormtracker

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Need a N trend... just for comparison those dark dark blues was equivalent to the super band today.

I_nw_r1_EST_2013120900_039.png

You guys in N MD had your over performer today! As I sit here just S of Annapolis looking at my 33degree rainfall that band is set perfectly for S MD to have a nice hit!

Let hope MR euro jumps on board but at this point I'm happy all others are consistently showing it.

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Well for those of us close to DC who got an inch or less today, no shift is needed ;)

Wes is in the super band let him enjoy it, especially since i won't be home give him 5".

You guys in N MD had your over performer today! As I sit here just S of Annapolis looking at my 33degree rainfall that band is set perfectly for S MD to have a nice hit!

Nobody cares if PA gets hit..in fact we would prefer it misses you completely

 

It was a joke. I was talking about DC needing only 20 miles to get in it (which is useless at this range, hence the joke)... N MD got it today, let DC have some fun. I'm not worried about myself in PA, I have the rest of the year to nickle and dime my way.

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It's going to show it, but we know the euro doesn't swing wildly..it will probably paint 0.15" of snow and everyone will be inconsolable....

this is just the type of situation when all the other models have it then the Euro comes in with .5+ at the last minute, so I'll take the over .15" for kicks

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this is just the type of situation when all the other models have it then the Euro comes in with .5+ at the last minute, so I'll take the over .15" for kicks

I may not stay up but I already know you are right. Not sure about .5+ but I'm fairly certain the euro looks similar to other guidance tonight with some variance of precip max and location of course. But it will make a big move towards other guidance.

As said earlier, with the nam/gfs/rgem lock step at 36 hours there is only one thing the euro can do and its the same thing that bats live in

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Yes, but only.the correct solution inside of 48. We have 8 to choose from.

My wag is a 1-3 deal but it will look pretty. Somebody gets 4. Maybe Wes.

It got snowmageddon right.. But then again so did children just learning to speak.

Sounds like a good starting pt.

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Quick 06z NAM thoughts before going to bed: still is cold (-10C 850's in DC as it's ending) but a bit less QPF.  00z Had blue for everyone not NW of DC, but 06z just wide swatch of .25 to .5 across the area.  Obviously still not bad, and NAM is becoming more realistic about the amounts.

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