Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,584
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

Dec 9th Winter Threat


ORH_wxman

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 986
  • Created
  • Last Reply

HAVE GREATER CONFIDENCE WITH COLDER SOLUTIONS. WITH BROAD AGREEMENT
AND RUN-TO-RUN CONTINUITY FROM THE ECMWF...PREFER THE MESO-NAM AND
WRF-MODEL SOLUTIONS WHICH CAPTURE THE COLD-AIR DAMMING PROCESSES
THROUGH THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY /SEE 1000-850 THICKNESSES/.
TRENDS ARE NOTEWORTHY WITHIN THE LATEST HRRR RUNS. BUT OVERALL THERE
IS STILL PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THERMAL PROFILES AND THE
ACCOMPANYING TRANSITION PROCESS OF WINTRY WEATHER TO PLAIN RAIN.

THAT BEING SAID...THERE IS A LOT TO CONSIDER. WITH H975 AGEOSTROPHIC
FLOW OUT OF THE INTERIOR NORTH WITH A WEAK LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE
CAPE...NOT EXPECTING EASTERLY ONSHORE FLOW NORTH OF THE LOW TO SCOUR
OUT INTERIOR SURFACE COLD AIR EFFECTIVELY. EXPECT PREVAILING
NORTHERLY COLD-AIR DRAINAGE FLOW...JAMMING UP THROUGHOUT INTERIOR
VALLEYS /ESPECIALLY THE CT RIVER VALLEY/. 2M FORECASTED TEMPERATURES
TAKEN MAINLY FROM MESO-NAM/WRF-MODEL SOLUTIONS. THOUGH THE EASTERLY
ONSHORE FLOW WILL RESULT IN A FASTER TRANSITION OF PRECIPITATION
TYPES ACROSS EAST COASTAL PLAIN IN THE MORNING...EXPECTING A WINTRY
MIX TO LAST LONGER ACROSS THE INTERIOR INTO THE MIDDAY AND POSSIBLY
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. UPSTREAM TRENDS ACROSS INTERIOR MID-ATLANTIC
SHOW THIS PROCESS ALREADY ONGOING WHICH ADD FURTHER CONFIDENCE THAT
COLD-AIR DAMMING OVER THE INTERIOR WILL BE A BIG ISSUE AS TO WINTER
WEATHER OUTCOMES.

PRECIPITATION AND SNOW/ICE AMOUNTS REMAIN A CHALLENGE...AND LIKELY
THERE ARE ALWAYS SURPRISES IN STORE WITH SYSTEMS SUCH AS THESE.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

OT slightly I mean i guess im just saying i can admit the climo sucks wrt holding cold and that is bothersome, out of all the places in mass i have been, i liked w framingham best bc besides being alright for snow, they could actually hold the cold decently. Here in wakefield we held the cold last year in the end of december storm where i think from E. Peabody Down to saugus /Lynn and boston rain'd. That was just disgusting for those areas and winter weenies, and actually gave me a strange sense of accomplishment (that my areas stay'd snow the whole time)

Radar looks increasingly fair and i think it will be fun to watch unfold

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Cool - he's a really really nice guy. I've only had really positive interactions with him. 

 

Yeah, Cantore is awesome.  He gave me a personal tour of TWC a few years ago, shortly before they were bought by NBC.  Just a really nice and genuine guy... very down-to-earth. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...