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Dec 9th Winter Threat


ORH_wxman

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Unfortunately in the end I switched my major from Meteorology to Computer Science.   However, I never lost my love for weather and in the end ended up working at WSI anyway, which is where I wanted to end up in college.  So it all worked out in the end, just doing something a little different.

 

that's a tough major. I was going to major In that but two weeks into my college athletic career, our teams guidance counselor advised against it lol.

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IR loop shows baroclinic leaf expanding NE out of the lower OV/upper TV area... Would time around midnight SW zones and rapidly overspreading the rest of the region shortly thereafter.  This region is putting out a swath of moderate activity, aimed at southern zones (timing notwithstanding), while rad should begin to fill in over eastern PA/SE NY 

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Noyes tweeted a capture from the RPM (shout out to WSI) that I think showed some 2-4" amounts around here

 

 

What run was that from?  The 00z RPM shows only a general 1-2 over SNE.  With a 2-4" over south central vermont and a stripe north of Portland, Maine

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NAM still looking robust for Tuesday. Quick hitting 2-4" south of the Pike. NAM just being the NAM? Or is it on to something? Would like to see some other 0z guidance come around.

 

As for tonight...if we were actually going to eek out an inch...I would think we would have seen something come together on radar by this point.  

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Meanwhile Tuesday is starting to learn to walk. Would be great to have a little snow to usher in the deep winter cold.

 

Starting to, I have seen this potential for the past three days, its been on and off the models since then, even the EURO made a jump today, although its still flurries.  NAM is weenie snowstorm for those of us on the SNE coastline.  I think there is still time to trend better for us, especially with a surface low strengthening to the south and southeast of the region.  NAM 700mb fields tries to develop a comma head at hour 51 as it exits the region.  This time we have PVA over the region intensifying.  The clipper in the Great Lakes digs further southeast instead of 18z run and actually allows flow to move from sw to ne up the east coast.

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Starting to, I have seen this potential for the past three days, its been on and off the models since then, even the EURO made a jump today, although its still flurries.  NAM is weenie snowstorm for those of us on the SNE coastline.  I think there is still time to trend better for us, especially with a surface low strengthening to the south and southeast of the region.  NAM 700mb fields tries to develop a comma head at hour 51 as it exits the region.  This time we have PVA over the region intensifying.  The clipper in the Great Lakes digs further southeast instead of 18z run and actually allows flow to move from sw to ne up the east coast.

 

you have the honors to tee it up first.

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Starting to, I have seen this potential for the past three days, its been on and off the models since then, even the EURO made a jump today, although its still flurries. NAM is weenie snowstorm for those of us on the SNE coastline. I think there is still time to trend better for us, especially with a surface low strengthening to the south and southeast of the region. NAM 700mb fields tries to develop a comma head at hour 51 as it exits the region. This time we have PVA over the region intensifying. The clipper in the Great Lakes digs further southeast instead of 18z run and actually allows flow to move from sw to ne up the east coast.

Consensus is you start the thread for Tuesday. Alot of pressure...lol.

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