dendrite Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Where's the ice!?!?!?!?!?Maybe we can produce some 900mb snow grains to go along with the IP/ZR. Wintry appeal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Maybe we can produce some 900mb snow grains to go along with the IP/ZR. Wintry appeal! That little -8C sliver at 925 mb should get the job done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Lifting supercooled droplets with more supercooled droplets FTL. Just hideous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 A Phil special on the NAM for Tuesday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 A Phil special on the NAM for Tuesday lol Probably a bit too warm there... Maybe a Bob special. That would just kill the Rev lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Just hideous. What's funny is the 0z NAM actually is quite crap with the "secondary" that tries to develop. I wouldn't even discount a solution where we see such a weak circulation develop, we may hardly get any QPF at all...or if anything just some scattered snow showers or very light freezing drizzle and less than a tenth of any precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Probably a bit too warm there... Maybe a Bob special. That would just kill the Rev lol If that gets past PVD...lol. Still think maybe some sprinkles or flurries on the Cape..but who knows. The first system is so weak...the baroclinic zone is not moving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 That's more just frontogenesis right there....more anafrontal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 NAM is a classic weenie bottle. Don't even look at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 That's more just frontogenesis right there....more anafrontal. Yeah the first system does nothing... I wound up going mostly cloudy and 35-40 on Tuesday assuming the Monday storm would do nothing to push things along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 00z NAM is further north then the 18z run, but not by a lot, has the beginning of the trough for the 13th storm system developing over the northern plains at hour 84. Be interesting to see how and if any chance this comes closer to the coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Thanks for updates James, i honestly enjoy your enthusiasm for winter and storms, refreshing to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Thanks for updates James, i honestly enjoy your enthusiasm for winter and storms, refreshing to see.Your attitude is great. Have a good night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 It's cold. What more can we want? Oh wait.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Yeah the first system does nothing... I wound up going mostly cloudy and 35-40 on Tuesday assuming the Monday storm would do nothing to push things along. Wow your station got a lot of sh*t for calling it a mini storm lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Yeah the first system does nothing... I wound up going mostly cloudy and 35-40 on Tuesday assuming the Monday storm would do nothing to push things along. OT but Ryan, you looked a little surprised when they cut to you for the teaser on the 11PM newscast tonight. Very nice job on the forecast though, you outlined everything in a very organized fashion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Flurries to fzdz ...pay no attn to the WWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Where's the ice!?!?!?!?!? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Here is BTV's map for the event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Flurries to fzdz ...pay no attn to the WWA Did we not just go through a situation where everyone was getting on BOX for not putting out advisories for a 20 minute freezing rain shower around the morning commute time? I can't blame them for putting up a WWA after that situation and any chance for freezing drizzle or freezing showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Did we not just go through a situation where everyone was getting on BOX for not putting out advisories for a 20 minute freezing rain shower around the morning commute time? I can't blame them for putting up a WWA after that situation and any chance for freezing drizzle or freezing showers. Thats fine but there is no reason to have 1-4 inches of snow across the region when no one even sees an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 I'm going with the under. Tonight: Cloudy...snow...mainly after midnight. Snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches. Near steady temperature in the mid 20s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 80 percent.Monday: Snow...sleet and freezing rain in the morning...then sleet...freezing rain likely with a chance of rain in the afternoon. Total snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches. Ice accumulation around a trace. Highs in the mid 30s. East winds 5 to 10 mph...becoming west in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Stayed relatively warm here last night--wind kept up, perhaps that's why. 22.3/13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Thats fine but there is no reason to have 1-4 inches of snow across the region when no one even sees an inch Most of the region does not have that range, nor does the advisory itself. The advisory calls for 1-2. Forecasts vary from an inch down south by you, up to 3 in the hinterlands of northwern Worcester County ranging up to 4 for us in GC. I expect you will get an inch plus, fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 would be nice to get a solid inch and then get cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Most of the region does not have that range, nor does the advisory itself. The advisory calls for 1-2. Forecasts vary from an inch down south by you, up to 3 in the hinterlands of northwern Worcester County ranging up to 4 for us in GC. I expect you will get an inch plus, fwiw. Thats what I mean. Their snowmap has 1-2 here ranging 2-4 by you. Neither of which is happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Thats what I mean. Their snowmap has 1-2 here ranging 2-4 by you. Neither of which is happening It looks like the thrust of best QPF in the beginning will be south, so you have a decent chance of 1-2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Looks like a nice batch of precip may take shape S of Ma/Ct border by mid evening from west then east to Bob. And then lift north throughout nite. I like Kevin's spot for 1-2. I guess he is trying reverse psychology? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Looks like a nice batch of precip may take shape S of Ma/Ct border by mid evening from west then east to Bob. And then lift north throughout nite. I like Kevin's spot for 1-2. I guess he is trying reverse psychology? This may also include SE MA too. The system is an abomination..but I see nothing wrong with 1-2. BOX maps make sense. Sometimes these predecessor bands can me a little more of a producer, but best to keep it conservative for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Thats what I mean. Their snowmap has 1-2 here ranging 2-4 by you. Neither of which is happeningMan you are usually wildly optimistic but when bearish you're really bearish.But you also have to know that they are really only calling for an inch for you and maybe 2" for MPM. But their map shows that if you don't focus on the higher numbers in the range, that's just how the program words it...same if they put 3.3" in the grid, it often comes out 3-7" of new snow. I don't think their forecast is unreasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Man you are usually wildly optimistic but when bearish you're really bearish. But you also have to know that they are really only calling for an inch for you and maybe 2" for MPM. But their map shows that if you don't focus on the higher numbers in the range, that's just how the program words it...same if they put 3.3" in the grid, it often comes out 3-7" of new snow. I don't think their forecast is unreasonable. I almost prefer this Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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