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The "What To Title The Storm?" Thread - Dec 8-9


stormtracker

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Is it still wet ? Or euro dry

 

somewhat wet..It is quite a bit of frozen for you..maybe 0.3" of snow/sleet and then 0.3" or so of ZR and then rain...the globals aren't going to get the details of the CAD right..so maybe it holds on longer than progged or maybe not...too early to tell

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somewhat wet..It is quite a bit of frozen for you..maybe 0.3" of snow/sleet and then 0.3" or so of ZR and then rain...the globals aren't going to get the details of the CAD right..so maybe it holds on longer than progged or maybe not...too early to tell

You're right, he CAD is usually a little tougher than modeled this far out.

This run doesn't seem all that different than 18z. Wonder what next week will look like.

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somewhat wet..It is quite a bit of frozen for you..maybe 0.3" of snow/sleet and then 0.3" or so of ZR and then rain...the globals aren't going to get the details of the CAD right..so maybe it holds on longer than progged or maybe not...too early to tell

 

The high is decently strong and in a pretty good position. You would think the CAD would be better. We are going to go back and forth the next few days anyways. One run is no big deal. It usually comes down to inside 48hrs as we all know. 

 

gfs_ptype_slp_ma_41.png

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It's different (more so for me than you), but it's not as awful as  it was painted. 

 

 

Despite the proclamations of the NCEP guys about verification..and I have no doubt they are right...we have been at this for years now and we know when it comes to winter storms here the 18z GFS is "special"

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It's different (more so for me than you), but it's not as awful as it was painted.

I guess if we are looking at 30 mile shifts in 850 lines or precip contours it is. Otherwise I see very little real difference. I see precip and cold nearby. At this point that's about the best we're gonna get as far as a crystal ball goes. Just my opinion.

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