Fozz Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 nice Baltimore bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 I'd cut it in half - inch and a half of snow in early Dec is good enough for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 You are owed a decent "Jebwalk" this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 nice Baltimore bullseye Was thinking the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Euro looks OK, pretty consistent WRT cold air moving in. Precip a little less heavy on the front running wave. However, not a bad run through 90. I'll leave without looking at much more. Of course the 6z gfs will probably be a little warm as it always seems to be, but we shall see. Thats just a funny hunch, but all things considered great strides towards a good event for almost all of us today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 The Euro Keeps the 0 850 line basically south of Winchester for the entire event. So hard to see anything on the 24 hour panels though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 The euro is very similar to the 12z run...very....but a bit colder in the mid levels....which would imply a bit more snow on the front end than on the 12z run....surface looks the same to me at a glance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Thanks Matt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Thanks Matt. Nice on HR 96 about .3" QPF with temps around 30 for you and 850's below 0. Well done haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Nice on HR 96 about .3" QPF with temps around 30 for you and 850's below 0. Well done haha. That would be sweet, this seems to turning into a very nice event. Thanks for the info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 That would be sweet, this seems to turning into a very nice event. Thanks for the info. No problem, what I like is actually something that has been discussed. HR 90 has temps around freezing for those in Baltimore and DC, however 96 cools off western areas and puts MTN and BWI back to 31. Maybe not as cold as the GFS or GGEM, but cold. Checking on canadian temps for fun now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 No problem, what I like is actually something that has been discussed. HR 90 has temps around freezing for those in Baltimore and DC, however 96 cools off western areas and puts MTN and BWI back to 31. Maybe not as cold as the GFS or GGEM, but cold. Checking on canadian temps for fun now. Plus in years past when we actually got snow, usually the EURO ran 1 to 2 degrees to warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Plus in years past when we actually got snow, usually the EURO ran 1 to 2 degrees to warm. I am in that might keep getting colder boat, and the Euro is looking that way, it did cool at 850 this run, Matt is right about that. Imagine if the sfc was around 27-28, there would be a lot bigger storm going on. And that might happen a la GFS and what the NAM is showing. The canadian is cold at the sfc but synoptic evolution is not on par with the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 I am in that might keep getting colder boat, and the Euro is looking that way, it did cool at 850 this run, Matt is right about that. Imagine if the sfc was around 27-28, there would be a lot bigger storm going on. And that might happen a la GFS and what the NAM is showing. The canadian is cold at the sfc but synoptic evolution is not on par with the other models. Thanks for all your thoughts, i gotta hit the sack i have to be up at 6 am for work. Have a great night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Thanks for all your thoughts, i gotta hit the sack i have to be up at 6 am for work. Have a great night. Same to you, best of luck for today's runs coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 6n NAM looks sweet with a real thump on our door step http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller/Image.php?fhr=084ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F06%2Fnam_namer_084_sim_radar.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=sim_radar&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 6zGFS looks just as cold or not colder with heavy qpf. Very nice run. Looks to be a good bit of front end snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 6Z GFS very similar to last night's 0Z too I wish it didn't have so much rain after the changeover, but we take what we get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 I'm sure everybody would be thrilled if the storm played out as the GFS is depicting. Looks to be the best run yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 looking at the Wunderground maps, last night was the Euro's best run yet for snow; it even has an inch or more as far south as south central VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 06z GFS clown map snow: 6-8 @ BWI/DCA 8-10 @ IAD 9-11 @ JYO Um, yes please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 06z GFS clown map snow: 6-8 @ BWI/DCA 8-10 @ IAD 9-11 @ JYO Um, yes please. link us, unless it's a pay site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Sorry, took the link down. Trying to not get in trouble... Looking at temps, off the 6z GFS, I'd guess 2-4" snow then ice possible at BWI/DCA. Dulles maybe 4-6" then ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Yeah...that 6z gfs run is the best one yet so far out here for frozen. I'm dubious of the high snowfall totals but am thinking my 3" of sleet call has some legs now. My poor bushes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Found the p-type accumulations map on WxBell. Cool site. Too bad there snowfall map and p-type accumulations maps don't match up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 looking at the Wunderground maps, last night was the Euro's best run yet for snow; it even has an inch or more as far south as south central VA models from a day or two ago kept shifting the H from N Dakota to Maine. With the bulk now holding it just to our north it provides that extra kick and I think that is why we keep seeing the colder solutions presented Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Well I am fortunate to have an outlook on the DC airports. It does seem like some snow or snow/sleet to start in many areas, but this could be an icy mess near IAD and those areas with a bit of elevation...esp near I-81. High pressure will not be denied. Quite possible the area near and just north of DC gets a good burst of SN to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Well I am fortunate to have an outlook on the DC airports. It does seem like some snow or snow/sleet to start in many areas, but this could be an icy mess near IAD and those areas with a bit of elevation...esp near I-81. High pressure will not be denied. Quite possible the area near and just north of DC gets a good burst of SN to start. If Kevin lived down here how much snow would he be calling for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 06Z GFS is wet here as well as cold. Would be a heck of a storm if this verifies: 0.43" SN, 0.13" PL, 0.72" FZRA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 What is the start time on the Euro? Seems the gfs is the only one showing before sunrise here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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