Ian Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 I have serious doubts about the lack of freezing rain it shows MRB-HGR, but I hope its right. I'll take the snow and sleet over power outages. Yeah, plus I kinda doubt anyone is getting 1"+ ZR. It's like a snow map with more variables it can be wrong with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 most of the non rain precip is from the sunday/monday storm. well all of it in the DC/MD/VA area. the map may suck but i think it's new. gfs_ptype_accum_washdc_39.png How do you get to this on WxBell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 How do you get to this on WxBell? http://models.weatherbell.com/gfs/xgfs_washdc.php Precip Type Accumulation (6-hrly) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Ian, I've noticed those 4 panel.maps have unusual outputs. Haven't done the math but they don't seem to line up well overall. Bob, you're posting in the future.....wtf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 IAD looks like .66ish with surface and 850s below 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 IAD looks like .66ish with surface and 850s below 0 Yes sir, they look very nice this run in terms of snowfall. Modeled verbatim, a 5-7" snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 DCA is 0.50+" all snow before changeover...the 18z sounding is insane..."warm" nose is -2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 fwiw, NAM is colder and still further south with the boundary at 84 hrs, soooo if NAM is leading the way....it will get better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Snow breaking out in C VA in the morning hours of SUN on GGEM... snow reaches DCA about noon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 fwiw, NAM is colder and still further south with the boundary at 84 hrs, soooo if NAM is leading the way....it will get better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Anybody got a clown map? Soon here: http://wintercast.tripod.com/id14.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 DCA is 0.50+" all snow before changeover...the 18z sounding is insane..."warm" nose is -2 Yes Matt it is ridiculous how much colder this run is all the way through the column, though I love your point about ML CAD that is a valid one. It was very evident on the GFS this run. Even some places on the eastern shore see some snow on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 I deleted Bob's post. Since it's dated like 10 hours into the future the next new post keeps taking me to it. Go fix yourself Bob? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Hour 90 GGEM.. it's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 hey, why go half weenie when you can go all the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Anybody got a clown map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Hour 90 GGEM.. it's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 This is the set up where we get freezing rain after snow. I'd rather have it on top of some snow than glaze everything bare surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 GGEM is a bad ice storm for I-95 and those off to the north and west of there... starts off as a slug of snow and sleet, then break for few hours, then lots of freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 This is the set up where we get freezing rain after snow. I'd rather have it on top of some snow than glaze everything bare surface. yes...It will help preserve some from melting when it warms and we get plain rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 GGEM is a bad ice storm for I-95 and those off to the north and west of there... starts off as a slug of snow and sleet, then break for few hours, then lots of freezing rain Matt will be enraged, I'm certain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Matt will be enraged, I'm certain GGEM kinda develops that second low off the east coast which is interesting. It has been showing that for several runs, which might be why there is kind of a lull in the precip. Not too sure I buy that, however sfc temps are very cold. Very strong CAD once again on the Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 yes...It will help preserve some from melting when it warms and we get plain rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Dave has level 4-5 category ice threat. Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 GGEM kinda develops that second low off the east coast which is interesting. It has been showing that for several runs, which might be why there is kind of a lull in the precip. Not too sure I buy that, however sfc temps are very cold. Very strong CAD once again on the Canadian. Almost looks like a quasi-transfer going on... freezing rain still ongoing just west of I-95 at 5am MON... DCA is right at freezing Precip shuts of around 12z MON... if you were west of I-95 you were frozen entire time and enjoying 10-12 hrs of freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 IMG_2886.jpg damn that was a pretty storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Almost looks like a quasi-transfer going on... freezing rain still ongoing just west of I-95 at 5am MON... DCA is right at freezing Precip shuts of around 12z MON... if you were west of I-95 you were frozen entire time I'm starting to think that places all the way to the bay almost could be in for at least more than a nuisance event. This definitely isn't just a suburbs event. The suburbs are likely to see a significant impact, but light to moderate impacts are possible even in coastal towns like Annapolis and Aberdeen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 damn that was a pretty storm yes.. the good ole days when it snowed sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 The models have really been consistent with this upcoming event. Pretty amazing performance by all of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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