Chicago WX Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 You guys should check out the 00z GFS at 384 hours. That's a beaut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 You guys should check out the 00z GFS at 384 hours. Obviously it is no man's land of the GFS but the last few runs have shown that sort of system at the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 Well, since this will be yet another system that fails to break the 6" threshold, let's see if we can make it a solid 3 year streak and take it to at least Feb 2nd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 Care to reveal your sources? I wouldn't want to wake up with a horse's head in my bed. Btw, 06gfs has -30 850s over most of the subforum by day 12.... lock it in and bundle up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 Really? The pattern reminds me of a La Nina-west gradient pattern with +AO. Strong ridges in the pacific and atlantic battling out it out. Arctic cold in the north central and warm in the southeast, everything in the middle a battle ground. I really can't see any big arctic outbreaks nationally unless we get a abnormal block ala the big -EPO the first half of December and that didn't penetrate overly far south. . If someone had told you at the beginning of November what the major indices would be reading between thanksgiving and now....would you have expected us to get the weather we ended up with? It's been a strange start to the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 I wouldn't want to wake up with a horse's head in my bed. Btw, 06gfs has -30 850s over most of the subforum by day 12.... lock it in and bundle up! I'll pass on the cold and dry look the 06z GFS had. It would be like getting excited for hot and dry in the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 I'll pass on the cold and dry look the 06z GFS had. It would be like getting excited for hot and dry in the summer. Agree totally, but would be passable if we had 6" of snow on the ground or more, which is definitely in the realm locally. Hopefully SE Michiganders can garner some snow cover in the next few days, so if there is an arctic outbreak, it isn't as likely to be brown, cold and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 Agree totally, but would be passable if we had 6" of snow on the ground or more, which is definitely in the realm locally. Hopefully SE Michiganders can garner some snow cover in the next few days, so if there is an arctic outbreak, it isn't as likely to be brown, cold and dry. We will get some sort of snow no doubt, it wont be totally brown...Im just pissed that a 9-inch snowpack was destroyed, not even from a torch, just 3 days of torture...35-40F, fog, heavy rain, 100% humidity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 On my way home from a family Christmas, I experienced 33 and rain. Bah Humbug! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 The NAM should be discontinued..,. Well this week looks boring. Dry and cold is the highlight, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 A year ago to the day...the big discussion in the forum was the December 25-26th storm. It was forecasted to run up the OV somewhere in KY up to about the river and then transfer. At this time, (around the 23rd, models were bulls-eyeing Toledo, Indy, Detroit and points sw. Then right around the 12z runs on xmas eve things started taking an unlikely shift southeast. By the 00z runs xmas eve night, the NAM was painting nearly a foot of snow across CMH. I went to midnight mass grinning ear to ear. Christmas day things started correcting back nw and the nasty NAM started showing the bullying WTOD. The euro stayed firm, keeping us barely in all snow. By Christmas late afternoon, blizzard warnings were issued for areas just north of the ohio river in Indiana up thru western OH. We were riding the southeastern edge of snow, mix, slop. Turned out to be a decent hit here, unfortunately the first several hours were wasted on sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Joe got a phone charger from Santa!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 If i go below zero Mon-Tues, get missed north Wed and drop into the ultimate death freeze into the med range, it will go down as one of the worst stretches of weather ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 If i go below zero Mon-Tues, get missed north Wed and drop into the ultimate death freeze into the med range, it will go down as one of the worst stretches of weather ever. under 3 inches a miss? or you talking total swing and miss? total swing and miss would be ridiculous with the book end tundras...yuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 If i go below zero Mon-Tues, get missed north Wed and drop into the ultimate death freeze into the med range, it will go down as one of the worst stretches of weather ever. Well you see, this is LAF's destiny with all of us this. Maybe not below zero right after this storm, but cold enough...and most likely with nothing on the ground. But, that was pretty much how some of the Dec cold shots have gone here this month...so why break the continuity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Well you see, this is LAF's destiny with all of us this. Maybe not below zero right after this storm, but cold enough...and most likely with nothing on the ground. But, that was pretty much how some of the Dec cold shots have gone here this month...so why break the continuity. Trends are looking up for laying down some snow...how much TBD. Let's hope so...bare ground would be absolutely disgusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Trends are looking up for laying down some snow...how much TBD. Let's hope so...bare ground would be absolutely disgusting. Eh, I don't have high hopes. I've totally dismissed anything for us with the Jan 1-2 storm. I guess the only hope I would have is if something pops right before the big big cold gets here. If it gets here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 I've totally dismissed anything for us with the Jan 1-2 storm. Too early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Eh, I don't have high hopes. I've totally dismissed anything for us with the Jan 1-2 storm. I guess the only hope I would have is if something pops right before the big big cold gets here. If it gets here though. Too early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Can I complain about the disaster underway at Soldier Field in here? Just kidding, Hoosier. But I'm still giving up on the Jan 1-2 system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Can I complain about the disaster underway at Soldier Field in here? Just kidding, Hoosier. But I'm still giving up on the Jan 1-2 system. Other than getting like 10 inches less, it will be a lot like 1/2/99. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Other than getting like 10 inches less, it will be a lot like 1/2/99. Well, that was the #7 analog on the CIPS site from the 0z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 If the EURO ends up being right about -20° or lower lows next week, I'll start complaining. lol. No matter what the snow depth is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Joe got a phone charger from Santa!!!!!!!! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 If we don't break this asinine streak of sub 6" single storm events that goes back to the GHD '11 storm by the end of Jan I'm going to be filling this thread with daily outbursts of incoherent rants that will probably eventually get me banned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 If we don't break this asinine streak of sub 6" single storm events that goes back to the GHD '11 storm by the end of Jan I'm going to be filling this thread with daily outbursts of incoherent rants that will probably eventually get me banned. I've had two this year. **ducks** Eh, they'll come again for you. Just a matter of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 I've had two this year. **ducks** Eh, they'll come again for you. Just a matter of time. 3 if you count the borderline early March storm as 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 I've had two this year. **ducks** Eh, they'll come again for you. Just a matter of time. Haha you guys deserved it. That screw job you guys got with the GHD event (with a touch of 12/1/06) gave you plenty of house money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 3 if you count the borderline early March storm as 6". You're right. We've lived well in 2013. Haha you guys deserved it. That screw job you guys got with the GHD event (with a touch of 12/1/06) gave you plenty of house money. Nov 30-Dec 1, 2006 was much worse. At least Feb 2007 paid us back big time. And...GHD did have epic sleet, so all was not lost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 30, 2013 Author Share Posted December 30, 2013 bump** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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