CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Appreciate it like I said in no way was I trying to be a smart a** like the other gentleman. No problem.....glad I could help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 so it looks like I'm on my way home cutting my vacation short for nothinv? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Sounds like Robert on his FB page says the RAP is looking pretty wet for most o NW NC and VA. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Nam thru 12 already much drier compared to 18z especially out in TN AL well see where it goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Lol with the NAM completely shifted all the heavier moisture west again 18 hours comparing to 24 hr 18z worlds apart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Sounds like Robert on his FB page says the RAP is looking pretty wet for most o NW NC and VA. TW What did he say temp wise? Below or above 32. Honestly looking at the overall setup this could be a good icing for parts of NC also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 What did he say temp wise? Below or above 32. Honestly looking at the overall setup this could be a good icing for parts of NC also. He says 31-32 doesn't think much for BC except north foothills and mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 He says 31-32 doesn't think much for BC except north foothills and mountains Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 24 and 27 hr is pure porn for me. NC is cold 2m 850 down to I-40 still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 24 and 27 hr is pure porn for me. NC is cold 2m 850 down to I-40 still Your getting crushed on the NAM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 I think he may be overlooking the triad counties north to the va line. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 NAM looks nasty. Still below freezing at hour 27. (SW VA area) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 For anyone interested in Asheville, new NAM and RAP support a chilly rain event with temperatures 34-36 degrees most of the day tomorrow. Neither model ever takes our surface temperature below freezing. This makes sense to me. The CAD regime is actually pretty moist compared to other setups, with current dewpoints still in the mid 30s all the way to central VA. To boot, winds are pretty light as well, so there isn't much surface cold advection. This is an instance where you just have to be closer to the cold air source, rather than relying on CAD dynamics, to generate much wintry precip. However, VA and far northern NC should still be sufficiently cold for a freezing rain event. New RAP is incredibly dry, so might be a challenge to reach "warning" criteria even in these areas. Certainly advisory-level though, unless the models barf and the atmosphere surprises us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 I think he may be overlooking the triad counties north to the va line. TW He said surry, upper stokes and few others is where he thinks most icing will occur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 NAM is rather cold here against the blue ridge. Has close to 28-29 degrees here from about hour 21-24 and keeps 32 or below until hour 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Your getting crushed on the NAM!Disc, Pack that's 3 runs in a row now of annihilation lol this cannot be good I'm laughing now until all hell breaks loose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Disc, Pack that's 3 runs in a row now of annihilation lol this cannot be good I'm laughing now until all hell breaks loose Yep, If I were you guys up in that area, I would be preparing for power to be out for a extended period of time. I wouldn't mind seeing a little glazing down here, but not the crippling ice storm you are about to get. Good luck and post your pics and obvs...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 so it looks like I'm on my way home cutting my vacation short for nothinv? That's your fault. You were told nothing to worry about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 there is more to think about when you have your wife and two small kids and best friends with you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 there is more to think about when you have your wife and two small kids and best friends with you 44 degrees now. you will be fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 44 degrees now. you will be fine I'm about 40 miles west of Bristol right now and it's 36 on the car thermometer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Watch angle in which moisture comes in that will determine how wet or dry we are NC and Southern VA . Temps will be close lighter precip. more freezing sticks, heavier the rain the more likely the Temps rise due to latent heat release. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 http://68.226.77.253/text/NAMSFC/NAM_kgso.txt Any idea why this is showing thundersleet for GSO? Also has more cold air for GSO. Gets down to 31 at 1pm. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Per Robert, which I find this interesting as this is the opposite of what I thought would be the case because of the large warm nose, WAA, ect, but.. Me: Robert, do you think the Boone area will see Ice Storm Warning criteria ice+, or is that warm nose going to be pesky? Robert: For Boone, I'm leaning toward Ice. It will take until around 8 am to go to 32, then temps stop around 29 or 30 for most the day with strong classic damming. the amount of moisture is a question, but not the temps. Watch radars tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 I'm about 40 miles west of Bristol right now and it's 36 on the car thermometer Road temps a lot warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Road temps a lot warmer no kidding I haven't took any DMV classes yet. I don't have the temp gun to shoot the road. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 http://68.226.77.253/text/NAMSFC/NAM_kgso.txt Any idea why this is showing thundersleet for GSO? Also has more cold air for GSO. Gets down to 31 at 1pm. TW I noticed that the high was a little stronger and positioned a little better this run. Have not looked at any soundings to see how deep the cold layer is forecasted to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Seems fairly reasonable.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 I don't understand why some of these models/maps use shades of the same color rather than different colors. These shades are almost impossible to differentiate. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 GSP increased Ice totals here for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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