PB GFI Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Euro snow maps , very generous 1 -2 ish NYC 6 plus just NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Once thru southern CT its 6 plus for just about all of New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Close call for the final wave on Tuesday. Looks like some flurries from the city south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 5, 2013 Author Share Posted December 5, 2013 Looks like maybe a consensus forming for 2"-4" than mix then rain, for the burbs along and NW of 95.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LnbWx Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 I'd be happy to get a coating at this point. Fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 I'm not sure how much skill level they have but the 09z SREF maps show snow even out to twin forks by 21z Monday lasting through the end of the run. It's light during those hours but it's on the cold side of the guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 I'm not sure how much skill level they have but the 09z SREF maps show snow even out to twin forks by 21z Monday lasting through the end of the run. It's light during those hours but it's on the cold side of the guidance. I never pay attention to SREFs until within 24 hours. They were all hammering the entire Tri-State with 2-3+ feet of snow for last Feb. 8th for multiple runs if I remember correctly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Yanks. What time period is that canadian for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Yanks. What time period is that canadian for Basically Sunday night through early Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 12:30 ish am and pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Is there anyway to separate the two systems (Friday-Saturday Morning) and (Sunday-Monday), or will that be done for observations? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 12z ECMWF coming in wetter than the GFS for Sunday night/Monday event. Surface freezing line hangs around I-95. Probably a mix for the city east to start. Hour 96 is freezing rain from I-80 north. Orange County is mostly snow still at that hour and by hr 102 we're all rain but precip is shutting off by that hour. That works out for me quit well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 The 12z ECMWF ensemble mean is a bit warmer than the op but I wouldn't give it to much stock at this range. It has a pretty good icing event for most of PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 12z Euro actually looks a lot like the 12z GGEM. 6 hour or so front end dump I-95 north west. Some icing I-80 north. Clown maps spitting out 1-3" for the city. 2-4" for the I-78 corridor in NJ. 4-6" north of I-80 and west of Rt. 23. Southeastern Upstate NY is a foot plus combined from both events. West of 23? Considering 23 goes se to nw would make that the oddest boundary I have ever seen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 West of 23? Considering 23 goes se to nw would make that the oddest boundary I have ever seen? Let me be more specific. North and West of the I-287, Rt. 23 Interchange. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Upton has put out a snow map for precip. from 7 pm Fri thru 7 am Sat. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Upton has put out a snow map for precip. from 7 pm Fri thru 7 am Sat. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php Basically this is a non - event for ice/snow south and east of I-80 - and nothing in site for now and the indicies don't support anything significant -BUT the mini - drought will be over by next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LnbWx Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Basically this is a non - event for ice/snow south and east of I-80 - and nothing in site for now and the indicies don't support anything significant -BUT the mini - drought will be over by next weekend South of I-80 and East of I-287? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 South of I-80 and East of I-287? yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LnbWx Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 yes Thanks. I'm right on line then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Thanks. I'm right on line then. so is that how you think this event will play out ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 15z SREF's get the 850 freezing line to the city by 12z Saturday with another 0.10" of precip to fall. Probably just some flurries at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Mt. Holly wont touch any discussion on sunday/monday. they wanna get through the first wave tomorrow. althought they added "snow" sunday night to our forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Mt. Holly wont touch any discussion on sunday/monday. they wanna get through the first wave tomorrow. althought they added "snow" sunday night to our forecast My point and click Sunday A chance of rain and snow after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Sunday Night Snow. Low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Monday Rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 46. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Monday Night A chance of rain, snow, freezing rain, and sleet. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Tuesday A chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 SundayA chance of snow after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 33. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Sunday NightSnow and freezing rain. Low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 80%. MondayRain or freezing rain. High near 41. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Monday NightA chance of rain, snow, freezing rain, and sleet. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. Chance of precipitation is 40%. My point and click Sunday A chance of rain and snow after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Sunday Night Snow. Low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Monday Rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 46. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Monday Night A chance of rain, snow, freezing rain, and sleet. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Tuesday A chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Upton has put out a snow map for precip. from 7 pm Fri thru 7 am Sat. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php From what I can see those of us in northern Orange County and higher elev.. Will most likely see a but more than 1-2... More around the 2-4 depending on how quickly surface temps allow for on ground accumulations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 The 18z RGEM has a little snow to end on Saturday morning for a lot of the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 For Saturday morning the 18z GFS is meh unless you live in the Poconos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 From what I can see those of us in northern Orange County and higher elev.. Will most likely see a but more than 1-2... More around the 2-4 depending on how quickly surface temps allow for on ground accumulations Where in Orange County are you located? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 For Saturday morning the 18z GFS is meh unless you live in the Poconos. There could be quite a bit of freezing rain and sleet around my old stomping grounds (State College). Man, do I not miss all of those ice storms that area has so often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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