Ian Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 I still have no thoughts about the storm. I may in about 18-24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 I still have no thoughts about the storm. I may in about 18-24 hours. You are quite thoughtless today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 You are quite thoughtless today. Usually. I've decided not to become invested in anything until about 5 days out. And even then only invested a few cents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Today is the day that the 12z runs show a massive cutter and our area dry and in the 70s and the usual suspects jump on it......0z tonight will show a full on blizzard and will be discounted Blah...almost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Usually. I've decided not to become invested in anything until about 5 days out. And even then only invested a few cents. Can't blame you there. After watching 2 days of models not much has been gained. Cold hp in a good spot to start, moisture overrunning, low goes somewhere west of us, precip mixes and goes to rain at some point. It could be wetter than drier. All snow in the cities has never been on the table. Climo and pattern says don't get too head over heels on any "good" model run. That about sums it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Euro still seems like a significant frozen event...funny how the impression seemed different after the play by play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Euro still seems like a significant frozen event...funny how the impression seemed different after the play by play Prep for this kind of rollercoaster ride for the next 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Prep for this kind of rollercoaster ride for the next 5 days. Prep for the 18z gfs to be a near perfect all snow solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Prep for this kind of rollercoaster ride for the next 5 days. I'm torn....it's pretty funny reading...euro looks great!....rain...looks like snow....wow that's a lot of ice...man it looks warm...wow that snow map is delicious....euro is a huge step in the wrong direction if you like snow...euro is warning criteria event Lol....can't wait!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 in other news... denver is 60 degrees today and then wednesday will have a high of 11 with snow... http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=39.737567&lon=-104.98471790000002&site=all&smap=1&searchresult=Denver%2C%20CO%2C%20USA#.UpzrRcSsiSq Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Euro still seems like a significant frozen event...funny how the impression seemed different after the play by play it is, but the problem is we spike to mid 40s very quickly..which is fine..I'd still take it in a heartbeat, but more fun if we can at least stay in the low 30s into monday.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 it is, but the problem is we spike to mid 40s very quickly..which is fine..I'd still take it in a heartbeat, but more fun if we can at least stay in the low 30s into monday.... What's the mechanism causing the temp spike on the euro? Seems to me temp forecasts are most dubious at this time range but certainly I don't know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 What's the mechanism causing the temp spike on the euro? Adrian Peterson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Adrian Peterson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 What's the mechanism causing the temp spike on the euro? Seems to me temp forecasts are most dubious at this time range but certainly I don't know low tracking to the lakes that isn't strong but deepens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 What's the mechanism causing the temp spike on the euro? Seems to me temp forecasts are most dubious at this time range but certainly I don't know The low tracks further to the west allowing stronger warm low level flow....oh, and Mike Shanahan's seat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 low tracking to the lakes that isn't strong but deepens So Wes' post about the ensembles is not a positive then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Model runs outside 5 days are rarely very good in the end. Recipe for sadness. I know we 'know' but not sure we truly remember that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 So Wes' post about the ensembles is not a positive then No an old but very good rule is it the pressures are lower in the great lakes than over Maine, your cold air won't hold. You end up getting an easterly component off the ocean. Plus the low in the lakes means at 850 mb you end up having southerly flow which also warms you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Our typical gradual yet sudden left turn just happened..lol..I love winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Our typical gradual yet sudden left turn just happened..lol..I love winter18z.... Toss it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 in other news... denver is 60 degrees today and then wednesday will have a high of 11 with snow... http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=39.737567&lon=-104.98471790000002&site=all&smap=1&searchresult=Denver%2C%20CO%2C%20USA#.UpzrRcSsiSq ...and we are 60 degrees w/ rain and then 30 / dry / wind. We suck. I wish I could hibernate until next October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 2, 2013 Author Share Posted December 2, 2013 Our typical gradual yet sudden left turn just happened..lol..I love winter I'm not looking until tuesday morning…then i'm all in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Thought it would be quite the model win to catch this 7 days out...funny... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Punt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 ...and we are 60 degrees w/ rain and then 30 / dry / wind. We suck. I wish I could hibernate until next October. it's too early in the season for us to count on snow. even in our best season it's too early. yea we get the occasional fluke, but it's the exception. i don't understand why anyone would get hyped about a storm 6-7 days out. it's ridiculous. not that i don't do it sometimes, but when i do, it's still ridiculous lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Prep for this kind of rollercoaster ride for the next 5 days. Prep for the 18z gfs to be a near perfect all snow solution. . Oops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Prep for the 18z 0Z gfs to be a near perfect all snow solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Pitchforks and torches to Bob Chill's house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Pitchforks and torches to Bob Chill's house. Don't get all jeally and stuff cause my rain is colder than your rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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